ScoreProb
Thai League 1 Thailand Round 8 2026

Prachuap vs Sisaket United

Prachuap Home · Elo 1,601
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Sisaket United Away · Elo 1,554
Sam Ao Stadium, Mueang Prachuap Khiri Khan Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Prachuap win
Prachuap winPick
40.8%
Draw
33.9%
Sisaket United win
25.3%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · shots, possession, corners, side by side
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes49.7%
No50.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.544.6%
Under 2.555.4%

How much we know

Prachuap history51 matches
Sisaket United history50 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 2 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 11:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (40.8%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Prachuap are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Prachuap are rated 47 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,601 against 1,554. On rating alone Prachuap would be expected to take 57% of the points on offer.

  • Prachuap score more

    1.49 goals a game over 51 matches for Prachuap, against 1.26 over 50 for Sisaket United.

  • Sisaket United concede fewer

    Prachuap concede 1.16 a game, Sisaket United 1.02.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    41% of Prachuap matches, against 38% for Sisaket United. The model puts this match at 45% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 1 Jun 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Prachuap
Sisaket United
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1601.0
ELO
1553.9
51
ELO · Matches
50
1601.0
Current Team ELO
1553.9
1553.9
Current Opponent ELO
1601.0
47.04
Current ELO Difference
-47.04
0.57
Expected score
0.43
51
History Matches
50
0.09
Residual Mean
0.05
56.48
Overperformance
53.26
0.12
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.06
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
1.20
1.20
Goals for per game
2.00
0.80
Goals against per game
1.40
60.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.80
PPG
1.40
1.10
Goals for per game
1.60
0.90
Goals against per game
1.20
50.0%
Win rate
30.0%
1.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.60
1.04
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.43
0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.20
1.14
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.87
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
1.78
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.36
Overall performance9 signals
90
51
Matches
50
1.63
PPG
1.58
45.1%
Win rate
42.0%
27.5%
Draw rate
32.0%
27.5%
Loss rate
26.0%
72.5%
Over 1.5 rate
62.0%
41.2%
Over 2.5 rate
38.0%
27.5%
Over 3.5 rate
24.0%
1.78
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.54
Venue performance10 signals
100
23
Matches
27
2.09
PPG
1.19
60.9%
Win rate
25.9%
26.1%
Draw rate
40.7%
13.0%
Loss rate
33.3%
69.6%
Over 1.5 rate
59.3%
34.8%
Over 2.5 rate
33.3%
21.7%
Over 3.5 rate
22.2%
1.39
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.48
23
History Matches
27
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.49
Goals for per game
1.26
76.5%
Scoring rate
72.0%
47.1%
BTTS rate
46.0%
1.70
Goals for per game
1.04
87.0%
Scoring rate
63.0%
39.1%
BTTS rate
44.4%
51
History Matches
50
1.49
Goals Mean
1.26
1.33
Goals Std
1.13
76.5%
Scored 1+ rate
72.0%
43.1%
Scored 2+ rate
34.0%
13.7%
Scored 3+ rate
16.0%
1.70
Venue Goals Mean
1.04
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.16
Goals against per game
1.02
60.8%
Conceding rate
64.0%
0.83
Goals against per game
1.19
43.5%
Conceding rate
70.4%
51
History Matches
50
1.16
Conceded Mean
1.02
1.26
Conceded Std
1.09
29.4%
Conceded 2+ rate
22.0%
17.6%
Conceded 3+ rate
12.0%
0.83
Venue Conceded Mean
1.19
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
39.2%
Clean-sheet rate
36.0%
23.5%
Failed-to-score rate
28.0%
56.5%
Clean-sheet rate
29.6%
13.0%
Failed-to-score rate
37.0%
39.2%
Clean-sheet rate
36.0%
23.5%
Failed-to-score rate
28.0%
56.5%
Clean-sheet rate
29.6%
13.0%
Failed-to-score rate
37.0%
39.2%
Clean-sheet rate
36.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
51
History Matches
50
0.97
Result entropy
0.98
1.78
Goal Difference Std
1.54
2.71
Stability score
1.77
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
51
Eligible Matches
50
21
Lead Matches
17
71.4%
Lead Win Rate
76.5%
0.76
Lead Points Retention
0.84
14
Trailing Matches
13
28.6%
Non-loss rate
23.1%
14.3%
Trailing Win Rate
7.7%
Goal timing5 signals
50
51
Halftime Coverage Matches
50
0.63
First Half Goals For Mean
0.50
0.41
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.42
0.86
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.76
0.75
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.60
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
161.0
Rest days
197.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
4
0.50
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.25
24
Normal Rest History Matches
28
1.96
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.68
24
Long Rest History Matches
17
1.33
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.53
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
5
Competition Season Count
3
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.53
Portability PPG Std
0.43
1.17
Portability PPG Range
1.00
48.48
Portability Score
53.94
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
51
Clean History Matches
50
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
ELO47.04
PPG0.05
GF0.23
GA0.14
PPG0.90
PPG0.80
PPG0.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate3.2%
Failed-to-score rate-0.04
History Matches-4
Clean-sheet rate26.9%
Failed-to-score rate-0.24
History Matches1
Goals Mean0.23
Goals Std0.21
Scored 1+ rate4.5%
Scored 2+ rate9.1%
Scored 3+ rate-0.02
Venue Goals Mean0.66
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.50
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.38
History Matches1
Conceded Mean0.14
Conceded Std0.17
Clean-sheet rate3.2%
Conceded 2+ rate7.4%
Conceded 3+ rate5.6%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.36
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.26
History Matches1
Result entropy-0.01
Goal Difference Std0.24
Stability score0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.42
Eligible Matches1
Lead Matches4
Lead Win Rate-0.05
Lead Points Retention-0.08
Trailing Matches1
Non-loss rate5.5%
Trailing Win Rate6.6%
Halftime Coverage Matches1
First Half Goals For Mean0.13
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.01
Second Half Goals For Mean0.10
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.15
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count2
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.10
Portability PPG Range0.17
Portability Score-5.47
Rest days-36.04
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-2
Short Rest Points Per Match-0.75
Normal Rest History Matches-4
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.28
Long Rest History Matches7
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.20
Current Team ELO47.04
Current Opponent ELO-47.04
Current ELO Difference94.07
Expected score0.13
History Matches1
Residual Mean0.04
Overperformance3.23
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.17

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Prachuap

D
Prachuap0–0Bangkok United25 Oct · home
Pick: Bangkok United 45% · missed
W
Chonburi FC1–2Prachuap17 Oct · away
Pick: Prachuap 43% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Sisaket United

L
Sisaket United2–5Ratchaburi30 Oct · home
Pick: Ratchaburi 47% · hit
W
Buriram United2–3Sisaket United24 Oct · away
Pick: Buriram United 66% · missed
W
Dome0–7Sisaket United21 Oct · away
Pick: Draw 34% · missed
D
Sisaket United1–1BG Pathum United18 Oct · home
Pick: BG Pathum United 53% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Prachuap and Sisaket United meet in Thai League 1 on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 11:30 UTC. The match is played at Sam Ao Stadium, Mueang Prachuap Khiri Khan. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Prachuap win 40.8%, draw 33.9%, Sisaket United win 25.3%. The pick is Prachuap win. Over 2.5 goals: 44.6%. Both teams to score: 49.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.