ScoreProb
Campionato Primavera - 1 Italy Round 10 2026

Parma U20 vs Torino U20

Parma U20 Home · Elo 1,600
Fri 6 Nov
UTC
Not started
Torino U20 Away · Elo 1,497
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Parma U20 win
Parma U20 winPick
48.8%
Draw
25.8%
Torino U20 win
25.4%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes56.3%
No43.7%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.554.2%
Under 2.545.8%

How much we know

Parma U20 history45 matches
Torino U20 history56 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 5 h ahead
    31 Oct · 08:40 UTC
  2. Re-published 15 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 06:57 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    6 Nov · 14:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (48.8%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Parma U20 are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Parma U20 are rated 103 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,600 against 1,497. On rating alone Parma U20 would be expected to take 64% of the points on offer.

  • Parma U20 score more

    1.53 goals a game over 45 matches for Parma U20, against 1.38 over 56 for Torino U20.

  • Parma U20 concede fewer

    Parma U20 concede 1.00 a game, Torino U20 1.48.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    49% of Parma U20 matches, against 54% for Torino U20. The model puts this match at 54% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 25 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Parma U20
Torino U20@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1600.4
ELO
1497.0
45
ELO · Matches
56
1600.4
Current Team ELO
1497.0
1497.0
Current Opponent ELO
1600.4
103.3
Current ELO Difference
-103.3
0.64
Expected score
0.36
45
History Matches
56
0.10
Residual Mean
0.00
56.90
Overperformance
49.91
0.01
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.01
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.60
PPG
1.00
1.80
Goals for per game
1.40
1.40
Goals against per game
1.20
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.70
PPG
1.40
1.70
Goals for per game
1.80
1.30
Goals against per game
1.30
50.0%
Win rate
40.0%
1.70
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.80
1.62
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.40
1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.30
1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.27
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.96
1.36
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.80
Overall performance9 signals
90
45
Matches
56
1.84
PPG
1.20
53.3%
Win rate
30.4%
24.4%
Draw rate
28.6%
22.2%
Loss rate
41.1%
66.7%
Over 1.5 rate
78.6%
48.9%
Over 2.5 rate
53.6%
26.7%
Over 3.5 rate
30.4%
1.47
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.77
Venue performance10 signals
100
20
Matches
28
1.95
PPG
0.96
55.0%
Win rate
21.4%
30.0%
Draw rate
32.1%
15.0%
Loss rate
46.4%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
75.0%
60.0%
Over 2.5 rate
42.9%
30.0%
Over 3.5 rate
25.0%
1.68
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.27
20
History Matches
28
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.53
Goals for per game
1.38
73.3%
Scoring rate
76.8%
48.9%
BTTS rate
57.1%
1.75
Goals for per game
1.04
75.0%
Scoring rate
78.6%
60.0%
BTTS rate
60.7%
2.00
Goals for per game
2.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
45
History Matches
56
1.53
Goals Mean
1.38
1.34
Goals Std
1.14
73.3%
Scored 1+ rate
76.8%
46.7%
Scored 2+ rate
35.7%
20.0%
Scored 3+ rate
19.6%
1.75
Venue Goals Mean
1.04
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.00
Goals against per game
1.48
60.0%
Conceding rate
73.2%
1.05
Goals against per game
1.57
70.0%
Conceding rate
75.0%
2.00
Goals against per game
3.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
45
History Matches
56
1.00
Conceded Mean
1.48
1.01
Conceded Std
1.32
31.1%
Conceded 2+ rate
42.9%
6.7%
Conceded 3+ rate
19.6%
1.05
Venue Conceded Mean
1.57
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
40.0%
Clean-sheet rate
26.8%
26.7%
Failed-to-score rate
23.2%
30.0%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
21.4%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
40.0%
Clean-sheet rate
26.8%
26.7%
Failed-to-score rate
23.2%
30.0%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
21.4%
40.0%
Clean-sheet rate
26.8%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
45
History Matches
56
0.92
Result entropy
0.99
1.47
Goal Difference Std
1.77
7.71
Stability score
1.21
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
44
Eligible Matches
56
12
Lead Matches
12
91.7%
Lead Win Rate
83.3%
0.94
Lead Points Retention
0.89
8
Trailing Matches
21
25.0%
Non-loss rate
19.0%
12.5%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
44
Halftime Coverage Matches
56
0.61
First Half Goals For Mean
0.54
0.50
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.73
0.91
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.84
0.50
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.75
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
75.97
Rest days
73.88
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
1
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.00
30
Normal Rest History Matches
35
1.90
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.23
13
Long Rest History Matches
19
1.77
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.26
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1
Matches
1
1.00
PPG
0.00
0.0%
Win rate
0.0%
100.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
1
Current Competition Matches
1
1.00
Current Competition PPG
0.00
0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-1.00
3
Competition Season Count
4
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.30
Portability PPG Std
0.01
0.61
Portability PPG Range
0.01
62.30
Portability Score
98.70
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
45
Clean History Matches
56
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO103.3
PPG0.65
GF0.16
GA-0.48
PPG1.00
PPG0.99
PPG0.60
PPG0.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-11
Clean-sheet rate13.2%
Failed-to-score rate3.5%
History Matches-8
Clean-sheet rate5.0%
Failed-to-score rate3.6%
History Matches-11
Goals Mean0.16
Goals Std0.20
Scored 1+ rate-0.03
Scored 2+ rate11.0%
Scored 3+ rate0.4%
Venue Goals Mean0.71
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Goals Std0.22
History Matches-11
Conceded Mean-0.48
Conceded Std-0.31
Clean-sheet rate13.2%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.12
Conceded 3+ rate-0.13
Venue Conceded Mean-0.52
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.26
History Matches-11
Result entropy-0.07
Goal Difference Std-0.30
Stability score6.50
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.02
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.45
Eligible Matches-12
Lead Matches0
Lead Win Rate8.3%
Lead Points Retention0.06
Trailing Matches-13
Non-loss rate6.0%
Trailing Win Rate12.5%
Halftime Coverage Matches-12
First Half Goals For Mean0.08
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.23
Second Half Goals For Mean0.07
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.25
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean1.00
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.30
Portability PPG Range0.59
Portability Score-36.40
Rest days2.09
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match0.00
Normal Rest History Matches-5
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.67
Long Rest History Matches-6
Long Rest Points Per Match0.51
Current Team ELO103.3
Current Opponent ELO-103.3
Current ELO Difference206.7
Expected score0.29
History Matches-11
Residual Mean0.10
Overperformance6.98
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.00

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Parma U20

W
Albinoleffe U200–2Parma U201 Nov · away
Pick: Parma U20 56% · hit
L
Internazionale U202–1Parma U2025 Oct · away
Pick: Internazionale U20 52% · hit
W
Parma U205–2Bologna U2016 Oct · home
Pick: Bologna U20 42% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Torino U20

D
Torino U200–0Juventus U201 Nov · home
Pick: Juventus U20 42% · missed
D
Sassuolo U202–2Torino U2023 Oct · away
Pick: Sassuolo U20 52% · missed
W
Torino U202–1Roma U2017 Oct · home
Pick: Roma U20 49% · missed
D
Torino U203–3Lecce U2030 Aug · home
Pick: Torino U20 36% · missed
L
Milan U203–2Torino U2024 Aug · away
Pick: Milan U20 47% · hit

About this match

Parma U20 and Torino U20 meet in Campionato Primavera - 1 on Friday 6 November 2026, kickoff 14:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC: Parma U20 win 48.8%, draw 25.8%, Torino U20 win 25.4%. The pick is Parma U20 win. Over 2.5 goals: 54.2%. Both teams to score: 56.3%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.