ScoreProb
Liga 2 Indonesia Round 9 2026

PSPS vs PSGC Ciamis

PSPS Home · Elo 1,514
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
PSGC Ciamis Away · Elo 1,500
Kaharudin Nasution Sport Center Rumbai Stadium, Pekanbaru Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: PSPS win
PSPS winPick
64.3%
Draw
20.0%
PSGC Ciamis win
15.7%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes53.4%
No46.6%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.555.9%
Under 2.544.1%

How much we know

PSPS history32 matches
PSGC Ciamis history0 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 12:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (64.3%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.

Why PSPS are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,514 against 1,500. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
PSPS
PSGC Ciamis
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1514.0
ELO
1500.0
32
ELO · Matches
0
1514.0
Current Team ELO
1500.0
1500.0
Current Opponent ELO
1514.0
14.02
Current ELO Difference
-14.02
0.52
Expected score
0.48
32
History Matches
0
0.02
Residual Mean
—
51.43
Overperformance
—
0.12
Recent 10 Residual Mean
—
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
0
2.40
PPG
—
3.40
Goals for per game
—
1.20
Goals against per game
—
80.0%
Win rate
—
10
Matches
0
1.60
PPG
—
2.30
Goals for per game
—
1.40
Goals against per game
—
40.0%
Win rate
—
2.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean
—
1.62
Recent 10 Goals Std
—
1.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
—
1.28
Recent 10 Conceded Std
—
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
—
2.12
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
—
Overall performance9 signals
90
32
Matches
0
1.34
PPG
—
34.4%
Win rate
—
31.3%
Draw rate
—
34.4%
Loss rate
—
71.9%
Over 1.5 rate
—
43.8%
Over 2.5 rate
—
40.6%
Over 3.5 rate
—
1.76
Goal difference · Standard deviation
—
Venue performance10 signals
100
16
Matches
0
1.81
PPG
—
50.0%
Win rate
—
31.3%
Draw rate
—
18.8%
Loss rate
—
56.3%
Over 1.5 rate
—
25.0%
Over 2.5 rate
—
25.0%
Over 3.5 rate
—
1.11
Goal difference · Standard deviation
—
16
History Matches
0
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.69
Goals for per game
—
78.1%
Scoring rate
—
56.3%
BTTS rate
—
1.44
Goals for per game
—
75.0%
Scoring rate
—
37.5%
BTTS rate
—
32
History Matches
0
1.69
Goals Mean
—
1.45
Goals Std
—
78.1%
Scored 1+ rate
—
50.0%
Scored 2+ rate
—
21.9%
Scored 3+ rate
—
1.44
Venue Goals Mean
—
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.47
Goals against per game
—
71.9%
Conceding rate
—
0.81
Goals against per game
—
50.0%
Conceding rate
—
32
History Matches
0
1.47
Conceded Mean
—
1.48
Conceded Std
—
40.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
—
18.8%
Conceded 3+ rate
—
0.81
Venue Conceded Mean
—
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
28.1%
Clean-sheet rate
—
21.9%
Failed-to-score rate
—
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
—
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
—
28.1%
Clean-sheet rate
—
21.9%
Failed-to-score rate
—
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
—
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
—
28.1%
Clean-sheet rate
—
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
32
History Matches
0
1.00
Result entropy
—
1.76
Goal Difference Std
—
0.09
Stability score
—
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
32
Eligible Matches
0
10
Lead Matches
0
50.0%
Lead Win Rate
—
0.63
Lead Points Retention
—
4
Trailing Matches
0
25.0%
Non-loss rate
—
25.0%
Trailing Win Rate
—
Goal timing5 signals
50
32
Halftime Coverage Matches
0
0.78
First Half Goals For Mean
—
0.59
First Half Goals Against Mean
—
0.91
Second Half Goals For Mean
—
0.88
Second Half Goals Against Mean
—
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
190.1
Rest days
—
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
19
Normal Rest History Matches
0
1.63
Normal Rest Points Per Match
—
12
Long Rest History Matches
0
1.00
Long Rest Points Per Match
—
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
0
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
0
0.21
Portability PPG Std
—
0.42
Portability PPG Range
—
70.27
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
32
Clean History Matches
0
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGGFGAPPGPPGPPGPPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateGoals MeanGoals StdScored 1+ rateScored 2+ rateScored 3+ rateVenue Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals StdConceded MeanConceded StdClean-sheet rateConceded 2+ rateConceded 3+ rateVenue Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded StdResult entropyGoal Difference StdStability scoreRecent 10 Result EntropyRecent 10 Goal Difference StdLead Win RateLead Points RetentionNon-loss rateTrailing Win RateFirst Half Goals For MeanFirst Half Goals Against MeanSecond Half Goals For MeanSecond Half Goals Against MeanCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreRest daysShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per MatchResidual MeanOverperformanceRecent 10 Residual Mean
ELO14.02
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches32
History Matches16
History Matches32
History Matches32
History Matches32
Eligible Matches32
Lead Matches10
Trailing Matches4
Halftime Coverage Matches32
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count2
Eligible Competition Season Count2
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches19
Long Rest History Matches12
Current Team ELO14.02
Current Opponent ELO-14.02
Current ELO Difference28.03
Expected score0.04
History Matches32

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

PSPS

D
Bekasi City1–1PSPS31 Oct · away
Pick: Bekasi City 45% · missed
W
Persikad Depok FC2–3PSPS24 Oct · away
Pick: PSPS 47% · hit
W
PSPS4–1Persiku Kudus18 Oct · home
Pick: PSPS 41% · hit
W
Semen Padang0–1PSPS4 Oct · away
Pick: PSPS 44% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

PSGC Ciamis

L
PSGC Ciamis1–2PSMS Medan31 Oct · home
Pick: PSGC Ciamis 35% · missed
L
Persiraja Banda Aceh2–1PSGC Ciamis24 Oct · away
Pick: Persiraja Banda Aceh 65% · hit
D
PSGC Ciamis0–0PSIS Semarang17 Oct · home
Pick: PSGC Ciamis 37% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

PSPS and PSGC Ciamis meet in Liga 2 on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. The match is played at Kaharudin Nasution Sport Center Rumbai Stadium, Pekanbaru. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: PSPS win 64.3%, draw 20.0%, PSGC Ciamis win 15.7%. The pick is PSPS win. Over 2.5 goals: 55.9%. Both teams to score: 53.4%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.