ScoreProb
NB III - Northwest Hungary Northwest - 15 2026

Puskás II vs 1908 SZAC

Puskás II Home · Elo 1,510
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
1908 SZAC Away · Elo 1,470
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Puskás II win
Puskás II winPick
75.4%
Draw
12.2%
1908 SZAC win
12.4%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes54.4%
No45.6%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.568.0%
Under 2.532.0%

How much we know

Puskás II history50 matches
1908 SZAC history4 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 1 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 10:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 70–79% band (75.4%). Picks in that band won 76.2% of the time, and the model said 73.9% on average, over 583 matches.

Why Puskás II are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Puskás II are rated 40 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,510 against 1,470. On rating alone Puskás II would be expected to take 56% of the points on offer.

  • Puskás II score far more

    1.70 goals a game over 50 matches for Puskás II, against 0.50 over 4 for 1908 SZAC.

  • Puskás II concede fewer

    Puskás II concede 1.38 a game, 1908 SZAC 2.75.

  • Puskás II games more often go over 2.5 goals

    62% of Puskás II matches, against 50% for 1908 SZAC. The model puts this match at 68% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 17 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Puskás II
1908 SZAC
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1510.2
ELO
1470.2
50
ELO · Matches
4
1510.2
Current Team ELO
1470.2
1470.2
Current Opponent ELO
1510.2
39.99
Current ELO Difference
-39.99
0.56
Expected score
0.44
50
History Matches
4
0.00
Residual Mean
-0.37
50.35
Overperformance
43.84
-0.15
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.37
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
4
0.60
PPG
0.25
1.20
Goals for per game
0.50
2.80
Goals against per game
2.75
20.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
4
1.20
PPG
0.25
1.60
Goals for per game
0.50
2.30
Goals against per game
2.75
40.0%
Win rate
0.0%
1.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.50
1.20
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.50
2.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.75
1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std
2.49
0.61
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.51
2.05
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.77
Overall performance9 signals
90
50
Matches
4
1.64
PPG
0.25
50.0%
Win rate
0.0%
14.0%
Draw rate
25.0%
36.0%
Loss rate
75.0%
88.0%
Over 1.5 rate
75.0%
62.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
36.0%
Over 3.5 rate
25.0%
1.86
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.77
Venue performance10 signals
100
24
Matches
2
1.63
PPG
0.50
50.0%
Win rate
0.0%
12.5%
Draw rate
50.0%
37.5%
Loss rate
50.0%
95.8%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
75.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
37.5%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
2.04
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.50
24
History Matches
2
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.70
Goals for per game
0.50
82.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
66.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
1.96
Goals for per game
1.00
87.5%
Scoring rate
100.0%
75.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
1.25
Goals for per game
0.50
75.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
75.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
50
History Matches
4
1.70
Goals Mean
0.50
1.27
Goals Std
0.50
82.0%
Scored 1+ rate
50.0%
48.0%
Scored 2+ rate
0.0%
30.0%
Scored 3+ rate
0.0%
1.96
Venue Goals Mean
1.00
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.38
Goals against per game
2.75
82.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
1.38
Goals against per game
1.50
87.5%
Conceding rate
100.0%
2.50
Goals against per game
2.75
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
50
History Matches
4
1.38
Conceded Mean
2.75
1.06
Conceded Std
2.49
38.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
50.0%
10.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
25.0%
1.38
Venue Conceded Mean
1.50
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
18.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
18.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
12.5%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
12.5%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
18.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
18.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
12.5%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
12.5%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
18.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
50
History Matches
4
0.90
Result entropy
0.51
1.86
Goal Difference Std
2.77
9.92
Stability score
48.81
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
49
Eligible Matches
4
20
Lead Matches
1
75.0%
Lead Win Rate
0.0%
0.78
Lead Points Retention
0.00
16
Trailing Matches
1
31.3%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
18.8%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
49
Halftime Coverage Matches
4
0.86
First Half Goals For Mean
0.25
0.63
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.50
0.88
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.25
0.78
Second Half Goals Against Mean
2.25
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
84.83
Rest days
83.77
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
0
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
22
Normal Rest History Matches
2
2.09
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.00
26
Long Rest History Matches
1
1.23
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.00
Competition & season17 signals
170
4
Matches
4
0.75
PPG
0.25
25.0%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
25.0%
75.0%
Loss rate
75.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
75.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
25.0%
1.79
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.77
4
Current Competition Matches
4
0.75
Current Competition PPG
0.25
-1.25
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-2.25
5
Competition Season Count
1
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
0.51
Portability PPG Std
—
1.10
Portability PPG Range
—
49.69
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
50
Clean History Matches
4
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scorePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO39.99
PPG1.39
GF1.20
GA-1.37
PPG0.50
PPG1.13
PPG0.35
PPG0.95
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches46
Clean-sheet rate18.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.32
History Matches22
Clean-sheet rate12.5%
Failed-to-score rate12.5%
History Matches46
Goals Mean1.20
Goals Std0.77
Scored 1+ rate32.0%
Scored 2+ rate48.0%
Scored 3+ rate30.0%
Venue Goals Mean0.96
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.10
Recent 10 Goals Std0.70
History Matches46
Conceded Mean-1.37
Conceded Std-1.43
Clean-sheet rate18.0%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.12
Conceded 3+ rate-0.15
Venue Conceded Mean-0.13
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.45
Recent 10 Conceded Std-1.48
History Matches46
Result entropy0.39
Goal Difference Std-0.91
Stability score-38.89
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.10
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.72
Eligible Matches45
Lead Matches19
Lead Win Rate75.0%
Lead Points Retention0.78
Trailing Matches15
Non-loss rate31.3%
Trailing Win Rate18.8%
Halftime Coverage Matches45
First Half Goals For Mean0.61
First Half Goals Against Mean0.13
Second Half Goals For Mean0.63
Second Half Goals Against Mean-1.47
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean1.00
Competition Season Count4
Eligible Competition Season Count2
Rest days1.06
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest History Matches20
Normal Rest Points Per Match2.09
Long Rest History Matches25
Long Rest Points Per Match1.23
Current Team ELO39.99
Current Opponent ELO-39.99
Current ELO Difference79.98
Expected score0.11
History Matches46
Residual Mean0.37
Overperformance6.51
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.22

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Puskás II

W
Gyori ETO II1–3Puskás II1 Nov · away
Pick: Gyori ETO II 49% · missed
W
Puskás II3–1Veszprém25 Oct · home
Pick: Puskás II 39% · hit
D
Haladás VSE2–2Puskás II18 Oct · away
Pick: Haladás VSE 63% · missed
W
Pápai Perutz0–5Puskás II29 Aug · away
Pick: Pápai Perutz 44% · missed
W
Puskás II3–1SC Sopron26 Aug · home
Pick: Puskás II 39% · hit

1908 SZAC

L
1908 SZAC0–6Veszprém1 Nov · home
Pick: Veszprém 55% · hit
L
Király SZE1–01908 SZAC24 Oct · away
Pick: Király SZE 64% · hit
L
1908 SZAC0–1Balatonalmádi18 Oct · home
Pick: 1908 SZAC 49% · missed
L
1908 SZAC0–3SC Sopron4 Oct · home
Pick: SC Sopron 55% · hit
L
1908 SZAC1–6Szombathelyi Haladas30 Aug · home
Pick: Szombathelyi Haladas 58% · hit

About this match

Puskás II and 1908 SZAC meet in NB III - Northwest on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 10:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Puskás II win 75.4%, draw 12.2%, 1908 SZAC win 12.4%. The pick is Puskás II win. Over 2.5 goals: 68.0%. Both teams to score: 54.4%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.