ScoreProb
Second Amateur Division - VFV A Belgium VFV A - 11 2026

Oostkamp vs KRC Gent

Oostkamp Home · Elo 1,541
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
KRC Gent Away · Elo 1,493
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Oostkamp win
Oostkamp winPick
55.8%
Draw
19.0%
KRC Gent win
25.2%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes57.2%
No42.8%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.560.0%
Under 2.540.0%

How much we know

Oostkamp history38 matches
KRC Gent history40 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 9 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 18:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (55.8%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Oostkamp are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Oostkamp are rated 48 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,541 against 1,493. On rating alone Oostkamp would be expected to take 57% of the points on offer.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.58 goals a game over 38 matches for Oostkamp, against 1.58 over 40 for KRC Gent.

  • Oostkamp concede fewer

    Oostkamp concede 1.18 a game, KRC Gent 1.85.

  • KRC Gent games more often go over 2.5 goals

    53% of Oostkamp matches, against 63% for KRC Gent. The model puts this match at 60% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 26 Apr 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Oostkamp
KRC Gent
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1540.6
ELO
1492.5
38
ELO · Matches
40
1540.6
Current Team ELO
1492.5
1492.5
Current Opponent ELO
1540.6
48.13
Current ELO Difference
-48.13
0.57
Expected score
0.43
38
History Matches
40
0.06
Residual Mean
-0.01
53.74
Overperformance
49.32
-0.12
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.06
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.00
PPG
1.20
1.20
Goals for per game
1.40
1.00
Goals against per game
2.20
20.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.20
PPG
1.30
1.40
Goals for per game
1.60
1.40
Goals against per game
2.00
30.0%
Win rate
40.0%
1.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.60
1.02
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.43
1.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.00
1.02
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.18
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
1.34
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.80
Overall performance9 signals
90
38
Matches
40
1.68
PPG
1.43
47.4%
Win rate
40.0%
26.3%
Draw rate
22.5%
26.3%
Loss rate
37.5%
68.4%
Over 1.5 rate
80.0%
52.6%
Over 2.5 rate
62.5%
42.1%
Over 3.5 rate
45.0%
1.69
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.99
Venue performance10 signals
100
20
Matches
20
1.90
PPG
1.10
55.0%
Win rate
25.0%
25.0%
Draw rate
35.0%
20.0%
Loss rate
40.0%
60.0%
Over 1.5 rate
85.0%
45.0%
Over 2.5 rate
60.0%
30.0%
Over 3.5 rate
35.0%
1.67
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.72
20
History Matches
20
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.58
Goals for per game
1.58
76.3%
Scoring rate
72.5%
55.3%
BTTS rate
60.0%
1.60
Goals for per game
1.40
75.0%
Scoring rate
65.0%
45.0%
BTTS rate
65.0%
38
History Matches
40
1.58
Goals Mean
1.58
1.31
Goals Std
1.36
76.3%
Scored 1+ rate
72.5%
44.7%
Scored 2+ rate
47.5%
26.3%
Scored 3+ rate
22.5%
1.60
Venue Goals Mean
1.40
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.18
Goals against per game
1.85
73.7%
Conceding rate
80.0%
0.85
Goals against per game
1.95
65.0%
Conceding rate
95.0%
38
History Matches
40
1.18
Conceded Mean
1.85
1.02
Conceded Std
1.51
28.9%
Conceded 2+ rate
45.0%
13.2%
Conceded 3+ rate
37.5%
0.85
Venue Conceded Mean
1.95
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
26.3%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
23.7%
Failed-to-score rate
27.5%
35.0%
Clean-sheet rate
5.0%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
35.0%
26.3%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
23.7%
Failed-to-score rate
27.5%
35.0%
Clean-sheet rate
5.0%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
35.0%
26.3%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
38
History Matches
40
0.96
Result entropy
0.97
1.69
Goal Difference Std
1.99
3.83
Stability score
2.61
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
20
Eligible Matches
17
7
Lead Matches
7
71.4%
Lead Win Rate
71.4%
0.81
Lead Points Retention
0.76
5
Trailing Matches
5
20.0%
Non-loss rate
20.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
20
Halftime Coverage Matches
17
0.65
First Half Goals For Mean
0.94
0.50
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.88
1.25
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.65
0.90
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.00
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
203.0
Rest days
195.2
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
17
Normal Rest History Matches
25
1.65
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.68
20
Long Rest History Matches
14
1.65
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.07
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
2
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.28
Portability PPG Std
0.46
0.56
Portability PPG Range
0.92
64.13
Portability Score
52.12
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
38
Clean History Matches
40
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO48.13
PPG0.26
GF0.00
GA-0.67
PPG0.80
PPG-0.20
PPG-0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate6.3%
Failed-to-score rate-0.04
History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate30.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.10
History Matches-2
Goals Mean0.00
Goals Std-0.05
Scored 1+ rate3.8%
Scored 2+ rate-0.03
Scored 3+ rate3.8%
Venue Goals Mean0.20
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.20
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.41
History Matches-2
Conceded Mean-0.67
Conceded Std-0.49
Clean-sheet rate6.3%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.16
Conceded 3+ rate-0.24
Venue Conceded Mean-1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.60
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.16
History Matches-2
Result entropy-0.01
Goal Difference Std-0.29
Stability score1.22
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.13
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.46
Eligible Matches3
Lead Matches0
Lead Win Rate0.0%
Lead Points Retention0.05
Trailing Matches0
Non-loss rate0.0%
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches3
First Half Goals For Mean-0.29
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.38
Second Half Goals For Mean0.60
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.10
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.18
Portability PPG Range-0.36
Portability Score12.00
Rest days7.79
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches-8
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.03
Long Rest History Matches6
Long Rest Points Per Match0.58
Current Team ELO48.13
Current Opponent ELO-48.13
Current ELO Difference96.27
Expected score0.14
History Matches-2
Residual Mean0.07
Overperformance4.43
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.06

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Oostkamp

L
Oostkamp3–6Zulte Waregem II31 Oct · home
Pick: Oostkamp 47% · missed
D
Mechelen II1–1Oostkamp24 Oct · away
Pick: Mechelen II 46% · missed
D
Oostkamp0–0Ninove18 Oct · home
Pick: Oostkamp 50% · missed
W
FC Lebbeke1–2Oostkamp29 Aug · away
Pick: FC Lebbeke 40% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

KRC Gent

D
KRC Gent1–1Mechelen II31 Oct · home
Pick: Mechelen II 44% · missed
W
VW Hamme0–3KRC Gent25 Oct · away
Pick: VW Hamme 40% · missed
W
KRC Gent1–0Oudenaarde17 Oct · home
Pick: KRC Gent 38% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Oostkamp and KRC Gent meet in Second Amateur Division - VFV A on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 18:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Oostkamp win 55.8%, draw 19.0%, KRC Gent win 25.2%. The pick is Oostkamp win. Over 2.5 goals: 60.0%. Both teams to score: 57.2%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.