Qilwah vs Al Qous
Qilwah
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Al Qous
Match result probability Model pick: Al Qous win
Qilwah win
36.3%
Draw
27.5%
Al Qous winPick
36.3%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Lineups · not provided for this competition by our data source
Live score and events · the live score only: events are not provided for this competition by our data source
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes54.9%
No45.1%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.555.8%
Under 2.544.2%
How much we know
Qilwah history0 matches
Al Qous history13 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Al Qous
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
- Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 11:35 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre8 Nov · 12:35 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (36.3%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.
Why Al Qous are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Qilwah are rated 65 Elo points higher
Elo 1,500 against 1,435. On rating alone Qilwah would be expected to take 59% of the points on offer.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Qilwah
Al Qous
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1500.0
ELO
1434.5
0
ELO · Matches
13
1500.0
Current Team ELO
1434.5
1434.5
Current Opponent ELO
1500.0
65.47
Current ELO Difference
-65.47
0.59
Expected score
0.41
0
History Matches
13
—
Residual Mean
-0.24
—
Overperformance
40.40
—
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.17
Recent form16 signals 160
0
Matches
5
—
PPG
0.40
—
Goals for per game
1.40
—
Goals against per game
2.00
—
Win rate
0.0%
0
Matches
10
—
PPG
0.80
—
Goals for per game
1.40
—
Goals against per game
2.10
—
Win rate
20.0%
—
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.40
—
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.80
—
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.10
—
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.04
—
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
—
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.10
Overall performance9 signals 90
0
Matches
13
—
PPG
0.62
—
Win rate
15.4%
—
Draw rate
15.4%
—
Loss rate
69.2%
—
Over 1.5 rate
84.6%
—
Over 2.5 rate
53.8%
—
Over 3.5 rate
38.5%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.07
Venue performance10 signals 100
0
Matches
6
—
PPG
0.67
—
Win rate
16.7%
—
Draw rate
16.7%
—
Loss rate
66.7%
—
Over 1.5 rate
83.3%
—
Over 2.5 rate
83.3%
—
Over 3.5 rate
66.7%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.94
0
History Matches
6
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
—
Goals for per game
1.08
—
Scoring rate
61.5%
—
BTTS rate
61.5%
—
Goals for per game
1.67
—
Scoring rate
83.3%
—
BTTS rate
83.3%
0
History Matches
13
—
Goals Mean
1.08
—
Goals Std
0.92
—
Scored 1+ rate
61.5%
—
Scored 2+ rate
46.2%
—
Scored 3+ rate
0.0%
—
Venue Goals Mean
1.67
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
—
Goals against per game
2.00
—
Conceding rate
100.0%
—
Goals against per game
2.33
—
Conceding rate
100.0%
0
History Matches
13
—
Conceded Mean
2.00
—
Conceded Std
0.96
—
Conceded 2+ rate
61.5%
—
Conceded 3+ rate
30.8%
—
Venue Conceded Mean
2.33
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
—
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
—
Failed-to-score rate
38.5%
—
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
—
Failed-to-score rate
16.7%
—
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
—
Failed-to-score rate
38.5%
—
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
—
Failed-to-score rate
16.7%
—
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
0
History Matches
13
—
Result entropy
0.76
—
Goal Difference Std
1.07
—
Stability score
24.40
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
0
Eligible Matches
10
0
Lead Matches
2
—
Lead Win Rate
50.0%
—
Lead Points Retention
0.67
0
Trailing Matches
4
—
Non-loss rate
50.0%
—
Trailing Win Rate
25.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
0
Halftime Coverage Matches
10
—
First Half Goals For Mean
0.60
—
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.90
—
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.80
—
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.20
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
Rest days
213.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
0
Normal Rest History Matches
8
—
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.00
0
Long Rest History Matches
4
—
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.00
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
0
Competition Season Count
1
0
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
0
Clean History Matches
13
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGGFGAPPGPPGPPGPPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateGoals MeanGoals StdScored 1+ rateScored 2+ rateScored 3+ rateVenue Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals StdConceded MeanConceded StdClean-sheet rateConceded 2+ rateConceded 3+ rateVenue Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded StdResult entropyGoal Difference StdStability scoreRecent 10 Result EntropyRecent 10 Goal Difference StdLead Win RateLead Points RetentionNon-loss rateTrailing Win RateFirst Half Goals For MeanFirst Half Goals Against MeanSecond Half Goals For MeanSecond Half Goals Against MeanCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreRest daysShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per MatchResidual MeanOverperformanceRecent 10 Residual Mean
ELO65.47
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-13
History Matches-6
History Matches-13
History Matches-13
History Matches-13
Eligible Matches-10
Lead Matches-2
Trailing Matches-4
Halftime Coverage Matches-10
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches-8
Long Rest History Matches-4
Current Team ELO65.47
Current Opponent ELO-65.47
Current ELO Difference130.9
Expected score0.19
History Matches-13
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Qilwah
L
Al Loa2–1Qilwah3 Nov · away
Pick: Al Loa 57% · hit W
Qilwah2–0Al Najoom29 Oct · home
Pick: Al Najoom 36% · missed D
Jubbah1–1Qilwah24 Oct · away
Pick: Jubbah 56% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
Al Qous
L
Al Qous0–2Al Arabi SC3 Nov · home
Pick: Al Arabi SC 45% · hit L
Jerash4–0Al Qous29 Oct · away
Pick: Jerash 47% · hit D
Al Qous0–0Al Rawdhah24 Oct · home
Pick: Al Rawdhah 41% · missed D
Al Qous1–1Al Sharq17 Oct · home
Pick: Al Sharq 44% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Qilwah and Al Qous meet in Division 2 on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 12:35 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Qilwah win 36.3%, draw 27.5%, Al Qous win 36.3%. The pick is Al Qous win. Over 2.5 goals: 55.8%. Both teams to score: 54.9%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.