ScoreProb
4. liga - Divizie D Czechia Group D - 15 2026

Sokol Tasovice vs Velká Bíteš

Sokol Tasovice Home · Elo 1,504
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Velká Bíteš Away · Elo 1,528
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Sokol Tasovice win
Sokol Tasovice winPick
49.8%
Draw
19.5%
Velká Bíteš win
30.6%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · not provided for this competition by our data source
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes60.5%
No39.5%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.567.3%
Under 2.532.7%

How much we know

Sokol Tasovice history52 matches
Velká Bíteš history54 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (49.8%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Sokol Tasovice are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,504 against 1,528. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Velká Bíteš score more

    1.56 goals a game over 52 matches for Sokol Tasovice, against 1.81 over 54 for Velká Bíteš.

  • Defences are close

    Sokol Tasovice concede 1.63 a game, Velká Bíteš 1.70.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    62% of Sokol Tasovice matches, against 65% for Velká Bíteš. The model puts this match at 67% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Sokol Tasovice
Velká Bíteš
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1504.0
ELO
1528.4
52
ELO · Matches
54
1504.0
Current Team ELO
1528.4
1528.4
Current Opponent ELO
1504.0
-24.38
Current ELO Difference
24.38
0.46
Expected score
0.54
52
History Matches
54
0.00
Residual Mean
0.02
50.22
Overperformance
51.40
0.03
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.09
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.60
PPG
2.00
1.60
Goals for per game
1.00
1.20
Goals against per game
1.00
40.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
1.50
PPG
1.90
1.60
Goals for per game
1.50
1.90
Goals against per game
1.30
40.0%
Win rate
60.0%
1.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.50
1.50
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.81
1.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.30
1.70
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.42
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.82
2.45
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.89
Overall performance9 signals
90
52
Matches
54
1.42
PPG
1.50
38.5%
Win rate
44.4%
26.9%
Draw rate
16.7%
34.6%
Loss rate
38.9%
84.6%
Over 1.5 rate
87.0%
61.5%
Over 2.5 rate
64.8%
40.4%
Over 3.5 rate
44.4%
2.16
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.46
Venue performance10 signals
100
26
Matches
29
1.62
PPG
1.28
46.2%
Win rate
37.9%
23.1%
Draw rate
13.8%
30.8%
Loss rate
48.3%
84.6%
Over 1.5 rate
93.1%
69.2%
Over 2.5 rate
65.5%
38.5%
Over 3.5 rate
44.8%
2.15
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.68
26
History Matches
29
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.56
Goals for per game
1.81
76.9%
Scoring rate
79.6%
57.7%
BTTS rate
53.7%
1.85
Goals for per game
1.83
84.6%
Scoring rate
79.3%
57.7%
BTTS rate
55.2%
1.67
Goals for per game
0.67
66.7%
Scoring rate
66.7%
66.7%
BTTS rate
0.0%
52
History Matches
54
1.56
Goals Mean
1.81
1.31
Goals Std
1.52
76.9%
Scored 1+ rate
79.6%
48.1%
Scored 2+ rate
46.3%
17.3%
Scored 3+ rate
31.5%
1.85
Venue Goals Mean
1.83
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.63
Goals against per game
1.70
75.0%
Conceding rate
72.2%
1.50
Goals against per game
1.93
69.2%
Conceding rate
75.9%
1.00
Goals against per game
1.33
66.7%
Conceding rate
33.3%
52
History Matches
54
1.63
Conceded Mean
1.70
1.47
Conceded Std
1.66
46.2%
Conceded 2+ rate
44.4%
23.1%
Conceded 3+ rate
27.8%
1.50
Venue Conceded Mean
1.93
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
27.8%
23.1%
Failed-to-score rate
20.4%
30.8%
Clean-sheet rate
24.1%
15.4%
Failed-to-score rate
20.7%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
66.7%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
27.8%
23.1%
Failed-to-score rate
20.4%
30.8%
Clean-sheet rate
24.1%
15.4%
Failed-to-score rate
20.7%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
27.8%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
52
History Matches
54
0.99
Result entropy
0.93
2.16
Goal Difference Std
2.46
0.97
Stability score
6.58
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
52
Eligible Matches
53
16
Lead Matches
16
62.5%
Lead Win Rate
87.5%
0.71
Lead Points Retention
0.90
20
Trailing Matches
21
30.0%
Non-loss rate
23.8%
10.0%
Trailing Win Rate
4.8%
Goal timing5 signals
50
52
Halftime Coverage Matches
53
0.58
First Half Goals For Mean
0.66
0.73
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.96
0.98
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.09
0.90
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.77
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.90
Rest days
75.94
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
2
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
3.00
30
Normal Rest History Matches
26
1.00
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.46
21
Long Rest History Matches
25
1.95
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.48
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
1.67
PPG
2.00
33.3%
Win rate
66.7%
66.7%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
33.3%
66.7%
Over 1.5 rate
33.3%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
33.3%
66.7%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
0.94
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.36
3
Current Competition Matches
3
1.67
Current Competition PPG
2.00
0.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.67
5
Competition Season Count
6
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.14
Portability PPG Std
0.76
0.33
Portability PPG Range
2.00
77.64
Portability Score
39.56
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
52
Clean History Matches
54
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-24.38
PPG-0.08
GF-0.26
GA-0.07
PPG-0.33
PPG0.34
PPG-0.40
PPG-0.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate-0.03
Failed-to-score rate2.7%
History Matches-3
Clean-sheet rate6.6%
Failed-to-score rate-0.05
History Matches-2
Goals Mean-0.26
Goals Std-0.21
Scored 1+ rate-0.03
Scored 2+ rate1.8%
Scored 3+ rate-0.14
Venue Goals Mean0.02
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.10
Recent 10 Goals Std0.69
History Matches-2
Conceded Mean-0.07
Conceded Std-0.19
Clean-sheet rate-0.03
Conceded 2+ rate1.7%
Conceded 3+ rate-0.05
Venue Conceded Mean-0.43
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.60
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.28
History Matches-2
Result entropy0.06
Goal Difference Std-0.30
Stability score-5.61
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.17
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.56
Eligible Matches-1
Lead Matches0
Lead Win Rate-0.25
Lead Points Retention-0.19
Trailing Matches-1
Non-loss rate6.2%
Trailing Win Rate5.2%
Halftime Coverage Matches-1
First Half Goals For Mean-0.08
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.23
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.11
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.13
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-0.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean1.33
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.62
Portability PPG Range-1.67
Portability Score38.08
Rest days1.96
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-2
Normal Rest History Matches4
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.46
Long Rest History Matches-4
Long Rest Points Per Match0.47
Current Team ELO-24.38
Current Opponent ELO24.38
Current ELO Difference-48.77
Expected score-0.07
History Matches-2
Residual Mean-0.02
Overperformance-1.18
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.05

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Sokol Tasovice

L
Havlíčkův Brod4–1Sokol Tasovice31 Oct · away
Pick: Havlíčkův Brod 49% · hit
W
Sokol Tasovice4–2Humpolec25 Oct · home
Pick: Sokol Tasovice 48% · hit
L
Znojmo1–0Sokol Tasovice18 Oct · away
Pick: Znojmo 45% · hit
W
Žďár nad Sázavou0–1Sokol Tasovice4 Oct · away
Pick: Žďár nad Sázavou 47% · missed
W
Sokol Tasovice4–1Bedrichov30 Aug · home
Pick: Sokol Tasovice 71% · hit

Velká Bíteš

L
Velká Bíteš3–4Bystrc Kníničky1 Nov · home
Pick: Velká Bíteš 55% · missed
W
Havlíčkův Brod0–2Velká Bíteš24 Oct · away
Pick: Havlíčkův Brod 54% · missed
L
Velká Bíteš1–3Kuřim18 Oct · home
Pick: Kuřim 48% · hit
W
Velká Bíteš6–3Bedrichov4 Oct · home
Pick: Velká Bíteš 64% · hit
D
Žďár nad Sázavou2–2Velká Bíteš30 Aug · away
Pick: Žďár nad Sázavou 49% · missed

About this match

Sokol Tasovice and Velká Bíteš meet in 4. liga - Divizie D on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Sokol Tasovice win 49.8%, draw 19.5%, Velká Bíteš win 30.6%. The pick is Sokol Tasovice win. Over 2.5 goals: 67.3%. Both teams to score: 60.5%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.