ScoreProb
First Amateur Division Belgium ACFF - 12 2026

Albert Quévy-Mons vs Standard Liège II

Albert Quévy-Mons Home · Elo 1,595
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Standard Liège II Away · Elo 1,444
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Albert Quévy-Mons win
Albert Quévy-Mons winPick
58.5%
Draw
23.3%
Standard Liège II win
18.2%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes50.9%
No49.1%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.554.0%
Under 2.546.0%

How much we know

Albert Quévy-Mons history47 matches
Standard Liège II history45 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 10 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 19:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (58.5%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Albert Quévy-Mons are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Albert Quévy-Mons are rated 151 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,595 against 1,444. On rating alone Albert Quévy-Mons would be expected to take 70% of the points on offer.

  • Albert Quévy-Mons score more

    1.60 goals a game over 47 matches for Albert Quévy-Mons, against 1.11 over 45 for Standard Liège II.

  • Albert Quévy-Mons concede fewer

    Albert Quévy-Mons concede 0.83 a game, Standard Liège II 1.64.

  • Standard Liège II games more often go over 2.5 goals

    40% of Albert Quévy-Mons matches, against 53% for Standard Liège II. The model puts this match at 54% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 12 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Albert Quévy-Mons
Standard Liège II
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1595.5
ELO
1444.2
47
ELO · Matches
45
1595.5
Current Team ELO
1444.2
1444.2
Current Opponent ELO
1595.5
151.3
Current ELO Difference
-151.3
0.70
Expected score
0.30
47
History Matches
45
0.09
Residual Mean
-0.07
56.64
Overperformance
45.39
0.05
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.09
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.60
PPG
2.20
1.00
Goals for per game
2.00
0.40
Goals against per game
0.60
40.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
1.60
PPG
1.50
1.40
Goals for per game
1.30
1.00
Goals against per game
1.00
40.0%
Win rate
40.0%
1.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.30
1.43
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.10
1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.00
1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.10
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
1.36
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.68
Overall performance9 signals
90
47
Matches
45
1.81
PPG
0.98
51.1%
Win rate
22.2%
27.7%
Draw rate
31.1%
21.3%
Loss rate
46.7%
70.2%
Over 1.5 rate
75.6%
40.4%
Over 2.5 rate
53.3%
23.4%
Over 3.5 rate
31.1%
1.68
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.65
Venue performance10 signals
100
22
Matches
24
1.91
PPG
1.00
54.5%
Win rate
25.0%
27.3%
Draw rate
25.0%
18.2%
Loss rate
50.0%
81.8%
Over 1.5 rate
75.0%
40.9%
Over 2.5 rate
58.3%
18.2%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
1.82
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.88
22
History Matches
24
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.60
Goals for per game
1.11
74.5%
Scoring rate
68.9%
40.4%
BTTS rate
55.6%
1.86
Goals for per game
1.00
77.3%
Scoring rate
66.7%
40.9%
BTTS rate
50.0%
47
History Matches
45
1.60
Goals Mean
1.11
1.39
Goals Std
0.99
74.5%
Scored 1+ rate
68.9%
46.8%
Scored 2+ rate
31.1%
21.3%
Scored 3+ rate
8.9%
1.86
Venue Goals Mean
1.00
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
0.83
Goals against per game
1.64
55.3%
Conceding rate
77.8%
0.73
Goals against per game
1.88
54.5%
Conceding rate
75.0%
47
History Matches
45
0.83
Conceded Mean
1.64
0.93
Conceded Std
1.34
19.1%
Conceded 2+ rate
48.9%
8.5%
Conceded 3+ rate
24.4%
0.73
Venue Conceded Mean
1.88
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
44.7%
Clean-sheet rate
22.2%
25.5%
Failed-to-score rate
31.1%
45.5%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
22.7%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
44.7%
Clean-sheet rate
22.2%
25.5%
Failed-to-score rate
31.1%
45.5%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
22.7%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
44.7%
Clean-sheet rate
22.2%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
47
History Matches
45
0.94
Result entropy
0.96
1.68
Goal Difference Std
1.65
6.43
Stability score
4.14
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
46
Eligible Matches
42
20
Lead Matches
9
80.0%
Lead Win Rate
55.6%
0.85
Lead Points Retention
0.67
9
Trailing Matches
17
33.3%
Non-loss rate
23.5%
22.2%
Trailing Win Rate
5.9%
Goal timing5 signals
50
46
Halftime Coverage Matches
42
0.80
First Half Goals For Mean
0.52
0.39
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.81
0.80
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.62
0.43
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.93
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
87.04
Rest days
181.3
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
0
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
28
Normal Rest History Matches
24
1.68
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.96
17
Long Rest History Matches
20
2.00
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.05
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
4
Competition Season Count
2
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.22
Portability PPG Std
0.02
0.45
Portability PPG Range
0.03
69.06
Portability Score
96.88
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
47
Clean History Matches
45
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO151.3
PPG0.83
GF0.48
GA-0.81
PPG0.91
PPG-0.60
PPG0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate22.5%
Failed-to-score rate-0.06
History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate20.5%
Failed-to-score rate-0.11
History Matches2
Goals Mean0.48
Goals Std0.40
Scored 1+ rate5.6%
Scored 2+ rate15.7%
Scored 3+ rate12.4%
Venue Goals Mean0.86
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.10
Recent 10 Goals Std0.33
History Matches2
Conceded Mean-0.81
Conceded Std-0.41
Clean-sheet rate22.5%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.30
Conceded 3+ rate-0.16
Venue Conceded Mean-1.15
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.10
History Matches2
Result entropy-0.02
Goal Difference Std0.02
Stability score2.30
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.03
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.32
Eligible Matches4
Lead Matches11
Lead Win Rate24.4%
Lead Points Retention0.18
Trailing Matches-8
Non-loss rate9.8%
Trailing Win Rate16.3%
Halftime Coverage Matches4
First Half Goals For Mean0.28
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.42
Second Half Goals For Mean0.19
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.49
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count2
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.21
Portability PPG Range0.42
Portability Score-27.81
Rest days-94.21
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest History Matches4
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.72
Long Rest History Matches-3
Long Rest Points Per Match0.95
Current Team ELO151.3
Current Opponent ELO-151.3
Current ELO Difference302.5
Expected score0.41
History Matches2
Residual Mean0.16
Overperformance11.25
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.05

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Albert Quévy-Mons

L
Union Saint-Gilloise II4–3Albert Quévy-Mons31 Oct · away
Pick: Albert Quévy-Mons 49% · missed
W
RWDM1–2Albert Quévy-Mons24 Oct · away
Pick: Albert Quévy-Mons 47% · hit
W
Albert Quévy-Mons2–0Rochefort21 Oct · home
Pick: Albert Quévy-Mons 48% · hit
L
Standard Liège II3–2Albert Quévy-Mons7 Oct · away
Pick: Albert Quévy-Mons 47% · missed
L
Sporting Charleroi II1–0Albert Quévy-Mons30 Aug · away
Pick: Albert Quévy-Mons 45% · missed

Standard Liège II

D
Standard Liège II1–1RWDM1 Nov · home
Pick: RWDM 42% · missed
L
Sporting Charleroi II1–0Standard Liège II25 Oct · away
Pick: Sporting Charleroi II 54% · hit
W
Standard Liège II1–0Flénu18 Oct · home
Pick: Standard Liège II 43% · hit
W
Standard Liège II3–2Albert Quévy-Mons7 Oct · home
Pick: Albert Quévy-Mons 47% · missed
L
Standard Liège II0–1Tubize30 Aug · home
Pick: Tubize 47% · hit

About this match

Albert Quévy-Mons and Standard Liège II meet in First Amateur Division on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 19:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Albert Quévy-Mons win 58.5%, draw 23.3%, Standard Liège II win 18.2%. The pick is Albert Quévy-Mons win. Over 2.5 goals: 54.0%. Both teams to score: 50.9%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.