ScoreProb
NB III - Northwest Hungary Northwest - 16 2026

SC Sopron vs Haladás VSE

SC Sopron Home · Elo 1,459
Fri 13 Nov
UTC
Not started
Haladás VSE Away · Elo 1,585
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 7 Nov, 08:56 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Haladás VSE win
SC Sopron win
19.7%
Draw
23.0%
Haladás VSE winPick
57.3%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes50.8%
No49.2%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.557.4%
Under 2.542.6%

How much we know

SC Sopron history50 matches
Haladás VSE history48 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 8 h ahead
    7 Nov · 08:56 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    13 Nov · 17:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,663 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,748
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,387
50–59% Won 55.7% · said 54.4% · n 3,845
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,914
70–79% Won 76.0% · said 73.9% · n 601
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 168
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (57.3%). Picks in that band won 55.7% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,845 matches.

Why Haladás VSE are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Haladás VSE are rated 126 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,585 against 1,459. On rating alone Haladás VSE would be expected to take 67% of the points on offer.

  • Haladás VSE score more

    1.28 goals a game over 50 matches for SC Sopron, against 1.52 over 48 for Haladás VSE.

  • Haladás VSE concede fewer

    SC Sopron concede 1.72 a game, Haladás VSE 1.15.

  • SC Sopron games more often go over 2.5 goals

    54% of SC Sopron matches, against 42% for Haladás VSE. The model puts this match at 57% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
SC Sopron
Haladás VSE@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1459.0
ELO
1585.4
50
ELO · Matches
48
1459.0
Current Team ELO
1585.4
1585.4
Current Opponent ELO
1459.0
-126.4
Current ELO Difference
126.4
0.33
Expected score
0.67
50
History Matches
48
-0.04
Residual Mean
0.09
47.15
Overperformance
56.52
0.10
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.35
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.80
PPG
2.60
1.40
Goals for per game
2.60
1.00
Goals against per game
0.60
40.0%
Win rate
80.0%
10
Matches
10
1.30
PPG
2.80
1.60
Goals for per game
2.30
1.90
Goals against per game
0.70
30.0%
Win rate
90.0%
1.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.30
0.66
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.55
1.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.70
1.37
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.64
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.30
1.27
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.36
Overall performance9 signals
90
50
Matches
48
1.12
PPG
1.65
28.0%
Win rate
47.9%
28.0%
Draw rate
20.8%
44.0%
Loss rate
31.3%
78.0%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
54.0%
Over 2.5 rate
41.7%
44.0%
Over 3.5 rate
25.0%
1.87
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.73
Venue performance10 signals
100
25
Matches
23
1.48
PPG
1.43
40.0%
Win rate
39.1%
28.0%
Draw rate
26.1%
32.0%
Loss rate
34.8%
80.0%
Over 1.5 rate
60.9%
56.0%
Over 2.5 rate
30.4%
40.0%
Over 3.5 rate
21.7%
1.84
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.53
25
History Matches
23
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.28
Goals for per game
1.52
72.0%
Scoring rate
75.0%
58.0%
BTTS rate
45.8%
1.48
Goals for per game
1.26
80.0%
Scoring rate
69.6%
60.0%
BTTS rate
43.5%
1.50
Goals for per game
3.67
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
75.0%
BTTS rate
66.7%
50
History Matches
48
1.28
Goals Mean
1.52
1.18
Goals Std
1.38
72.0%
Scored 1+ rate
75.0%
30.0%
Scored 2+ rate
41.7%
20.0%
Scored 3+ rate
18.8%
1.48
Venue Goals Mean
1.26
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.72
Goals against per game
1.15
80.0%
Conceding rate
62.5%
1.44
Goals against per game
1.04
76.0%
Conceding rate
65.2%
1.00
Goals against per game
0.67
75.0%
Conceding rate
66.7%
50
History Matches
48
1.72
Conceded Mean
1.15
1.34
Conceded Std
1.26
50.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
29.2%
26.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
12.5%
1.44
Venue Conceded Mean
1.04
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
37.5%
28.0%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
24.0%
Clean-sheet rate
34.8%
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
30.4%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
37.5%
28.0%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
24.0%
Clean-sheet rate
34.8%
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
30.4%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
37.5%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
50
History Matches
48
0.98
Result entropy
0.95
1.87
Goal Difference Std
1.73
2.23
Stability score
5.08
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
50
Eligible Matches
48
13
Lead Matches
13
61.5%
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
0.69
Lead Points Retention
1.00
19
Trailing Matches
12
26.3%
Non-loss rate
25.0%
10.5%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
50
Halftime Coverage Matches
48
0.54
First Half Goals For Mean
0.67
0.74
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.58
0.74
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.85
0.98
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.56
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
90.06
Rest days
83.10
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
2
1.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
3.00
24
Normal Rest History Matches
29
1.00
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.45
24
Long Rest History Matches
16
1.29
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.75
Competition & season17 signals
170
4
Matches
3
2.00
PPG
3.00
50.0%
Win rate
100.0%
50.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
25.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
25.0%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
0.50
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.63
4
Current Competition Matches
3
2.00
Current Competition PPG
3.00
0.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
3.00
5
Competition Season Count
5
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.44
Portability PPG Std
0.75
1.00
Portability PPG Range
1.77
53.00
Portability Score
40.05
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
50
Clean History Matches
48
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-126.4
PPG-0.53
GF-0.24
GA0.57
PPG-1.00
PPG0.05
PPG-0.80
PPG-1.50
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate-0.18
Failed-to-score rate3.0%
History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate-0.11
Failed-to-score rate-0.10
History Matches2
Goals Mean-0.24
Goals Std-0.20
Scored 1+ rate-0.03
Scored 2+ rate-0.12
Scored 3+ rate1.3%
Venue Goals Mean0.22
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.70
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.89
History Matches2
Conceded Mean0.57
Conceded Std0.08
Clean-sheet rate-0.18
Conceded 2+ rate20.8%
Conceded 3+ rate13.5%
Venue Conceded Mean0.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.73
History Matches2
Result entropy0.03
Goal Difference Std0.14
Stability score-2.85
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.70
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.09
Eligible Matches2
Lead Matches0
Lead Win Rate-0.38
Lead Points Retention-0.31
Trailing Matches7
Non-loss rate1.3%
Trailing Win Rate10.5%
Halftime Coverage Matches2
First Half Goals For Mean-0.13
First Half Goals Against Mean0.16
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.11
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.42
Current Competition Matches1
Current Competition PPG-1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-2.50
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.31
Portability PPG Range-0.77
Portability Score12.95
Rest days6.96
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Short Rest Points Per Match-2.00
Normal Rest History Matches-5
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.45
Long Rest History Matches8
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.46
Current Team ELO-126.4
Current Opponent ELO126.4
Current ELO Difference-252.8
Expected score-0.35
History Matches2
Residual Mean-0.13
Overperformance-9.37
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.25

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

SC Sopron

L
Dorogi FC3–0SC Sopron31 Oct · away
Pick: Dorogi FC 62% · hit
W
SC Sopron3–1Pápai Perutz24 Oct · home
Pick: SC Sopron 63% · hit
W
1908 SZAC0–3SC Sopron4 Oct · away
Pick: SC Sopron 55% · hit
L
Sárisápi Bányász1–0SC Sopron29 Aug · away
Pick: Sárisápi Bányász 40% · hit
L
Puskás II3–1SC Sopron26 Aug · away
Pick: Puskás II 39% · hit

Haladás VSE

W
Haladás VSE2–1Bicskei31 Oct · home
Pick: Haladás VSE 60% · hit
W
Gyori ETO II0–2Haladás VSE25 Oct · away
Pick: Haladás VSE 63% · hit
D
Haladás VSE2–2Puskás II18 Oct · home
Pick: Haladás VSE 63% · missed
D
Dorogi FC2–2Haladás VSE4 Oct · away
Pick: Dorogi FC 51% · missed
W
Veszprém2–4Haladás VSE26 Aug · away
Pick: Haladás VSE 46% · hit

About this match

SC Sopron and Haladás VSE meet in NB III - Northwest on Friday 13 November 2026, kickoff 17:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 7 Nov, 08:56 UTC: SC Sopron win 19.7%, draw 23.0%, Haladás VSE win 57.3%. The pick is Haladás VSE win. Over 2.5 goals: 57.4%. Both teams to score: 50.8%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.