ScoreProb
Liga 2 Indonesia Round 9 2026

Persipura Jayapura vs Deltras

Persipura Jayapura Home · Elo 1,579
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Deltras Away · Elo 1,481
Mandala Stadium, Jayapura Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Persipura Jayapura win
Persipura Jayapura winPick
54.9%
Draw
26.1%
Deltras win
19.0%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes48.2%
No51.8%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.551.5%
Under 2.548.5%

How much we know

Persipura Jayapura history34 matches
Deltras history31 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 12:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (54.9%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Persipura Jayapura are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Persipura Jayapura are rated 98 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,579 against 1,481. On rating alone Persipura Jayapura would be expected to take 64% of the points on offer.

  • Persipura Jayapura score more

    1.79 goals a game over 34 matches for Persipura Jayapura, against 1.39 over 31 for Deltras.

  • Persipura Jayapura concede fewer

    Persipura Jayapura concede 0.68 a game, Deltras 1.42.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    44% of Persipura Jayapura matches, against 52% for Deltras. The model puts this match at 52% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 8 May 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Persipura Jayapura
Deltras
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1579.0
ELO
1481.1
34
ELO · Matches
31
1579.0
Current Team ELO
1481.1
1481.1
Current Opponent ELO
1579.0
97.89
Current ELO Difference
-97.89
0.64
Expected score
0.36
34
History Matches
31
0.13
Residual Mean
-0.02
57.88
Overperformance
48.68
0.03
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.10
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
1.80
2.00
Goals for per game
1.80
0.40
Goals against per game
1.60
60.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
1.90
PPG
1.20
1.90
Goals for per game
1.20
0.70
Goals against per game
1.80
60.0%
Win rate
40.0%
1.90
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.20
1.70
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.25
0.70
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.80
0.78
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.75
0.82
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.61
2.09
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.62
Overall performance9 signals
90
34
Matches
31
2.03
PPG
1.35
61.8%
Win rate
41.9%
17.6%
Draw rate
9.7%
20.6%
Loss rate
48.4%
70.6%
Over 1.5 rate
77.4%
44.1%
Over 2.5 rate
51.6%
17.6%
Over 3.5 rate
29.0%
2.01
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.71
Venue performance10 signals
100
19
Matches
14
2.37
PPG
1.36
73.7%
Win rate
42.9%
15.8%
Draw rate
7.1%
10.5%
Loss rate
50.0%
68.4%
Over 1.5 rate
64.3%
42.1%
Over 2.5 rate
57.1%
21.1%
Over 3.5 rate
28.6%
1.95
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.86
19
History Matches
14
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.79
Goals for per game
1.39
79.4%
Scoring rate
67.7%
38.2%
BTTS rate
51.6%
2.11
Goals for per game
1.29
89.5%
Scoring rate
57.1%
31.6%
BTTS rate
42.9%
34
History Matches
31
1.79
Goals Mean
1.39
1.66
Goals Std
1.29
79.4%
Scored 1+ rate
67.7%
50.0%
Scored 2+ rate
41.9%
23.5%
Scored 3+ rate
19.4%
2.11
Venue Goals Mean
1.29
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
0.68
Goals against per game
1.42
52.9%
Conceding rate
80.6%
0.47
Goals against per game
1.50
36.8%
Conceding rate
78.6%
34
History Matches
31
0.68
Conceded Mean
1.42
0.76
Conceded Std
1.04
11.8%
Conceded 2+ rate
41.9%
2.9%
Conceded 3+ rate
16.1%
0.47
Venue Conceded Mean
1.50
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
47.1%
Clean-sheet rate
19.4%
20.6%
Failed-to-score rate
32.3%
63.2%
Clean-sheet rate
21.4%
10.5%
Failed-to-score rate
42.9%
47.1%
Clean-sheet rate
19.4%
20.6%
Failed-to-score rate
32.3%
63.2%
Clean-sheet rate
21.4%
10.5%
Failed-to-score rate
42.9%
47.1%
Clean-sheet rate
19.4%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
34
History Matches
31
0.85
Result entropy
0.86
2.01
Goal Difference Std
1.71
15.43
Stability score
14.28
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
34
Eligible Matches
31
15
Lead Matches
9
93.3%
Lead Win Rate
66.7%
0.96
Lead Points Retention
0.70
10
Trailing Matches
10
30.0%
Non-loss rate
30.0%
10.0%
Trailing Win Rate
30.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
34
Halftime Coverage Matches
31
0.76
First Half Goals For Mean
0.58
0.32
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.71
1.03
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.81
0.35
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.71
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
183.2
Rest days
188.1
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
19
Normal Rest History Matches
19
1.89
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.42
14
Long Rest History Matches
11
2.29
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.36
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
2
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.02
Portability PPG Std
0.45
0.04
Portability PPG Range
0.90
96.43
Portability Score
52.63
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
34
Clean History Matches
31
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO97.89
PPG0.67
GF0.41
GA-0.74
PPG1.01
PPG0.20
PPG0.70
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches3
Clean-sheet rate27.7%
Failed-to-score rate-0.12
History Matches5
Clean-sheet rate41.7%
Failed-to-score rate-0.32
History Matches3
Goals Mean0.41
Goals Std0.37
Scored 1+ rate11.7%
Scored 2+ rate8.1%
Scored 3+ rate4.2%
Venue Goals Mean0.82
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.70
Recent 10 Goals Std0.45
History Matches3
Conceded Mean-0.74
Conceded Std-0.28
Clean-sheet rate27.7%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.30
Conceded 3+ rate-0.13
Venue Conceded Mean-1.03
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.03
History Matches3
Result entropy-0.01
Goal Difference Std0.30
Stability score1.15
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.20
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.46
Eligible Matches3
Lead Matches6
Lead Win Rate26.7%
Lead Points Retention0.25
Trailing Matches0
Non-loss rate0.0%
Trailing Win Rate-0.20
Halftime Coverage Matches3
First Half Goals For Mean0.18
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.39
Second Half Goals For Mean0.22
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.36
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.43
Portability PPG Range-0.86
Portability Score43.80
Rest days-4.98
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.47
Long Rest History Matches3
Long Rest Points Per Match0.92
Current Team ELO97.89
Current Opponent ELO-97.89
Current ELO Difference195.8
Expected score0.27
History Matches3
Residual Mean0.15
Overperformance9.20
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.13

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Persipura Jayapura

L
Persela Lamongan3–1Persipura Jayapura31 Oct · away
Pick: Persipura Jayapura 39% · missed
W
Persipura Jayapura5–1Persiba Balikpapan23 Oct · home
Pick: Persipura Jayapura 62% · hit
W
PSBS Biak Numfor1–6Persipura Jayapura17 Oct · away
Pick: Persipura Jayapura 57% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Deltras

L
Deltras0–2Dejan31 Oct · home
Pick: Deltras 57% · missed
D
Tornado Pekanbaru2–2Deltras24 Oct · away
Pick: Tornado Pekanbaru 46% · missed
D
Deltras3–3Persis Solo18 Oct · home
Pick: Persis Solo 37% · missed
W
Deltras2–0Persiba Balikpapan4 Oct · home
Pick: Deltras 48% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Persipura Jayapura and Deltras meet in Liga 2 on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. The match is played at Mandala Stadium, Jayapura. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Persipura Jayapura win 54.9%, draw 26.1%, Deltras win 19.0%. The pick is Persipura Jayapura win. Over 2.5 goals: 51.5%. Both teams to score: 48.2%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.