ScoreProb
Regionalliga - North Austria North - 16 2026

Pinzgau Saalfelden vs Kuchl

Pinzgau Saalfelden Home · Elo 1,375
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Kuchl Away · Elo 1,578
1508 SaalfeldenArena Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Kuchl win
Pinzgau Saalfelden win
19.6%
Draw
16.4%
Kuchl winPick
64.0%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes53.1%
No46.9%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.562.1%
Under 2.537.9%

How much we know

Pinzgau Saalfelden history54 matches
Kuchl history56 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (64.0%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.

Why Kuchl are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Kuchl are rated 203 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,578 against 1,375. On rating alone Kuchl would be expected to take 76% of the points on offer.

  • Kuchl score far more

    0.98 goals a game over 54 matches for Pinzgau Saalfelden, against 2.16 over 56 for Kuchl.

  • Kuchl concede fewer

    Pinzgau Saalfelden concede 2.07 a game, Kuchl 1.41.

  • Kuchl games more often go over 2.5 goals

    52% of Pinzgau Saalfelden matches, against 71% for Kuchl. The model puts this match at 62% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Pinzgau Saalfelden
Kuchl
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1374.9
ELO
1578.4
54
ELO · Matches
56
1374.9
Current Team ELO
1578.4
1578.4
Current Opponent ELO
1374.9
-203.4
Current ELO Difference
203.4
0.24
Expected score
0.76
54
History Matches
56
-0.11
Residual Mean
0.07
41.76
Overperformance
55.20
-0.14
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.03
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.20
PPG
1.60
1.60
Goals for per game
2.00
3.00
Goals against per game
1.60
0.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
0.50
PPG
1.70
1.20
Goals for per game
1.80
2.70
Goals against per game
1.30
10.0%
Win rate
50.0%
1.20
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.80
0.75
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.08
2.70
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.30
1.19
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.00
0.73
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
1.50
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.75
Overall performance9 signals
90
54
Matches
56
0.78
PPG
1.88
18.5%
Win rate
58.9%
22.2%
Draw rate
10.7%
59.3%
Loss rate
30.4%
83.3%
Over 1.5 rate
85.7%
51.9%
Over 2.5 rate
71.4%
35.2%
Over 3.5 rate
46.4%
1.82
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.20
Venue performance10 signals
100
27
Matches
27
0.93
PPG
1.63
22.2%
Win rate
51.9%
25.9%
Draw rate
7.4%
51.9%
Loss rate
40.7%
88.9%
Over 1.5 rate
85.2%
55.6%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
37.0%
Over 3.5 rate
29.6%
1.62
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.66
27
History Matches
27
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
0.98
Goals for per game
2.16
63.0%
Scoring rate
87.5%
53.7%
BTTS rate
62.5%
1.19
Goals for per game
1.74
81.5%
Scoring rate
85.2%
66.7%
BTTS rate
63.0%
1.60
Goals for per game
2.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
80.0%
54
History Matches
56
0.98
Goals Mean
2.16
0.91
Goals Std
1.68
63.0%
Scored 1+ rate
87.5%
29.6%
Scored 2+ rate
64.3%
5.6%
Scored 3+ rate
32.1%
1.19
Venue Goals Mean
1.74
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
2.07
Goals against per game
1.41
87.0%
Conceding rate
75.0%
1.93
Goals against per game
1.56
81.5%
Conceding rate
77.8%
3.00
Goals against per game
1.60
100.0%
Conceding rate
80.0%
54
History Matches
56
2.07
Conceded Mean
1.41
1.55
Conceded Std
1.18
55.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
41.1%
31.5%
Conceded 3+ rate
17.9%
1.93
Venue Conceded Mean
1.56
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
13.0%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
37.0%
Failed-to-score rate
12.5%
18.5%
Clean-sheet rate
22.2%
18.5%
Failed-to-score rate
14.8%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
13.0%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
37.0%
Failed-to-score rate
12.5%
18.5%
Clean-sheet rate
22.2%
18.5%
Failed-to-score rate
14.8%
13.0%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
54
History Matches
56
0.87
Result entropy
0.83
1.82
Goal Difference Std
2.20
12.93
Stability score
16.91
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
54
Eligible Matches
56
12
Lead Matches
25
50.0%
Lead Win Rate
84.0%
0.58
Lead Points Retention
0.88
25
Trailing Matches
18
16.0%
Non-loss rate
38.9%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
33.3%
Goal timing5 signals
50
54
Halftime Coverage Matches
56
0.50
First Half Goals For Mean
0.98
0.96
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.71
0.48
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.18
1.11
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.70
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.83
Rest days
77.83
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
4
Short Rest History Matches
4
0.25
Short Rest Points Per Match
2.25
32
Normal Rest History Matches
29
0.72
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.86
17
Long Rest History Matches
22
1.06
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.77
Competition & season17 signals
170
5
Matches
5
0.20
PPG
1.60
0.0%
Win rate
40.0%
20.0%
Draw rate
40.0%
80.0%
Loss rate
20.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
80.0%
80.0%
Over 3.5 rate
60.0%
1.02
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.02
5
Current Competition Matches
5
0.20
Current Competition PPG
1.60
-1.40
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.40
5
Competition Season Count
6
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.31
Portability PPG Std
0.56
0.80
Portability PPG Range
1.40
61.86
Portability Score
47.02
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
54
Clean History Matches
56
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-203.4
PPG-1.10
GF-1.18
GA0.66
PPG-1.40
PPG-0.70
PPG-1.40
PPG-1.20
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate-0.12
Failed-to-score rate24.5%
History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate-0.04
Failed-to-score rate3.7%
History Matches-2
Goals Mean-1.18
Goals Std-0.76
Scored 1+ rate-0.25
Scored 2+ rate-0.35
Scored 3+ rate-0.27
Venue Goals Mean-0.56
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.60
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.33
History Matches-2
Conceded Mean0.66
Conceded Std0.37
Clean-sheet rate-0.12
Conceded 2+ rate14.5%
Conceded 3+ rate13.6%
Venue Conceded Mean0.37
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.40
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.18
History Matches-2
Result entropy0.04
Goal Difference Std-0.38
Stability score-3.98
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.21
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.25
Eligible Matches-2
Lead Matches-13
Lead Win Rate-0.34
Lead Points Retention-0.30
Trailing Matches7
Non-loss rate-0.23
Trailing Win Rate-0.33
Halftime Coverage Matches-2
First Half Goals For Mean-0.48
First Half Goals Against Mean0.25
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.70
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.41
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-1.40
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-1.80
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.26
Portability PPG Range-0.60
Portability Score14.85
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match-2.00
Normal Rest History Matches3
Normal Rest Points Per Match-1.14
Long Rest History Matches-5
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.71
Current Team ELO-203.4
Current Opponent ELO203.4
Current ELO Difference-406.9
Expected score-0.53
History Matches-2
Residual Mean-0.18
Overperformance-13.44
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.11

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Pinzgau Saalfelden

D
Pinzgau Saalfelden3–3LASK Juniors30 Oct · home
Pick: LASK Juniors 56% · missed
L
Grödig3–1Pinzgau Saalfelden24 Oct · away
Pick: Grödig 77% · hit
L
Pinzgau Saalfelden0–1SK Vorwarts Steyr17 Oct · home
Pick: SK Vorwarts Steyr 37% · hit
L
Wals-Grünau2–1Pinzgau Saalfelden29 Aug · away
Pick: Wals-Grünau 68% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Kuchl

L
Kuchl1–4Wohnbau Dietach30 Oct · home
Pick: Kuchl 67% · missed
L
LASK Juniors4–0Kuchl24 Oct · away
Pick: LASK Juniors 46% · hit
W
Kuchl1–0Grödig16 Oct · home
Pick: Kuchl 42% · hit
W
Ried II0–3Kuchl29 Aug · away
Pick: Kuchl 39% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Pinzgau Saalfelden and Kuchl meet in Regionalliga - North on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. The match is played at 1508 SaalfeldenArena. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Pinzgau Saalfelden win 19.6%, draw 16.4%, Kuchl win 64.0%. The pick is Kuchl win. Over 2.5 goals: 62.1%. Both teams to score: 53.1%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.