ScoreProb
Super League Switzerland Round 13 2026

Servette FC vs FC Zurich

Servette FC Home · Elo 1,535
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
FC Zurich Away · Elo 1,421
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Servette FC win
Servette FC winPick
57.4%
Draw
22.3%
FC Zurich win
20.3%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · shots, possession, corners, side by side
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes61.7%
No38.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.562.3%
Under 2.537.7%

How much we know

Servette FC history76 matches
FC Zurich history72 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 6 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 15:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (57.4%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Servette FC are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Servette FC are rated 114 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,535 against 1,421. On rating alone Servette FC would be expected to take 66% of the points on offer.

  • Servette FC score more

    1.80 goals a game over 76 matches for Servette FC, against 1.49 over 72 for FC Zurich.

  • Servette FC concede fewer

    Servette FC concede 1.51 a game, FC Zurich 1.92.

  • FC Zurich games more often go over 2.5 goals

    59% of Servette FC matches, against 81% for FC Zurich. The model puts this match at 62% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Servette FC
FC Zurich@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1535.4
ELO
1421.0
76
ELO · Matches
72
1535.4
Current Team ELO
1421.0
1421.0
Current Opponent ELO
1535.4
114.4
Current ELO Difference
-114.4
0.66
Expected score
0.34
76
History Matches
72
0.02
Residual Mean
-0.05
51.62
Overperformance
45.86
-0.02
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.02
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.80
PPG
1.20
2.20
Goals for per game
1.20
0.80
Goals against per game
2.20
60.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.60
PPG
0.90
1.80
Goals for per game
1.80
0.90
Goals against per game
2.50
50.0%
Win rate
30.0%
1.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.80
1.83
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.54
0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.50
0.83
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.20
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.56
2.34
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.79
Overall performance9 signals
90
76
Matches
72
1.45
PPG
1.07
38.2%
Win rate
31.9%
30.3%
Draw rate
11.1%
31.6%
Loss rate
56.9%
84.2%
Over 1.5 rate
90.3%
59.2%
Over 2.5 rate
80.6%
40.8%
Over 3.5 rate
37.5%
1.86
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.71
Venue performance10 signals
100
37
Matches
36
1.46
PPG
1.00
37.8%
Win rate
27.8%
32.4%
Draw rate
16.7%
29.7%
Loss rate
55.6%
81.1%
Over 1.5 rate
91.7%
59.5%
Over 2.5 rate
75.0%
37.8%
Over 3.5 rate
27.8%
1.75
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.72
37
History Matches
36
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.80
Goals for per game
1.49
88.2%
Scoring rate
79.2%
68.4%
BTTS rate
70.8%
1.73
Goals for per game
1.33
81.1%
Scoring rate
75.0%
64.9%
BTTS rate
66.7%
1.00
Goals for per game
1.00
66.7%
Scoring rate
75.0%
66.7%
BTTS rate
75.0%
76
History Matches
72
1.80
Goals Mean
1.49
1.39
Goals Std
1.13
88.2%
Scored 1+ rate
79.2%
47.4%
Scored 2+ rate
48.6%
25.0%
Scored 3+ rate
15.3%
1.73
Venue Goals Mean
1.33
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.51
Goals against per game
1.92
77.6%
Conceding rate
90.3%
1.43
Goals against per game
1.89
78.4%
Conceding rate
88.9%
1.33
Goals against per game
2.50
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
76
History Matches
72
1.51
Conceded Mean
1.92
1.25
Conceded Std
1.15
39.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
61.1%
26.3%
Conceded 3+ rate
29.2%
1.43
Venue Conceded Mean
1.89
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
22.4%
Clean-sheet rate
9.7%
11.8%
Failed-to-score rate
20.8%
21.6%
Clean-sheet rate
11.1%
18.9%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
22.4%
Clean-sheet rate
9.7%
11.8%
Failed-to-score rate
20.8%
21.6%
Clean-sheet rate
11.1%
18.9%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
22.4%
Clean-sheet rate
9.7%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
76
History Matches
72
1.00
Result entropy
0.85
1.86
Goal Difference Std
1.71
0.48
Stability score
15.41
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
74
Eligible Matches
71
26
Lead Matches
22
69.2%
Lead Win Rate
63.6%
0.76
Lead Points Retention
0.65
22
Trailing Matches
30
40.9%
Non-loss rate
23.3%
13.6%
Trailing Win Rate
13.3%
Goal timing5 signals
50
74
Halftime Coverage Matches
71
0.76
First Half Goals For Mean
0.65
0.66
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.83
1.07
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.85
0.85
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.08
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
85.10
Rest days
77.88
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
13
Short Rest History Matches
9
1.23
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.78
37
Normal Rest History Matches
38
1.51
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.34
25
Long Rest History Matches
24
1.48
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.79
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
4
1.00
PPG
0.75
33.3%
Win rate
25.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
66.7%
Loss rate
75.0%
66.7%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
25.0%
0.94
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.18
3
Current Competition Matches
4
1.00
Current Competition PPG
0.75
-0.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-1.50
10
Competition Season Count
7
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.30
Portability PPG Std
0.17
0.78
Portability PPG Range
0.46
62.88
Portability Score
74.36
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
76
Clean History Matches
72
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO114.4
PPG0.38
GF0.32
GA-0.40
PPG0.25
PPG0.46
PPG0.60
PPG0.70
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches4
Clean-sheet rate12.6%
Failed-to-score rate-0.09
History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate10.5%
Failed-to-score rate-0.06
History Matches4
Goals Mean0.32
Goals Std0.26
Scored 1+ rate9.0%
Scored 2+ rate-0.01
Scored 3+ rate9.7%
Venue Goals Mean0.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.00
Recent 10 Goals Std0.30
History Matches4
Conceded Mean-0.40
Conceded Std0.10
Clean-sheet rate12.6%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.22
Conceded 3+ rate-0.03
Venue Conceded Mean-0.46
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-1.60
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.37
History Matches4
Result entropy0.15
Goal Difference Std0.15
Stability score-14.93
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.30
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.55
Eligible Matches3
Lead Matches4
Lead Win Rate5.6%
Lead Points Retention0.10
Trailing Matches-8
Non-loss rate17.6%
Trailing Win Rate0.3%
Halftime Coverage Matches3
First Half Goals For Mean0.11
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.17
Second Half Goals For Mean0.22
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.23
Current Competition Matches-1
Current Competition PPG0.25
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean1.17
Competition Season Count3
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.12
Portability PPG Range0.32
Portability Score-11.48
Rest days7.23
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches4
Short Rest Points Per Match0.45
Normal Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.17
Long Rest History Matches1
Long Rest Points Per Match0.69
Current Team ELO114.4
Current Opponent ELO-114.4
Current ELO Difference228.8
Expected score0.32
History Matches4
Residual Mean0.07
Overperformance5.76
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.00

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Servette FC

L
FC ST. Gallen2–1Servette FC31 Oct · away
Pick: FC ST. Gallen 54% · hit
W
Servette FC2–1FC Vaduz24 Oct · home
Pick: Servette FC 49% · hit
W
Rotkreuz0–4Servette FC16 Oct · away
Pick: Servette FC 66% · hit
D
Servette FC1–1FC Luzern29 Aug · home
Pick: Servette FC 50% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

FC Zurich

W
BSC Young Boys3–5FC Zurich1 Nov · away
Pick: BSC Young Boys 74% · missed
W
FC Zurich2–1FC Luzern24 Oct · home
Pick: FC Luzern 48% · missed
L
FC Aarau2–0FC Zurich18 Oct · away
Pick: FC Aarau 51% · hit
L
FC Zurich2–4BSC Young Boys1 Sep · home
Pick: BSC Young Boys 59% · hit
W
Lausanne2–3FC Zurich29 Aug · away
Pick: Lausanne 66% · missed

About this match

Servette FC and FC Zurich meet in Super League on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 15:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Servette FC win 57.4%, draw 22.3%, FC Zurich win 20.3%. The pick is Servette FC win. Over 2.5 goals: 62.3%. Both teams to score: 61.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.