ScoreProb
K League 2 South Korea Round 32 2026

Seoul E-Land FC vs Jeonnam Dragons

Seoul E-Land FC Home · Elo 1,573
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Jeonnam Dragons Away · Elo 1,442
Mokdong Stadium, Seoul Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Seoul E-Land FC win
Seoul E-Land FC winPick
53.6%
Draw
22.7%
Jeonnam Dragons win
23.7%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes57.9%
No42.1%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.562.1%
Under 2.537.9%

How much we know

Seoul E-Land FC history64 matches
Jeonnam Dragons history62 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 5 d 22 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 07:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (53.6%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Seoul E-Land FC are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Seoul E-Land FC are rated 131 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,573 against 1,442. On rating alone Seoul E-Land FC would be expected to take 68% of the points on offer.

  • Seoul E-Land FC score more

    1.67 goals a game over 64 matches for Seoul E-Land FC, against 1.45 over 62 for Jeonnam Dragons.

  • Seoul E-Land FC concede fewer

    Seoul E-Land FC concede 1.17 a game, Jeonnam Dragons 1.53.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    58% of Seoul E-Land FC matches, against 58% for Jeonnam Dragons. The model puts this match at 62% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Seoul E-Land FC
Jeonnam Dragons
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1573.0
ELO
1441.6
64
ELO · Matches
62
1573.0
Current Team ELO
1441.6
1441.6
Current Opponent ELO
1573.0
131.4
Current ELO Difference
-131.4
0.68
Expected score
0.32
64
History Matches
62
0.05
Residual Mean
-0.05
53.98
Overperformance
45.90
0.07
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.07
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.20
PPG
1.40
2.00
Goals for per game
1.00
1.20
Goals against per game
1.00
60.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.90
PPG
0.90
1.90
Goals for per game
1.30
1.30
Goals against per game
2.00
50.0%
Win rate
20.0%
1.90
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.30
1.14
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.00
1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.00
0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.55
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
0.92
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.62
Overall performance9 signals
90
64
Matches
62
1.67
PPG
1.26
45.3%
Win rate
32.3%
31.3%
Draw rate
29.0%
23.4%
Loss rate
38.7%
78.1%
Over 1.5 rate
75.8%
57.8%
Over 2.5 rate
58.1%
32.8%
Over 3.5 rate
37.1%
1.57
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.43
Venue performance10 signals
100
31
Matches
33
1.65
PPG
1.09
45.2%
Win rate
24.2%
29.0%
Draw rate
36.4%
25.8%
Loss rate
39.4%
77.4%
Over 1.5 rate
78.8%
58.1%
Over 2.5 rate
57.6%
32.3%
Over 3.5 rate
39.4%
1.77
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.55
31
History Matches
33
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.67
Goals for per game
1.45
81.3%
Scoring rate
75.8%
62.5%
BTTS rate
61.3%
1.77
Goals for per game
1.27
77.4%
Scoring rate
72.7%
61.3%
BTTS rate
57.6%
1.82
Goals for per game
1.10
86.4%
Scoring rate
61.9%
68.2%
BTTS rate
52.4%
64
History Matches
62
1.67
Goals Mean
1.45
1.29
Goals Std
1.13
81.3%
Scored 1+ rate
75.8%
51.6%
Scored 2+ rate
46.8%
21.9%
Scored 3+ rate
17.7%
1.77
Venue Goals Mean
1.27
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.17
Goals against per game
1.53
71.9%
Conceding rate
80.6%
1.16
Goals against per game
1.58
74.2%
Conceding rate
78.8%
1.23
Goals against per game
1.71
72.7%
Conceding rate
85.7%
64
History Matches
62
1.17
Conceded Mean
1.53
1.01
Conceded Std
1.13
32.8%
Conceded 2+ rate
51.6%
9.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
11.3%
1.16
Venue Conceded Mean
1.58
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
28.1%
Clean-sheet rate
19.4%
18.8%
Failed-to-score rate
24.2%
25.8%
Clean-sheet rate
21.2%
22.6%
Failed-to-score rate
27.3%
27.3%
Clean-sheet rate
14.3%
13.6%
Failed-to-score rate
38.1%
28.1%
Clean-sheet rate
19.4%
18.8%
Failed-to-score rate
24.2%
25.8%
Clean-sheet rate
21.2%
22.6%
Failed-to-score rate
27.3%
28.1%
Clean-sheet rate
19.4%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
64
History Matches
62
0.97
Result entropy
0.99
1.57
Goal Difference Std
1.43
3.31
Stability score
0.66
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
64
Eligible Matches
62
20
Lead Matches
18
75.0%
Lead Win Rate
61.1%
0.78
Lead Points Retention
0.70
11
Trailing Matches
20
45.5%
Non-loss rate
35.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
10.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
64
Halftime Coverage Matches
62
0.66
First Half Goals For Mean
0.56
0.39
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.56
1.02
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.89
0.78
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.97
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
75.88
Rest days
75.88
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
1
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
3.00
36
Normal Rest History Matches
34
1.25
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.24
27
Long Rest History Matches
26
2.19
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.15
Competition & season17 signals
170
22
Matches
21
1.86
PPG
0.76
54.5%
Win rate
14.3%
22.7%
Draw rate
33.3%
22.7%
Loss rate
52.4%
81.8%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
72.7%
Over 2.5 rate
52.4%
40.9%
Over 3.5 rate
38.1%
1.40
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.50
22
Current Competition Matches
21
1.86
Current Competition PPG
0.76
0.59
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.62
4
Competition Season Count
4
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.12
Portability PPG Std
0.41
0.24
Portability PPG Range
0.83
80.73
Portability Score
54.71
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
64
Clean History Matches
62
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO131.4
PPG0.41
GF0.22
GA-0.36
PPG1.10
PPG0.55
PPG0.80
PPG1.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate8.8%
Failed-to-score rate-0.05
History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate4.6%
Failed-to-score rate-0.05
History Matches2
Goals Mean0.22
Goals Std0.16
Scored 1+ rate5.4%
Scored 2+ rate4.8%
Scored 3+ rate4.1%
Venue Goals Mean0.50
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.60
Recent 10 Goals Std0.13
History Matches2
Conceded Mean-0.36
Conceded Std-0.12
Clean-sheet rate8.8%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.19
Conceded 3+ rate-0.02
Venue Conceded Mean-0.41
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.70
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.65
History Matches2
Result entropy-0.03
Goal Difference Std0.14
Stability score2.66
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.08
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.70
Eligible Matches2
Lead Matches2
Lead Win Rate13.9%
Lead Points Retention0.08
Trailing Matches-9
Non-loss rate10.5%
Trailing Win Rate-0.10
Halftime Coverage Matches2
First Half Goals For Mean0.09
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.17
Second Half Goals For Mean0.13
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.19
Current Competition Matches1
Current Competition PPG1.10
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean1.21
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.29
Portability PPG Range-0.59
Portability Score26.02
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest History Matches2
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.01
Long Rest History Matches1
Long Rest Points Per Match1.03
Current Team ELO131.4
Current Opponent ELO-131.4
Current ELO Difference262.8
Expected score0.36
History Matches2
Residual Mean0.11
Overperformance8.08
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.14

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Seoul E-Land FC

L
Yongin City4–2Seoul E-Land FC31 Oct · away
Pick: Seoul E-Land FC 44% · missed
W
Seoul E-Land FC6–2Gimhae City18 Oct · home
Pick: Seoul E-Land FC 63% · hit
D
Seongnam FC1–1Seoul E-Land FC29 Aug · away
Pick: Seongnam FC 38% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Jeonnam Dragons

D
Jeonnam Dragons2–2Seongnam FC1 Nov · home
Pick: Seongnam FC 41% · missed
L
Jeonnam Dragons2–4Daegu FC24 Oct · home
Pick: Daegu FC 43% · hit
L
Busan I Park2–1Jeonnam Dragons18 Oct · away
Pick: Busan I Park 55% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Seoul E-Land FC and Jeonnam Dragons meet in K League 2 on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 07:30 UTC. The match is played at Mokdong Stadium, Seoul. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Seoul E-Land FC win 53.6%, draw 22.7%, Jeonnam Dragons win 23.7%. The pick is Seoul E-Land FC win. Over 2.5 goals: 62.1%. Both teams to score: 57.9%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.