ScoreProb
4. liga - Divizie A Czechia Group A - 14 2026

Nyrsko vs Doubravka

Nyrsko Home · Elo 1,470
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Doubravka Away · Elo 1,455
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Doubravka win
Nyrsko win
21.9%
Draw
21.3%
Doubravka winPick
56.8%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes61.1%
No38.9%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.579.0%
Under 2.521.0%

How much we know

Nyrsko history3 matches
Doubravka history50 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (56.8%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Doubravka are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,470 against 1,455. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Doubravka score more

    1.33 goals a game over 3 matches for Nyrsko, against 1.84 over 50 for Doubravka.

  • Doubravka concede fewer

    Nyrsko concede 5.00 a game, Doubravka 2.30.

  • Nyrsko games more often go over 2.5 goals

    100% of Nyrsko matches, against 82% for Doubravka. The model puts this match at 79% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Nyrsko
Doubravka@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1469.8
ELO
1455.0
3
ELO · Matches
50
1469.8
Current Team ELO
1455.0
1455.0
Current Opponent ELO
1469.8
14.86
Current ELO Difference
-14.86
0.52
Expected score
0.48
3
History Matches
50
-0.47
Residual Mean
-0.04
43.85
Overperformance
47.14
-0.47
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.04
Recent form16 signals
160
3
Matches
5
0.00
PPG
1.60
1.33
Goals for per game
1.80
5.00
Goals against per game
1.80
0.0%
Win rate
40.0%
3
Matches
10
0.00
PPG
1.40
1.33
Goals for per game
1.90
5.00
Goals against per game
2.00
0.0%
Win rate
40.0%
1.33
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.90
0.94
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.45
5.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.00
0.82
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.34
0.00
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.96
1.70
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.02
Overall performance9 signals
90
3
Matches
50
0.00
PPG
1.14
0.0%
Win rate
30.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
24.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
46.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
92.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
82.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
56.0%
1.70
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.76
Venue performance10 signals
100
2
Matches
24
0.00
PPG
0.92
0.0%
Win rate
20.8%
0.0%
Draw rate
29.2%
100.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
91.7%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
87.5%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
54.2%
2.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.90
2
History Matches
24
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.33
Goals for per game
1.84
66.7%
Scoring rate
80.0%
66.7%
BTTS rate
68.0%
1.00
Goals for per game
1.46
50.0%
Scoring rate
75.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
70.8%
2.00
Goals for per game
1.50
100.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
3
History Matches
50
1.33
Goals Mean
1.84
0.94
Goals Std
1.65
66.7%
Scored 1+ rate
80.0%
66.7%
Scored 2+ rate
50.0%
0.0%
Scored 3+ rate
26.0%
1.00
Venue Goals Mean
1.46
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
5.00
Goals against per game
2.30
100.0%
Conceding rate
84.0%
5.00
Goals against per game
2.17
100.0%
Conceding rate
91.7%
4.50
Goals against per game
0.50
100.0%
Conceding rate
50.0%
3
History Matches
50
5.00
Conceded Mean
2.30
0.82
Conceded Std
1.89
100.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
64.0%
100.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
40.0%
5.00
Venue Conceded Mean
2.17
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
16.0%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
20.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
8.3%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
16.0%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
20.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
8.3%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
16.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
3
History Matches
50
0.00
Result entropy
0.97
1.70
Goal Difference Std
2.76
100.0
Stability score
3.43
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
3
Eligible Matches
50
0
Lead Matches
18
—
Lead Win Rate
61.1%
—
Lead Points Retention
0.70
3
Trailing Matches
22
0.0%
Non-loss rate
22.7%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
9.1%
Goal timing5 signals
50
3
Halftime Coverage Matches
50
0.33
First Half Goals For Mean
0.88
3.33
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.14
1.00
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.96
1.67
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.16
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
75.92
Rest days
83.92
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
3
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.33
0
Normal Rest History Matches
26
—
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.08
2
Long Rest History Matches
20
0.00
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.40
Competition & season17 signals
170
2
Matches
2
0.00
PPG
2.00
0.0%
Win rate
50.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
50.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
0.50
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.00
2
Current Competition Matches
2
0.00
Current Competition PPG
2.00
-2.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
1.00
2
Competition Season Count
5
0
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
—
Portability PPG Std
0.04
—
Portability PPG Range
0.07
—
Portability Score
93.35
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
3
Clean History Matches
50
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreLead Win RateLead Points RetentionPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per Match
ELO14.86
PPG-1.14
GF-0.51
GA2.70
PPG-2.00
PPG-0.92
PPG-1.60
PPG-1.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-47
Clean-sheet rate-0.16
Failed-to-score rate13.3%
History Matches-22
Clean-sheet rate-0.08
Failed-to-score rate25.0%
History Matches-47
Goals Mean-0.51
Goals Std-0.71
Scored 1+ rate-0.13
Scored 2+ rate16.7%
Scored 3+ rate-0.26
Venue Goals Mean-0.46
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.57
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.50
History Matches-47
Conceded Mean2.70
Conceded Std-1.07
Clean-sheet rate-0.16
Conceded 2+ rate36.0%
Conceded 3+ rate60.0%
Venue Conceded Mean2.83
Recent 10 Conceded Mean3.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.53
History Matches-47
Result entropy-0.97
Goal Difference Std-1.06
Stability score96.57
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.96
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.32
Eligible Matches-47
Lead Matches-18
Trailing Matches-19
Non-loss rate-0.23
Trailing Win Rate-0.09
Halftime Coverage Matches-47
First Half Goals For Mean-0.55
First Half Goals Against Mean2.19
Second Half Goals For Mean0.04
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.51
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-2.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-3.50
Competition Season Count-3
Eligible Competition Season Count-2
Rest days-8.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-3
Normal Rest History Matches-26
Long Rest History Matches-18
Long Rest Points Per Match-1.40
Current Team ELO14.86
Current Opponent ELO-14.86
Current ELO Difference29.72
Expected score0.04
History Matches-47
Residual Mean-0.43
Overperformance-3.29
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.51

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Nyrsko

L
Milevsko2–1Nyrsko1 Nov · away
Pick: Milevsko 76% · hit
L
Nyrsko1–4Táborsko II24 Oct · home
Pick: Táborsko II 53% · hit
D
Spartak Soběslav2–2Nyrsko17 Oct · away
Pick: Spartak Soběslav 86% · missed
L
Nyrsko1–2Rokycany29 Aug · home
Pick: Rokycany 56% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Doubravka

L
Doubravka2–3Křimice31 Oct · home
Pick: Doubravka 42% · missed
W
Milevsko0–1Doubravka18 Oct · away
Pick: Doubravka 50% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Nyrsko and Doubravka meet in 4. liga - Divizie A on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Nyrsko win 21.9%, draw 21.3%, Doubravka win 56.8%. The pick is Doubravka win. Over 2.5 goals: 79.0%. Both teams to score: 61.1%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.