ScoreProb
Premier League Ukraine Round 12 2026

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv

Shakhtar Donetsk Home
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Dynamo Kyiv Away
Arena Lviv Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Shakhtar Donetsk win
Shakhtar Donetsk winPick
41.0%
Draw
23.9%
Dynamo Kyiv win
35.2%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · shots, possession, corners, side by side
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes47.3%
No52.7%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.553.7%
Under 2.546.3%

How much we know

Shakhtar Donetsk history—
Dynamo Kyiv history—
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 7 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 6 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:11 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 16:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (41.0%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Shakhtar Donetsk

L
Shakhtar Donetsk0–1Sporting CP3 Nov · home
Pick: Sporting CP 42% · hit
W
Shakhtar Donetsk3–0Dynamo Kyiv27 Oct · home
Pick: Dynamo Kyiv 50% · missed
D
Shakhtar Donetsk0–0Zorya Luhansk24 Oct · home
Pick: Shakhtar Donetsk 70% · missed
L
Inter1–0Shakhtar Donetsk21 Oct · away
Pick: Inter 53% · hit
W
Shakhtar Donetsk2–1Kolos Kovalivka17 Oct · home
Pick: Shakhtar Donetsk 68% · hit

Dynamo Kyiv

W
Kryvbas KR0–2Dynamo Kyiv2 Nov · away
Pick: Dynamo Kyiv 51% · hit
L
Shakhtar Donetsk3–0Dynamo Kyiv27 Oct · away
Pick: Dynamo Kyiv 50% · missed
L
Polessya3–1Dynamo Kyiv18 Oct · away
Pick: Dynamo Kyiv 40% · missed
L
Bukovyna3–0Dynamo Kyiv31 Aug · away
Pick: Dynamo Kyiv 48% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Shakhtar Donetsk and Dynamo Kyiv meet in Premier League on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 16:00 UTC. The match is played at Arena Lviv. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Shakhtar Donetsk win 41.0%, draw 23.9%, Dynamo Kyiv win 35.2%. The pick is Shakhtar Donetsk win. Over 2.5 goals: 53.7%. Both teams to score: 47.3%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.