Stellenbosch vs Amazulu
Match result probability Model pick: Stellenbosch win
Stellenbosch winPick
47.4%
Draw
29.9%
Amazulu win
22.7%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes48.6%
No51.4%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.541.5%
Under 2.558.5%
How much we know
Stellenbosch history72 matches
Amazulu history55 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Stellenbosch
Over / under 2.5: ours Under
Both teams to score: ours No
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 5 d 8 h ahead1 Nov · 08:14 UTC
- Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 4 Nov · 06:57 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 16:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre6 Nov · 17:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (47.4%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.
Why Stellenbosch are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Amazulu are rated 36 Elo points higher
Elo 1,556 against 1,520. On rating alone Amazulu would be expected to take 55% of the points on offer.
-
Amazulu score more
0.96 goals a game over 72 matches for Stellenbosch, against 1.25 over 55 for Amazulu.
-
Defences are close
Stellenbosch concede 1.00 a game, Amazulu 1.04.
-
Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games
33% of Stellenbosch matches, against 33% for Amazulu. The model puts this match at 41% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 15 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Amazulu@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1520.4
ELO
1556.0
72
ELO · Matches
55
1520.4
Current Team ELO
1556.0
1556.0
Current Opponent ELO
1520.4
-35.62
Current ELO Difference
35.62
0.45
Expected score
0.55
72
History Matches
55
0.02
Residual Mean
0.05
51.72
Overperformance
53.83
0.02
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.11
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
1.60
PPG
2.20
1.60
Goals for per game
1.60
1.00
Goals against per game
0.80
40.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
1.30
PPG
1.60
1.20
Goals for per game
1.40
1.00
Goals against per game
1.00
30.0%
Win rate
40.0%
1.20
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.40
1.33
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.50
1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.00
0.89
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.10
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.96
1.33
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.74
Overall performance9 signals 90
72
Matches
55
1.39
PPG
1.51
34.7%
Win rate
40.0%
34.7%
Draw rate
30.9%
30.6%
Loss rate
29.1%
58.3%
Over 1.5 rate
65.5%
33.3%
Over 2.5 rate
32.7%
12.5%
Over 3.5 rate
18.2%
1.37
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.47
Venue performance10 signals 100
39
Matches
27
1.62
PPG
1.22
43.6%
Win rate
29.6%
30.8%
Draw rate
33.3%
25.6%
Loss rate
37.0%
61.5%
Over 1.5 rate
55.6%
33.3%
Over 2.5 rate
25.9%
15.4%
Over 3.5 rate
14.8%
1.32
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.32
39
History Matches
27
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
0.96
Goals for per game
1.25
56.9%
Scoring rate
74.5%
40.3%
BTTS rate
45.5%
1.13
Goals for per game
0.85
64.1%
Scoring rate
66.7%
43.6%
BTTS rate
37.0%
72
History Matches
55
0.96
Goals Mean
1.25
1.06
Goals Std
1.13
56.9%
Scored 1+ rate
74.5%
26.4%
Scored 2+ rate
32.7%
9.7%
Scored 3+ rate
10.9%
1.13
Venue Goals Mean
0.85
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.00
Goals against per game
1.04
65.3%
Conceding rate
65.5%
0.92
Goals against per game
1.11
64.1%
Conceding rate
63.0%
72
History Matches
55
1.00
Conceded Mean
1.04
0.97
Conceded Std
0.99
23.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
27.3%
9.7%
Conceded 3+ rate
9.1%
0.92
Venue Conceded Mean
1.11
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
34.7%
Clean-sheet rate
34.5%
43.1%
Failed-to-score rate
25.5%
35.9%
Clean-sheet rate
37.0%
35.9%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
34.7%
Clean-sheet rate
34.5%
43.1%
Failed-to-score rate
25.5%
35.9%
Clean-sheet rate
37.0%
35.9%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
34.7%
Clean-sheet rate
34.5%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
72
History Matches
55
1.00
Result entropy
0.99
1.37
Goal Difference Std
1.47
0.16
Stability score
0.91
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
72
Eligible Matches
55
15
Lead Matches
15
93.3%
Lead Win Rate
73.3%
0.96
Lead Points Retention
0.82
22
Trailing Matches
13
22.7%
Non-loss rate
15.4%
9.1%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
72
Halftime Coverage Matches
55
0.44
First Half Goals For Mean
0.58
0.53
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.51
0.51
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.67
0.47
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.53
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
83.98
Rest days
83.17
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
11
Short Rest History Matches
9
1.73
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.11
43
Normal Rest History Matches
26
1.33
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.23
17
Long Rest History Matches
19
1.24
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.00
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
9
Competition Season Count
8
7
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.30
Portability PPG Std
0.37
0.88
Portability PPG Range
0.98
62.30
Portability Score
57.78
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
72
Clean History Matches
55
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
ELO-35.62
PPG-0.12
GF-0.30
GA-0.04
PPG0.39
PPG-0.60
PPG-0.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches17
Clean-sheet rate0.2%
Failed-to-score rate17.6%
History Matches12
Clean-sheet rate-0.01
Failed-to-score rate2.6%
History Matches17
Goals Mean-0.30
Goals Std-0.07
Scored 1+ rate-0.18
Scored 2+ rate-0.06
Scored 3+ rate-0.01
Venue Goals Mean0.28
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.20
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.17
History Matches17
Conceded Mean-0.04
Conceded Std-0.02
Clean-sheet rate0.2%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.04
Conceded 3+ rate0.6%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.19
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.20
History Matches17
Result entropy0.01
Goal Difference Std-0.10
Stability score-0.75
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.03
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.42
Eligible Matches17
Lead Matches0
Lead Win Rate20.0%
Lead Points Retention0.13
Trailing Matches9
Non-loss rate7.3%
Trailing Win Rate9.1%
Halftime Coverage Matches17
First Half Goals For Mean-0.14
First Half Goals Against Mean0.02
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.16
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.06
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count3
Portability PPG Std-0.06
Portability PPG Range-0.10
Portability Score4.51
Rest days0.81
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches2
Short Rest Points Per Match0.62
Normal Rest History Matches17
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.09
Long Rest History Matches-2
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.76
Current Team ELO-35.62
Current Opponent ELO35.62
Current ELO Difference-71.25
Expected score-0.10
History Matches17
Residual Mean-0.03
Overperformance-2.11
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.08
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Stellenbosch
W
Durban City0–2Stellenbosch28 Oct · away
Pick: Draw 37% · missed D
Kaizer Chiefs1–1Stellenbosch13 Oct · away
Pick: Kaizer Chiefs 56% · missed D
Durban City0–0Stellenbosch1 Sep · away
Pick: Durban City 36% · missed L
Golden Arrows1–0Stellenbosch26 Aug · away
Pick: Stellenbosch 36% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
Amazulu
W
Amazulu1–0Golden Arrows31 Oct · home
Pick: Amazulu 47% · hit W
Kruger United0–1Amazulu25 Oct · away
Pick: Kruger United 38% · missed W
Durban City1–2Amazulu13 Oct · away
Pick: Amazulu 36% · hit L
Mamelodi Sundowns5–2Amazulu26 Aug · away
Pick: Mamelodi Sundowns 53% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Stellenbosch and Amazulu meet in League Cup on Friday 6 November 2026, kickoff 17:00 UTC. The match is played at Danie Craven Stadium, Stellenbosch. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:14 UTC: Stellenbosch win 47.4%, draw 29.9%, Amazulu win 22.7%. The pick is Stellenbosch win. Over 2.5 goals: 41.5%. Both teams to score: 48.6%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.