ScoreProb
Liga 2 Indonesia Round 9 2026

Persis Solo vs Persiba Balikpapan

Persis Solo Home · Elo 1,479
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Persiba Balikpapan Away · Elo 1,427
Manahan Stadium, Surakarta Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Persis Solo win
Persis Solo winPick
50.3%
Draw
28.6%
Persiba Balikpapan win
21.0%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes55.4%
No44.6%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.555.2%
Under 2.544.8%

How much we know

Persis Solo history49 matches
Persiba Balikpapan history27 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 12:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (50.3%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Persis Solo are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Persis Solo are rated 52 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,479 against 1,427. On rating alone Persis Solo would be expected to take 57% of the points on offer.

  • Persis Solo score more

    1.22 goals a game over 49 matches for Persis Solo, against 0.89 over 27 for Persiba Balikpapan.

  • Defences are close

    Persis Solo concede 1.57 a game, Persiba Balikpapan 1.52.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    55% of Persis Solo matches, against 52% for Persiba Balikpapan. The model puts this match at 55% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 May 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Persis Solo
Persiba Balikpapan
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1478.9
ELO
1427.1
49
ELO · Matches
27
1478.9
Current Team ELO
1427.1
1427.1
Current Opponent ELO
1478.9
51.76
Current ELO Difference
-51.76
0.57
Expected score
0.43
49
History Matches
27
-0.02
Residual Mean
-0.14
48.62
Overperformance
42.09
0.18
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.06
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
1.00
1.20
Goals for per game
1.40
2.00
Goals against per game
2.00
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.70
PPG
0.80
1.40
Goals for per game
0.80
1.50
Goals against per game
1.40
50.0%
Win rate
10.0%
1.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.80
1.11
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.98
1.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.40
1.63
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.02
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
2.12
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.11
Overall performance9 signals
90
49
Matches
27
1.16
PPG
0.81
28.6%
Win rate
18.5%
30.6%
Draw rate
25.9%
40.8%
Loss rate
55.6%
73.5%
Over 1.5 rate
74.1%
55.1%
Over 2.5 rate
51.9%
34.7%
Over 3.5 rate
11.1%
1.55
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.36
Venue performance10 signals
100
25
Matches
14
1.20
PPG
0.71
28.0%
Win rate
14.3%
36.0%
Draw rate
28.6%
36.0%
Loss rate
57.1%
76.0%
Over 1.5 rate
85.7%
64.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
36.0%
Over 3.5 rate
7.1%
1.26
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.25
25
History Matches
14
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.22
Goals for per game
0.89
69.4%
Scoring rate
59.3%
57.1%
BTTS rate
51.9%
1.36
Goals for per game
0.86
80.0%
Scoring rate
57.1%
68.0%
BTTS rate
57.1%
49
History Matches
27
1.22
Goals Mean
0.89
1.05
Goals Std
0.96
69.4%
Scored 1+ rate
59.3%
38.8%
Scored 2+ rate
18.5%
12.2%
Scored 3+ rate
11.1%
1.36
Venue Goals Mean
0.86
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.57
Goals against per game
1.52
77.6%
Conceding rate
85.2%
1.56
Goals against per game
1.71
84.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
49
History Matches
27
1.57
Conceded Mean
1.52
1.29
Conceded Std
0.96
46.9%
Conceded 2+ rate
48.1%
20.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
18.5%
1.56
Venue Conceded Mean
1.71
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
22.4%
Clean-sheet rate
14.8%
30.6%
Failed-to-score rate
40.7%
16.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
42.9%
22.4%
Clean-sheet rate
14.8%
30.6%
Failed-to-score rate
40.7%
16.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
42.9%
22.4%
Clean-sheet rate
14.8%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
49
History Matches
27
0.99
Result entropy
0.90
1.55
Goal Difference Std
1.36
1.14
Stability score
9.99
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
49
Eligible Matches
27
10
Lead Matches
4
70.0%
Lead Win Rate
75.0%
0.77
Lead Points Retention
0.75
18
Trailing Matches
9
27.8%
Non-loss rate
44.4%
5.6%
Trailing Win Rate
22.2%
Goal timing5 signals
50
49
Halftime Coverage Matches
27
0.41
First Half Goals For Mean
0.33
0.71
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.56
0.82
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.56
0.86
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.96
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
168.1
Rest days
183.2
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
30
Normal Rest History Matches
16
1.17
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.81
18
Long Rest History Matches
10
1.17
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.60
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
1
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
0.27
Portability PPG Std
—
0.53
Portability PPG Range
—
65.22
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
49
Clean History Matches
27
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO51.76
PPG0.35
GF0.34
GA0.05
PPG0.49
PPG0.40
PPG0.90
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches22
Clean-sheet rate7.6%
Failed-to-score rate-0.10
History Matches11
Clean-sheet rate16.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.23
History Matches22
Goals Mean0.34
Goals Std0.10
Scored 1+ rate10.1%
Scored 2+ rate20.3%
Scored 3+ rate1.1%
Venue Goals Mean0.50
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.60
Recent 10 Goals Std0.13
History Matches22
Conceded Mean0.05
Conceded Std0.34
Clean-sheet rate7.6%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.01
Conceded 3+ rate1.9%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.15
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.61
History Matches22
Result entropy0.09
Goal Difference Std0.18
Stability score-8.85
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.08
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std1.01
Eligible Matches22
Lead Matches6
Lead Win Rate-0.05
Lead Points Retention0.02
Trailing Matches9
Non-loss rate-0.17
Trailing Win Rate-0.17
Halftime Coverage Matches22
First Half Goals For Mean0.07
First Half Goals Against Mean0.16
Second Half Goals For Mean0.26
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.11
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Rest days-15.04
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches14
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.35
Long Rest History Matches8
Long Rest Points Per Match0.57
Current Team ELO51.76
Current Opponent ELO-51.76
Current ELO Difference103.5
Expected score0.15
History Matches22
Residual Mean0.12
Overperformance6.53
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.23

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Persis Solo

L
Barito Putera2–1Persis Solo30 Oct · away
Pick: Barito Putera 41% · hit
D
Persis Solo2–2RANS Nusantara24 Oct · home
Pick: Persis Solo 78% · missed
D
Deltras3–3Persis Solo18 Oct · away
Pick: Persis Solo 37% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Persiba Balikpapan

W
Persiba Balikpapan3–1PSBS Biak Numfor29 Oct · home
Pick: Persiba Balikpapan 48% · hit
L
Persipura Jayapura5–1Persiba Balikpapan23 Oct · away
Pick: Persipura Jayapura 62% · hit
L
Persiba Balikpapan0–3Tornado Pekanbaru16 Oct · home
Pick: Tornado Pekanbaru 44% · hit
L
Deltras2–0Persiba Balikpapan4 Oct · away
Pick: Deltras 48% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Persis Solo and Persiba Balikpapan meet in Liga 2 on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. The match is played at Manahan Stadium, Surakarta. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Persis Solo win 50.3%, draw 28.6%, Persiba Balikpapan win 21.0%. The pick is Persis Solo win. Over 2.5 goals: 55.2%. Both teams to score: 55.4%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.