Osasuna W vs Edf Logrono W
Match result probability Model pick: Osasuna W win
Osasuna W winPick
38.7%
Draw
29.9%
Edf Logrono W win
31.4%
No match played
If the match is played on a new date, this page updates by itself.
Both teams to score
Yes53.7%
No46.3%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.556.1%
Under 2.543.9%
How much we know
Osasuna W history0 matches
Edf Logrono W history30 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Life of this match
Every step is time-stamped, from first prediction to settled result.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 9 h ahead29 Oct · 08:38 UTC
- Re-published 16 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 2 Nov · 18:58 UTC
- Kickoff4 Nov · 18:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
Share this match
A picture made for this match: teams, our probabilities and the verified stamp. Works in chats and on social.
The card keeps the pre-match numbers. A miss is shared as plainly as a hit.
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (38.7%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.
Why Osasuna W are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Osasuna W are rated 81 Elo points higher
Elo 1,500 against 1,419. On rating alone Osasuna W would be expected to take 61% of the points on offer.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Edf Logrono W@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1500.0
ELO
1419.4
0
ELO · Matches
30
1500.0
Current Team ELO
1419.4
1419.4
Current Opponent ELO
1500.0
80.64
Current ELO Difference
-80.64
0.61
Expected score
0.39
0
History Matches
30
—
Residual Mean
-0.13
—
Overperformance
42.07
—
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.02
Recent form16 signals 160
0
Matches
5
—
PPG
1.40
—
Goals for per game
1.80
—
Goals against per game
1.20
—
Win rate
40.0%
0
Matches
10
—
PPG
1.10
—
Goals for per game
1.40
—
Goals against per game
1.70
—
Win rate
30.0%
—
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.40
—
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.28
—
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.70
—
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.35
—
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
—
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.24
Overall performance9 signals 90
0
Matches
30
—
PPG
0.70
—
Win rate
13.3%
—
Draw rate
30.0%
—
Loss rate
56.7%
—
Over 1.5 rate
73.3%
—
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
—
Over 3.5 rate
36.7%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.05
Venue performance10 signals 100
0
Matches
15
—
PPG
0.87
—
Win rate
13.3%
—
Draw rate
46.7%
—
Loss rate
40.0%
—
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
—
Over 2.5 rate
40.0%
—
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.12
0
History Matches
15
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
—
Goals for per game
0.97
—
Scoring rate
50.0%
—
BTTS rate
43.3%
—
Goals for per game
1.00
—
Scoring rate
53.3%
—
BTTS rate
46.7%
0
History Matches
30
—
Goals Mean
0.97
—
Goals Std
1.20
—
Scored 1+ rate
50.0%
—
Scored 2+ rate
30.0%
—
Scored 3+ rate
10.0%
—
Venue Goals Mean
1.00
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
—
Goals against per game
1.80
—
Conceding rate
86.7%
—
Goals against per game
1.40
—
Conceding rate
80.0%
0
History Matches
30
—
Conceded Mean
1.80
—
Conceded Std
1.42
—
Conceded 2+ rate
43.3%
—
Conceded 3+ rate
26.7%
—
Venue Conceded Mean
1.40
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
—
Clean-sheet rate
13.3%
—
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
—
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
—
Failed-to-score rate
46.7%
—
Clean-sheet rate
13.3%
—
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
—
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
—
Failed-to-score rate
46.7%
—
Clean-sheet rate
13.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
0
History Matches
30
—
Result entropy
0.87
—
Goal Difference Std
2.05
—
Stability score
13.37
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
0
Eligible Matches
30
0
Lead Matches
3
—
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
—
Lead Points Retention
1.00
0
Trailing Matches
17
—
Non-loss rate
35.3%
—
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
0
Halftime Coverage Matches
30
—
First Half Goals For Mean
0.30
—
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.00
—
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.67
—
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.80
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
Rest days
157.3
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
0
Normal Rest History Matches
16
—
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.81
0
Long Rest History Matches
13
—
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.54
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
0
Competition Season Count
1
0
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
0
Clean History Matches
30
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGGFGAPPGPPGPPGPPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateGoals MeanGoals StdScored 1+ rateScored 2+ rateScored 3+ rateVenue Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals StdConceded MeanConceded StdClean-sheet rateConceded 2+ rateConceded 3+ rateVenue Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded StdResult entropyGoal Difference StdStability scoreRecent 10 Result EntropyRecent 10 Goal Difference StdLead Win RateLead Points RetentionNon-loss rateTrailing Win RateFirst Half Goals For MeanFirst Half Goals Against MeanSecond Half Goals For MeanSecond Half Goals Against MeanCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreRest daysShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per MatchResidual MeanOverperformanceRecent 10 Residual Mean
ELO80.64
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-30
History Matches-15
History Matches-30
History Matches-30
History Matches-30
Eligible Matches-30
Lead Matches-3
Trailing Matches-17
Halftime Coverage Matches-30
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches-16
Long Rest History Matches-13
Current Team ELO80.64
Current Opponent ELO-80.64
Current ELO Difference161.3
Expected score0.23
History Matches-30
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Osasuna W
No earlier results with our pick yet
Edf Logrono W
L
Espanyol W2–1Edf Logrono W31 Oct · away
Pick: Espanyol W 55% · hit W
Edf Logrono W1–0FC Levante Badalona24 Oct · home
Pick: FC Levante Badalona 48% · missed L
Edf Logrono W2–3Granada17 Oct · home
Pick: Granada 48% · hit L
Granad. Tenerife W2–1Edf Logrono W4 Oct · away
Pick: Granad. Tenerife W 63% · hit W
Real Sociedad W0–2Edf Logrono W29 Aug · away
Pick: Real Sociedad W 65% · missed About this match
Osasuna W and Edf Logrono W were due to play in Copa de la Reina on Wednesday 4 November 2026, but the match was not played.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.