ScoreProb
4. liga - Divizie A Czechia Group A - 14 2026

Rokycany vs Spartak Soběslav

Rokycany Home · Elo 1,514
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Spartak Soběslav Away · Elo 1,579
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Rokycany win
Rokycany winPick
41.2%
Draw
24.7%
Spartak Soběslav win
34.1%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes54.6%
No45.4%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.559.3%
Under 2.540.7%

How much we know

Rokycany history54 matches
Spartak Soběslav history50 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (41.2%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Rokycany are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Spartak Soběslav are rated 65 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,579 against 1,514. On rating alone Spartak Soběslav would be expected to take 59% of the points on offer.

  • Spartak Soběslav score far more

    1.24 goals a game over 54 matches for Rokycany, against 2.26 over 50 for Spartak Soběslav.

  • Rokycany concede fewer

    Rokycany concede 1.20 a game, Spartak Soběslav 1.64.

  • Spartak Soběslav games more often go over 2.5 goals

    44% of Rokycany matches, against 70% for Spartak Soběslav. The model puts this match at 59% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Rokycany
Spartak Soběslav@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1513.7
ELO
1578.6
54
ELO · Matches
50
1513.7
Current Team ELO
1578.6
1578.6
Current Opponent ELO
1513.7
-64.93
Current ELO Difference
64.93
0.41
Expected score
0.59
54
History Matches
50
0.01
Residual Mean
0.07
51.02
Overperformance
55.24
-0.09
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.07
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
1.20
0.60
Goals for per game
2.40
1.00
Goals against per game
2.00
40.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.30
PPG
1.70
1.10
Goals for per game
2.70
1.30
Goals against per game
1.90
40.0%
Win rate
50.0%
1.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.70
1.22
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.27
1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.90
1.19
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.54
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
1.89
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.60
Overall performance9 signals
90
54
Matches
50
1.61
PPG
1.82
46.3%
Win rate
54.0%
22.2%
Draw rate
20.0%
31.5%
Loss rate
26.0%
70.4%
Over 1.5 rate
86.0%
44.4%
Over 2.5 rate
70.0%
24.1%
Over 3.5 rate
56.0%
1.97
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.11
Venue performance10 signals
100
28
Matches
26
1.71
PPG
1.69
50.0%
Win rate
50.0%
21.4%
Draw rate
19.2%
28.6%
Loss rate
30.8%
71.4%
Over 1.5 rate
96.2%
35.7%
Over 2.5 rate
80.8%
10.7%
Over 3.5 rate
61.5%
1.84
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.24
28
History Matches
26
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.24
Goals for per game
2.26
70.4%
Scoring rate
94.0%
42.6%
BTTS rate
72.0%
1.18
Goals for per game
2.42
75.0%
Scoring rate
96.2%
42.9%
BTTS rate
80.8%
0.67
Goals for per game
2.33
33.3%
Scoring rate
100.0%
33.3%
BTTS rate
100.0%
54
History Matches
50
1.24
Goals Mean
2.26
1.10
Goals Std
1.53
70.4%
Scored 1+ rate
94.0%
37.0%
Scored 2+ rate
58.0%
11.1%
Scored 3+ rate
36.0%
1.18
Venue Goals Mean
2.42
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.20
Goals against per game
1.64
64.8%
Conceding rate
78.0%
1.07
Goals against per game
1.96
64.3%
Conceding rate
84.6%
1.00
Goals against per game
1.67
66.7%
Conceding rate
100.0%
54
History Matches
50
1.20
Conceded Mean
1.64
1.37
Conceded Std
1.40
25.9%
Conceded 2+ rate
48.0%
14.8%
Conceded 3+ rate
20.0%
1.07
Venue Conceded Mean
1.96
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
35.2%
Clean-sheet rate
22.0%
29.6%
Failed-to-score rate
6.0%
35.7%
Clean-sheet rate
15.4%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
3.8%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
66.7%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
35.2%
Clean-sheet rate
22.0%
29.6%
Failed-to-score rate
6.0%
35.7%
Clean-sheet rate
15.4%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
3.8%
35.2%
Clean-sheet rate
22.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
54
History Matches
50
0.96
Result entropy
0.91
1.97
Goal Difference Std
2.11
4.00
Stability score
8.53
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
54
Eligible Matches
49
17
Lead Matches
13
76.5%
Lead Win Rate
76.9%
0.82
Lead Points Retention
0.85
12
Trailing Matches
15
0.0%
Non-loss rate
40.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
20.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
54
Halftime Coverage Matches
49
0.59
First Half Goals For Mean
0.71
0.59
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.69
0.65
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.53
0.61
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.94
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
76.92
Rest days
77.20
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
4
Short Rest History Matches
1
1.25
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.00
30
Normal Rest History Matches
26
1.63
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.58
19
Long Rest History Matches
22
1.68
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.14
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
1.33
PPG
1.00
33.3%
Win rate
33.3%
33.3%
Draw rate
0.0%
33.3%
Loss rate
66.7%
66.7%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
33.3%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
1.25
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.36
3
Current Competition Matches
3
1.33
Current Competition PPG
1.00
-0.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.67
6
Competition Season Count
5
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.20
Portability PPG Std
0.45
0.47
Portability PPG Range
1.10
71.38
Portability Score
52.57
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
54
Clean History Matches
50
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-64.93
PPG-0.21
GF-1.02
GA-0.44
PPG0.33
PPG0.02
PPG0.20
PPG-0.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches4
Clean-sheet rate13.2%
Failed-to-score rate23.6%
History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate20.3%
Failed-to-score rate21.2%
History Matches4
Goals Mean-1.02
Goals Std-0.43
Scored 1+ rate-0.24
Scored 2+ rate-0.21
Scored 3+ rate-0.25
Venue Goals Mean-1.24
Recent 10 Goals Mean-1.60
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.05
History Matches4
Conceded Mean-0.44
Conceded Std-0.03
Clean-sheet rate13.2%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.22
Conceded 3+ rate-0.05
Venue Conceded Mean-0.89
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.60
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.65
History Matches4
Result entropy0.05
Goal Difference Std-0.13
Stability score-4.53
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.08
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.29
Eligible Matches5
Lead Matches4
Lead Win Rate0.00
Lead Points Retention-0.02
Trailing Matches-3
Non-loss rate-0.40
Trailing Win Rate-0.20
Halftime Coverage Matches5
First Half Goals For Mean-0.12
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.10
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.88
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.33
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-1.00
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std-0.25
Portability PPG Range-0.64
Portability Score18.80
Rest days-0.28
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches3
Short Rest Points Per Match1.25
Normal Rest History Matches4
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.06
Long Rest History Matches-3
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.45
Current Team ELO-64.93
Current Opponent ELO64.93
Current ELO Difference-129.9
Expected score-0.18
History Matches4
Residual Mean-0.06
Overperformance-4.22
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.03

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Rokycany

L
Hluboka nad Vltavou1–0Rokycany30 Oct · away
Pick: Hluboka nad Vltavou 57% · hit
W
Rokycany5–4Jiskra Domažlice II24 Oct · home
Pick: Rokycany 62% · hit
L
Petřín Plzeň2–1Rokycany17 Oct · away
Pick: Petřín Plzeň 56% · hit
W
Nyrsko1–2Rokycany29 Aug · away
Pick: Rokycany 56% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Spartak Soběslav

W
Spartak Soběslav3–1Strakonice31 Oct · home
Pick: Spartak Soběslav 65% · hit
D
Spartak Pribram2–2Spartak Soběslav24 Oct · away
Pick: Spartak Pribram 47% · missed
D
Spartak Soběslav2–2Nyrsko17 Oct · home
Pick: Spartak Soběslav 86% · missed
W
Spartak Soběslav3–2Jiskra Domažlice II29 Aug · home
Pick: Spartak Soběslav 71% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Rokycany and Spartak Soběslav meet in 4. liga - Divizie A on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Rokycany win 41.2%, draw 24.7%, Spartak Soběslav win 34.1%. The pick is Rokycany win. Over 2.5 goals: 59.3%. Both teams to score: 54.6%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.