ScoreProb
Liga 2 Indonesia Round 9 2026

Persikad Depok FC vs Persiku Kudus

Persikad Depok FC Home · Elo 1,497
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Persiku Kudus Away · Elo 1,461
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Persiku Kudus win
Persikad Depok FC win
32.6%
Draw
26.1%
Persiku Kudus winPick
41.3%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.558.8%
Under 2.541.2%

How much we know

Persikad Depok FC history26 matches
Persiku Kudus history32 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 12:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (41.3%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Persiku Kudus are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Persikad Depok FC are rated 36 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,497 against 1,461. On rating alone Persikad Depok FC would be expected to take 55% of the points on offer.

  • Persikad Depok FC score more

    1.50 goals a game over 26 matches for Persikad Depok FC, against 1.13 over 32 for Persiku Kudus.

  • Persiku Kudus concede fewer

    Persikad Depok FC concede 1.69 a game, Persiku Kudus 1.34.

  • Persikad Depok FC games more often go over 2.5 goals

    65% of Persikad Depok FC matches, against 47% for Persiku Kudus. The model puts this match at 59% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 3 May 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Persikad Depok FC
Persiku Kudus
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1496.7
ELO
1461.0
26
ELO · Matches
32
1496.7
Current Team ELO
1461.0
1461.0
Current Opponent ELO
1496.7
35.75
Current ELO Difference
-35.75
0.55
Expected score
0.45
26
History Matches
32
-0.01
Residual Mean
-0.05
49.29
Overperformance
46.67
-0.04
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.00
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.00
PPG
0.80
1.60
Goals for per game
1.20
2.20
Goals against per game
1.80
20.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.20
PPG
1.20
1.70
Goals for per game
1.30
1.80
Goals against per game
1.30
30.0%
Win rate
30.0%
1.70
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.30
1.10
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.19
1.80
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.30
0.98
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.00
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
1.45
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.34
Overall performance9 signals
90
26
Matches
32
1.31
PPG
1.16
34.6%
Win rate
31.3%
26.9%
Draw rate
21.9%
38.5%
Loss rate
46.9%
80.8%
Over 1.5 rate
65.6%
65.4%
Over 2.5 rate
46.9%
46.2%
Over 3.5 rate
18.8%
1.80
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.52
Venue performance10 signals
100
12
Matches
15
1.50
PPG
0.67
41.7%
Win rate
13.3%
25.0%
Draw rate
26.7%
33.3%
Loss rate
60.0%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
60.0%
58.3%
Over 2.5 rate
46.7%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
20.0%
1.89
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.59
12
History Matches
15
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.50
Goals for per game
1.13
80.8%
Scoring rate
68.8%
65.4%
BTTS rate
50.0%
1.67
Goals for per game
0.93
75.0%
Scoring rate
46.7%
50.0%
BTTS rate
46.7%
26
History Matches
32
1.50
Goals Mean
1.13
1.12
Goals Std
1.11
80.8%
Scored 1+ rate
68.8%
42.3%
Scored 2+ rate
25.0%
23.1%
Scored 3+ rate
12.5%
1.67
Venue Goals Mean
0.93
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.69
Goals against per game
1.34
80.8%
Conceding rate
71.9%
1.58
Goals against per game
1.40
75.0%
Conceding rate
80.0%
26
History Matches
32
1.69
Conceded Mean
1.34
1.29
Conceded Std
1.16
50.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
40.6%
26.9%
Conceded 3+ rate
15.6%
1.58
Venue Conceded Mean
1.40
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
19.2%
Clean-sheet rate
28.1%
19.2%
Failed-to-score rate
31.3%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
53.3%
19.2%
Clean-sheet rate
28.1%
19.2%
Failed-to-score rate
31.3%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
53.3%
19.2%
Clean-sheet rate
28.1%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
26
History Matches
32
0.99
Result entropy
0.96
1.80
Goal Difference Std
1.52
0.97
Stability score
4.32
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
26
Eligible Matches
32
7
Lead Matches
7
85.7%
Lead Win Rate
71.4%
0.90
Lead Points Retention
0.71
10
Trailing Matches
9
30.0%
Non-loss rate
11.1%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
26
Halftime Coverage Matches
32
0.73
First Half Goals For Mean
0.38
0.81
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.56
0.77
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.75
0.88
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.78
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
190.1
Rest days
189.1
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
16
Normal Rest History Matches
21
1.56
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.33
9
Long Rest History Matches
10
0.89
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.60
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
1
Competition Season Count
2
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
—
Portability PPG Std
0.62
—
Portability PPG Range
1.24
—
Portability Score
44.57
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
26
Clean History Matches
32
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO35.75
PPG0.15
GF0.38
GA0.35
PPG0.83
PPG0.20
PPG0.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-6
Clean-sheet rate-0.09
Failed-to-score rate-0.12
History Matches-3
Clean-sheet rate5.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.28
History Matches-6
Goals Mean0.38
Goals Std0.01
Scored 1+ rate12.0%
Scored 2+ rate17.3%
Scored 3+ rate10.6%
Venue Goals Mean0.73
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.40
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.09
History Matches-6
Conceded Mean0.35
Conceded Std0.13
Clean-sheet rate-0.09
Conceded 2+ rate9.4%
Conceded 3+ rate11.3%
Venue Conceded Mean0.18
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.03
History Matches-6
Result entropy0.03
Goal Difference Std0.28
Stability score-3.36
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.10
Eligible Matches-6
Lead Matches0
Lead Win Rate14.3%
Lead Points Retention0.19
Trailing Matches1
Non-loss rate18.9%
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-6
First Half Goals For Mean0.36
First Half Goals Against Mean0.25
Second Half Goals For Mean0.02
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.10
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Rest days1.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches-5
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.23
Long Rest History Matches-1
Long Rest Points Per Match0.29
Current Team ELO35.75
Current Opponent ELO-35.75
Current ELO Difference71.51
Expected score0.10
History Matches-6
Residual Mean0.04
Overperformance2.62
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.04

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Persikad Depok FC

D
PSIS Semarang0–0Persikad Depok FC1 Nov · away
Pick: PSIS Semarang 47% · missed
L
Persikad Depok FC2–3PSPS24 Oct · home
Pick: PSPS 47% · hit
L
Sumsel United2–1Persikad Depok FC18 Oct · away
Pick: Sumsel United 50% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Persiku Kudus

L
Persiku Kudus1–3Persiraja Banda Aceh30 Oct · home
Pick: Persiku Kudus 38% · missed
L
Persiku Kudus1–2Semen Padang24 Oct · home
Pick: Persiku Kudus 41% · missed
L
PSPS4–1Persiku Kudus18 Oct · away
Pick: PSPS 41% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Persikad Depok FC and Persiku Kudus meet in Liga 2 on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Persikad Depok FC win 32.6%, draw 26.1%, Persiku Kudus win 41.3%. The pick is Persiku Kudus win. Over 2.5 goals: 58.8%. Both teams to score: 55.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.