ScoreProb
First Amateur Division Belgium ACFF - 12 2026

RWDM vs Meux

RWDM Home · Elo 1,462
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Meux Away · Elo 1,551
Edmond Machtens Stadium, Brussels Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: RWDM win
RWDM winPick
43.9%
Draw
24.3%
Meux win
31.8%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes55.6%
No44.4%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.554.6%
Under 2.545.4%

How much we know

RWDM history45 matches
Meux history47 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 10 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 19:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (43.9%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why RWDM are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Meux are rated 89 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,551 against 1,462. On rating alone Meux would be expected to take 63% of the points on offer.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.44 goals a game over 45 matches for RWDM, against 1.49 over 47 for Meux.

  • Meux concede fewer

    RWDM concede 1.56 a game, Meux 1.26.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    53% of RWDM matches, against 57% for Meux. The model puts this match at 55% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 29 Jul 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
RWDM
Meux
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1461.7
ELO
1550.9
45
ELO · Matches
47
1461.7
Current Team ELO
1550.9
1550.9
Current Opponent ELO
1461.7
-89.20
Current ELO Difference
89.20
0.37
Expected score
0.63
45
History Matches
47
-0.05
Residual Mean
0.05
46.88
Overperformance
53.66
-0.11
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.01
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.80
PPG
1.00
1.60
Goals for per game
1.60
2.80
Goals against per game
2.00
20.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
0.90
PPG
1.40
1.60
Goals for per game
1.80
2.20
Goals against per game
1.80
20.0%
Win rate
40.0%
1.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.80
0.49
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.17
2.20
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.80
1.60
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.25
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.96
1.56
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.73
Overall performance9 signals
90
45
Matches
47
1.29
PPG
1.53
35.6%
Win rate
42.6%
22.2%
Draw rate
25.5%
42.2%
Loss rate
31.9%
75.6%
Over 1.5 rate
74.5%
53.3%
Over 2.5 rate
57.4%
37.8%
Over 3.5 rate
27.7%
1.74
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.79
Venue performance10 signals
100
22
Matches
24
1.45
PPG
1.42
40.9%
Win rate
37.5%
22.7%
Draw rate
29.2%
36.4%
Loss rate
33.3%
72.7%
Over 1.5 rate
75.0%
59.1%
Over 2.5 rate
54.2%
36.4%
Over 3.5 rate
16.7%
1.77
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.61
22
History Matches
24
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.44
Goals for per game
1.49
77.8%
Scoring rate
74.5%
51.1%
BTTS rate
51.1%
1.59
Goals for per game
1.21
81.8%
Scoring rate
75.0%
54.5%
BTTS rate
54.2%
45
History Matches
47
1.44
Goals Mean
1.49
1.13
Goals Std
1.27
77.8%
Scored 1+ rate
74.5%
44.4%
Scored 2+ rate
42.6%
17.8%
Scored 3+ rate
23.4%
1.59
Venue Goals Mean
1.21
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.56
Goals against per game
1.26
68.9%
Conceding rate
66.0%
1.45
Goals against per game
1.42
72.7%
Conceding rate
70.8%
45
History Matches
47
1.56
Conceded Mean
1.26
1.41
Conceded Std
1.23
48.9%
Conceded 2+ rate
34.0%
26.7%
Conceded 3+ rate
19.1%
1.45
Venue Conceded Mean
1.42
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
31.1%
Clean-sheet rate
34.0%
22.2%
Failed-to-score rate
25.5%
27.3%
Clean-sheet rate
29.2%
18.2%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
31.1%
Clean-sheet rate
34.0%
22.2%
Failed-to-score rate
25.5%
27.3%
Clean-sheet rate
29.2%
18.2%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
31.1%
Clean-sheet rate
34.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
45
History Matches
47
0.97
Result entropy
0.98
1.74
Goal Difference Std
1.79
2.97
Stability score
2.00
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
44
Eligible Matches
35
16
Lead Matches
13
75.0%
Lead Win Rate
76.9%
0.81
Lead Points Retention
0.79
12
Trailing Matches
8
16.7%
Non-loss rate
25.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
12.5%
Goal timing5 signals
50
44
Halftime Coverage Matches
35
0.68
First Half Goals For Mean
0.89
0.57
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.69
0.75
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.71
0.89
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.63
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
115.3
Rest days
101.1
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
3
Short Rest History Matches
0
2.33
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
25
Normal Rest History Matches
30
1.24
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.47
16
Long Rest History Matches
16
1.19
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.69
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
4
Competition Season Count
4
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.44
Portability PPG Std
0.03
0.88
Portability PPG Range
0.05
53.33
Portability Score
95.05
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
45
Clean History Matches
47
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-89.20
PPG-0.24
GF-0.04
GA0.30
PPG0.04
PPG-0.20
PPG-0.50
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate-0.03
Failed-to-score rate-0.03
History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate-0.02
Failed-to-score rate-0.07
History Matches-2
Goals Mean-0.04
Goals Std-0.14
Scored 1+ rate3.3%
Scored 2+ rate1.9%
Scored 3+ rate-0.06
Venue Goals Mean0.38
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.20
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.68
History Matches-2
Conceded Mean0.30
Conceded Std0.18
Clean-sheet rate-0.03
Conceded 2+ rate14.8%
Conceded 3+ rate7.5%
Venue Conceded Mean0.04
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.40
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.35
History Matches-2
Result entropy-0.01
Goal Difference Std-0.05
Stability score0.97
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.02
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.17
Eligible Matches9
Lead Matches3
Lead Win Rate-0.02
Lead Points Retention0.02
Trailing Matches4
Non-loss rate-0.08
Trailing Win Rate-0.13
Halftime Coverage Matches9
First Half Goals For Mean-0.20
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.12
Second Half Goals For Mean0.04
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.26
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.41
Portability PPG Range0.82
Portability Score-41.72
Rest days14.23
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches3
Normal Rest History Matches-5
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.23
Long Rest History Matches0
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.50
Current Team ELO-89.20
Current Opponent ELO89.20
Current ELO Difference-178.4
Expected score-0.25
History Matches-2
Residual Mean-0.10
Overperformance-6.77
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.12

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

RWDM

D
Standard Liège II1–1RWDM1 Nov · away
Pick: RWDM 42% · missed
L
RWDM1–2Albert Quévy-Mons24 Oct · home
Pick: Albert Quévy-Mons 47% · hit
L
Olympic Charleroi3–1RWDM17 Oct · away
Pick: Olympic Charleroi 44% · hit
W
RWDM3–0Flénu29 Aug · home
Pick: RWDM 58% · hit
W
Habay-la-Neuve1–2RWDM26 Aug · away
Pick: RWDM 40% · hit

Meux

W
Meux3–2Sporting Charleroi II31 Oct · home
Pick: Meux 41% · hit
L
Habay-la-Neuve1–0Meux25 Oct · away
Pick: Meux 42% · missed
W
Tubize0–1Meux17 Oct · away
Pick: Tubize 60% · missed
W
Meux2–1Union Saint-Gilloise II29 Aug · home
Pick: Meux 45% · hit
D
Albert Quévy-Mons0–0Meux26 Aug · away
Pick: Albert Quévy-Mons 48% · missed

About this match

RWDM and Meux meet in First Amateur Division on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 19:00 UTC. The match is played at Edmond Machtens Stadium, Brussels. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: RWDM win 43.9%, draw 24.3%, Meux win 31.8%. The pick is RWDM win. Over 2.5 goals: 54.6%. Both teams to score: 55.6%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.