ScoreProb
Serie C - Girone A Italy Girone A - 13 2026

PRO Vercelli vs Dolomiti Bellunesi

PRO Vercelli Home · Elo 1,454
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Dolomiti Bellunesi Away · Elo 1,458
Stadio Silvio Piola, Vercelli Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: PRO Vercelli win
PRO Vercelli winPick
40.9%
Draw
28.3%
Dolomiti Bellunesi win
30.8%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes50.6%
No49.4%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.548.8%
Under 2.551.2%

How much we know

PRO Vercelli history64 matches
Dolomiti Bellunesi history60 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 13:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (40.9%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why PRO Vercelli are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,454 against 1,458. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Dolomiti Bellunesi score more

    1.00 goals a game over 64 matches for PRO Vercelli, against 1.32 over 60 for Dolomiti Bellunesi.

  • PRO Vercelli concede fewer

    PRO Vercelli concede 1.34 a game, Dolomiti Bellunesi 1.58.

  • Dolomiti Bellunesi games more often go over 2.5 goals

    41% of PRO Vercelli matches, against 52% for Dolomiti Bellunesi. The model puts this match at 49% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 25 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
PRO Vercelli
Dolomiti Bellunesi
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1453.7
ELO
1458.1
64
ELO · Matches
60
1453.7
Current Team ELO
1458.1
1458.1
Current Opponent ELO
1453.7
-4.34
Current ELO Difference
4.34
0.49
Expected score
0.51
64
History Matches
60
-0.03
Residual Mean
-0.04
47.36
Overperformance
47.15
-0.02
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.07
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.00
PPG
1.40
1.20
Goals for per game
1.20
1.80
Goals against per game
1.40
20.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.00
PPG
0.90
1.00
Goals for per game
1.00
1.50
Goals against per game
1.60
20.0%
Win rate
20.0%
1.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.00
0.77
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.77
1.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.60
1.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.36
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
1.20
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.11
Overall performance9 signals
90
64
Matches
60
1.14
PPG
1.27
31.3%
Win rate
33.3%
20.3%
Draw rate
26.7%
48.4%
Loss rate
40.0%
65.6%
Over 1.5 rate
80.0%
40.6%
Over 2.5 rate
51.7%
21.9%
Over 3.5 rate
31.7%
1.69
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.77
Venue performance10 signals
100
32
Matches
31
1.34
PPG
1.03
34.4%
Win rate
25.8%
31.3%
Draw rate
25.8%
34.4%
Loss rate
48.4%
53.1%
Over 1.5 rate
93.5%
28.1%
Over 2.5 rate
64.5%
18.8%
Over 3.5 rate
41.9%
1.71
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.77
32
History Matches
31
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.00
Goals for per game
1.32
62.5%
Scoring rate
75.0%
42.2%
BTTS rate
58.3%
0.97
Goals for per game
1.29
59.4%
Scoring rate
71.0%
34.4%
BTTS rate
64.5%
1.00
Goals for per game
2.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
64
History Matches
60
1.00
Goals Mean
1.32
1.09
Goals Std
1.15
62.5%
Scored 1+ rate
75.0%
21.9%
Scored 2+ rate
36.7%
10.9%
Scored 3+ rate
11.7%
0.97
Venue Goals Mean
1.29
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.34
Goals against per game
1.58
71.9%
Conceding rate
76.7%
0.97
Goals against per game
2.06
59.4%
Conceding rate
90.3%
1.00
Goals against per game
1.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
64
History Matches
60
1.34
Conceded Mean
1.58
1.19
Conceded Std
1.35
42.2%
Conceded 2+ rate
45.0%
12.5%
Conceded 3+ rate
21.7%
0.97
Venue Conceded Mean
2.06
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
28.1%
Clean-sheet rate
23.3%
37.5%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
40.6%
Clean-sheet rate
9.7%
40.6%
Failed-to-score rate
29.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
28.1%
Clean-sheet rate
23.3%
37.5%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
40.6%
Clean-sheet rate
9.7%
40.6%
Failed-to-score rate
29.0%
28.1%
Clean-sheet rate
23.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
64
History Matches
60
0.95
Result entropy
0.99
1.69
Goal Difference Std
1.77
5.48
Stability score
1.22
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
63
Eligible Matches
59
14
Lead Matches
16
85.7%
Lead Win Rate
75.0%
0.88
Lead Points Retention
0.77
22
Trailing Matches
17
22.7%
Non-loss rate
17.6%
4.5%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
63
Halftime Coverage Matches
59
0.37
First Half Goals For Mean
0.63
0.49
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.73
0.60
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.68
0.81
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.81
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
75.90
Rest days
74.77
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
1
1.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
3.00
41
Normal Rest History Matches
36
1.10
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.17
21
Long Rest History Matches
22
1.14
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.27
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1
Matches
1
1.00
PPG
3.00
0.0%
Win rate
100.0%
100.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
0.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
1
Current Competition Matches
1
1.00
Current Competition PPG
3.00
0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
1.00
8
Competition Season Count
8
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.64
Portability PPG Std
0.71
1.54
Portability PPG Range
1.74
43.86
Portability Score
41.22
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
64
Clean History Matches
60
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-4.34
PPG-0.13
GF-0.32
GA-0.24
PPG-2.00
PPG0.31
PPG-0.40
PPG0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches4
Clean-sheet rate4.8%
Failed-to-score rate12.5%
History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate30.9%
Failed-to-score rate11.6%
History Matches4
Goals Mean-0.32
Goals Std-0.06
Scored 1+ rate-0.13
Scored 2+ rate-0.15
Scored 3+ rate-0.01
Venue Goals Mean-0.32
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.00
Recent 10 Goals Std0.00
History Matches4
Conceded Mean-0.24
Conceded Std-0.16
Clean-sheet rate4.8%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.03
Conceded 3+ rate-0.09
Venue Conceded Mean-1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.15
History Matches4
Result entropy-0.04
Goal Difference Std-0.08
Stability score4.26
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.02
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.09
Eligible Matches4
Lead Matches-2
Lead Win Rate10.7%
Lead Points Retention0.11
Trailing Matches5
Non-loss rate5.1%
Trailing Win Rate4.5%
Halftime Coverage Matches4
First Half Goals For Mean-0.26
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.24
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.07
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.00
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-2.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-1.00
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.07
Portability PPG Range-0.20
Portability Score2.65
Rest days1.13
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match-2.00
Normal Rest History Matches5
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.07
Long Rest History Matches-1
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.13
Current Team ELO-4.34
Current Opponent ELO4.34
Current ELO Difference-8.68
Expected score-0.01
History Matches4
Residual Mean0.00
Overperformance0.21
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.05

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

PRO Vercelli

D
Juventus U231–1PRO Vercelli2 Nov · away
Pick: Juventus U23 51% · missed
W
PRO Vercelli2–1Ospitaletto25 Oct · home
Pick: Ospitaletto 38% · missed
L
PRO Vercelli0–5Lecco16 Oct · home
Pick: PRO Vercelli 43% · missed
L
Arzignano Valchiampo1–0PRO Vercelli30 Aug · away
Pick: Arzignano Valchiampo 46% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Dolomiti Bellunesi

L
Dolomiti Bellunesi0–4Lecco1 Nov · home
Pick: Dolomiti Bellunesi 45% · missed
W
Desenzano Calvina0–1Dolomiti Bellunesi28 Oct · away
Pick: Desenzano Calvina 42% · missed
L
Treviso2–1Dolomiti Bellunesi24 Oct · away
Pick: Dolomiti Bellunesi 39% · missed
L
Dolomiti Bellunesi0–3Trento19 Oct · home
Pick: Dolomiti Bellunesi 39% · missed
L
Dolomiti Bellunesi1–2Novara4 Oct · home
Pick: Dolomiti Bellunesi 50% · missed

About this match

PRO Vercelli and Dolomiti Bellunesi meet in Serie C - Girone A on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 13:30 UTC. The match is played at Stadio Silvio Piola, Vercelli. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: PRO Vercelli win 40.9%, draw 28.3%, Dolomiti Bellunesi win 30.8%. The pick is PRO Vercelli win. Over 2.5 goals: 48.8%. Both teams to score: 50.6%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.