ScoreProb
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 Spain Group 4 - 10 2026

Real Betis II vs Tenerife II

Real Betis II Home · Elo 1,489
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Tenerife II Away · Elo 1,478
Ciudad Deportiva Luis de Sol, Sevilla Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Real Betis II win
Real Betis II winPick
53.2%
Draw
21.2%
Tenerife II win
25.6%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.558.6%
Under 2.541.4%

How much we know

Real Betis II history57 matches
Tenerife II history50 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 1 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 10:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (53.2%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Real Betis II are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,489 against 1,478. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Tenerife II score more

    1.14 goals a game over 57 matches for Real Betis II, against 1.50 over 50 for Tenerife II.

  • Defences are close

    Real Betis II concede 1.60 a game, Tenerife II 1.72.

  • Tenerife II games more often go over 2.5 goals

    56% of Real Betis II matches, against 70% for Tenerife II. The model puts this match at 59% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 18 Jul 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Real Betis II
Tenerife II
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1488.5
ELO
1477.8
57
ELO · Matches
50
1488.5
Current Team ELO
1477.8
1477.8
Current Opponent ELO
1488.5
10.77
Current ELO Difference
-10.77
0.52
Expected score
0.48
57
History Matches
50
-0.01
Residual Mean
-0.02
49.29
Overperformance
48.27
0.30
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.08
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
0.60
1.80
Goals for per game
1.20
1.20
Goals against per game
2.00
60.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
2.00
PPG
1.00
1.80
Goals for per game
1.60
1.20
Goals against per game
1.70
60.0%
Win rate
30.0%
1.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.60
0.87
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.28
1.20
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.70
0.87
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.27
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.82
1.36
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.39
Overall performance9 signals
90
57
Matches
50
1.12
PPG
1.20
28.1%
Win rate
34.0%
28.1%
Draw rate
18.0%
43.9%
Loss rate
48.0%
77.2%
Over 1.5 rate
86.0%
56.1%
Over 2.5 rate
70.0%
31.6%
Over 3.5 rate
42.0%
1.66
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.74
Venue performance10 signals
100
28
Matches
26
1.25
PPG
1.15
35.7%
Win rate
34.6%
17.9%
Draw rate
11.5%
46.4%
Loss rate
53.8%
82.1%
Over 1.5 rate
80.8%
64.3%
Over 2.5 rate
65.4%
28.6%
Over 3.5 rate
34.6%
1.63
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.77
28
History Matches
26
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.14
Goals for per game
1.50
68.4%
Scoring rate
84.0%
57.9%
BTTS rate
68.0%
1.25
Goals for per game
1.35
75.0%
Scoring rate
73.1%
60.7%
BTTS rate
57.7%
57
History Matches
50
1.14
Goals Mean
1.50
1.00
Goals Std
1.06
68.4%
Scored 1+ rate
84.0%
35.1%
Scored 2+ rate
42.0%
8.8%
Scored 3+ rate
20.0%
1.25
Venue Goals Mean
1.35
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.60
Goals against per game
1.72
80.7%
Conceding rate
80.0%
1.57
Goals against per game
1.69
85.7%
Conceding rate
76.9%
57
History Matches
50
1.60
Conceded Mean
1.72
1.27
Conceded Std
1.25
47.4%
Conceded 2+ rate
52.0%
17.5%
Conceded 3+ rate
32.0%
1.57
Venue Conceded Mean
1.69
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
19.3%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
31.6%
Failed-to-score rate
16.0%
14.3%
Clean-sheet rate
23.1%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
26.9%
19.3%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
31.6%
Failed-to-score rate
16.0%
14.3%
Clean-sheet rate
23.1%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
26.9%
19.3%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
57
History Matches
50
0.98
Result entropy
0.94
1.66
Goal Difference Std
1.74
2.17
Stability score
6.45
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
57
Eligible Matches
50
12
Lead Matches
13
75.0%
Lead Win Rate
76.9%
0.83
Lead Points Retention
0.79
20
Trailing Matches
17
25.0%
Non-loss rate
23.5%
5.0%
Trailing Win Rate
5.9%
Goal timing5 signals
50
57
Halftime Coverage Matches
50
0.51
First Half Goals For Mean
0.58
0.68
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.70
0.63
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.92
0.91
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.02
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
168.8
Rest days
113.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
31
Normal Rest History Matches
39
1.03
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.23
25
Long Rest History Matches
10
1.24
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.20
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
3
Competition Season Count
3
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.15
Portability PPG Std
0.40
0.30
Portability PPG Range
0.80
77.20
Portability Score
55.43
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
57
Clean History Matches
50
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO10.77
PPG-0.08
GF-0.36
GA-0.12
PPG0.10
PPG1.40
PPG1.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches7
Clean-sheet rate-0.01
Failed-to-score rate15.6%
History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate-0.09
Failed-to-score rate-0.02
History Matches7
Goals Mean-0.36
Goals Std-0.06
Scored 1+ rate-0.16
Scored 2+ rate-0.07
Scored 3+ rate-0.11
Venue Goals Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.20
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.41
History Matches7
Conceded Mean-0.12
Conceded Std0.02
Clean-sheet rate-0.01
Conceded 2+ rate-0.05
Conceded 3+ rate-0.14
Venue Conceded Mean-0.12
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.40
History Matches7
Result entropy0.04
Goal Difference Std-0.08
Stability score-4.27
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.05
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-1.03
Eligible Matches7
Lead Matches-1
Lead Win Rate-0.02
Lead Points Retention0.04
Trailing Matches3
Non-loss rate1.5%
Trailing Win Rate-0.01
Halftime Coverage Matches7
First Half Goals For Mean-0.07
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.02
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.29
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.11
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.25
Portability PPG Range-0.51
Portability Score21.77
Rest days55.73
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches-8
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.20
Long Rest History Matches15
Long Rest Points Per Match0.04
Current Team ELO10.77
Current Opponent ELO-10.77
Current ELO Difference21.55
Expected score0.03
History Matches7
Residual Mean0.01
Overperformance1.02
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.38

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Real Betis II

L
Real Betis II0–2Recreativo Huelva1 Nov · home
Pick: Recreativo Huelva 43% · hit
D
Mijas Las Lagunas1–1Real Betis II24 Oct · away
Pick: Mijas Las Lagunas 47% · missed
L
Tamaraceite3–2Real Betis II18 Oct · away
Pick: Tamaraceite 45% · hit
W
Marbella0–2Real Betis II4 Oct · away
Pick: Real Betis II 37% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Tenerife II

L
Sevilla Atletico2–0Tenerife II25 Oct · away
Pick: Sevilla Atletico 45% · hit
L
Tenerife II1–3Mijas Las Lagunas18 Oct · home
Pick: Mijas Las Lagunas 47% · hit
L
Xerez2–1Tenerife II4 Oct · away
Pick: Xerez 55% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Real Betis II and Tenerife II meet in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 10:30 UTC. The match is played at Ciudad Deportiva Luis de Sol, Sevilla. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Real Betis II win 53.2%, draw 21.2%, Tenerife II win 25.6%. The pick is Real Betis II win. Over 2.5 goals: 58.6%. Both teams to score: 58.9%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.