ScoreProb
U19 Bundesliga Germany Preliminary 2026

Stuttgart U19 vs Unterhaching U19

Stuttgart U19 Home · Elo 1,619
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Unterhaching U19 Away · Elo 1,405
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Stuttgart U19 win
Stuttgart U19 winPick
77.3%
Draw
11.5%
Unterhaching U19 win
11.2%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · not provided for this competition by our data source
Live score and events · the live score only: events are not provided for this competition by our data source
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes60.8%
No39.2%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.576.8%
Under 2.523.2%

How much we know

Stuttgart U19 history47 matches
Unterhaching U19 history39 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 70–79% band (77.3%). Picks in that band won 76.2% of the time, and the model said 73.9% on average, over 583 matches.

Why Stuttgart U19 are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Stuttgart U19 are rated 214 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,619 against 1,405. On rating alone Stuttgart U19 would be expected to take 77% of the points on offer.

  • Stuttgart U19 score far more

    2.81 goals a game over 47 matches for Stuttgart U19, against 1.21 over 39 for Unterhaching U19.

  • Stuttgart U19 concede fewer

    Stuttgart U19 concede 1.62 a game, Unterhaching U19 2.23.

  • Stuttgart U19 games more often go over 2.5 goals

    87% of Stuttgart U19 matches, against 64% for Unterhaching U19. The model puts this match at 77% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Stuttgart U19
Unterhaching U19
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1618.8
ELO
1404.7
47
ELO · Matches
39
1618.8
Current Team ELO
1404.7
1404.7
Current Opponent ELO
1618.8
214.1
Current ELO Difference
-214.1
0.77
Expected score
0.23
47
History Matches
39
0.12
Residual Mean
-0.12
58.12
Overperformance
41.91
-0.02
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.09
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.40
PPG
0.20
3.80
Goals for per game
0.60
1.60
Goals against per game
2.20
80.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
10
1.60
PPG
0.80
2.70
Goals for per game
0.90
1.70
Goals against per game
1.80
50.0%
Win rate
20.0%
2.70
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.90
1.68
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.51
1.70
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.80
1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.54
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
2.41
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.02
Overall performance9 signals
90
47
Matches
39
1.94
PPG
0.85
59.6%
Win rate
23.1%
14.9%
Draw rate
15.4%
25.5%
Loss rate
61.5%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
71.8%
87.2%
Over 2.5 rate
64.1%
63.8%
Over 3.5 rate
48.7%
2.23
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.12
Venue performance10 signals
100
21
Matches
20
1.71
PPG
0.60
47.6%
Win rate
15.0%
28.6%
Draw rate
15.0%
23.8%
Loss rate
70.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
70.0%
81.0%
Over 2.5 rate
55.0%
57.1%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
2.37
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.94
21
History Matches
20
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.81
Goals for per game
1.21
95.7%
Scoring rate
61.5%
80.9%
BTTS rate
43.6%
2.67
Goals for per game
0.80
95.2%
Scoring rate
45.0%
85.7%
BTTS rate
30.0%
3.50
Goals for per game
0.50
100.0%
Scoring rate
25.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
25.0%
47
History Matches
39
2.81
Goals Mean
1.21
1.71
Goals Std
1.26
95.7%
Scored 1+ rate
61.5%
85.1%
Scored 2+ rate
35.9%
46.8%
Scored 3+ rate
15.4%
2.67
Venue Goals Mean
0.80
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.62
Goals against per game
2.23
85.1%
Conceding rate
74.4%
1.57
Goals against per game
2.30
90.5%
Conceding rate
80.0%
2.00
Goals against per game
2.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
75.0%
47
History Matches
39
1.62
Conceded Mean
2.23
1.02
Conceded Std
1.82
55.3%
Conceded 2+ rate
61.5%
17.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
43.6%
1.57
Venue Conceded Mean
2.30
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
14.9%
Clean-sheet rate
25.6%
4.3%
Failed-to-score rate
38.5%
9.5%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
4.8%
Failed-to-score rate
55.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
75.0%
14.9%
Clean-sheet rate
25.6%
4.3%
Failed-to-score rate
38.5%
9.5%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
4.8%
Failed-to-score rate
55.0%
14.9%
Clean-sheet rate
25.6%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
47
History Matches
39
0.86
Result entropy
0.84
2.23
Goal Difference Std
2.12
14.37
Stability score
15.79
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
46
Eligible Matches
39
22
Lead Matches
9
72.7%
Lead Win Rate
77.8%
0.79
Lead Points Retention
0.78
12
Trailing Matches
18
50.0%
Non-loss rate
11.1%
33.3%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
46
Halftime Coverage Matches
39
1.39
First Half Goals For Mean
0.59
0.87
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.03
1.35
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.62
0.76
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.21
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
76.13
Rest days
76.13
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
3
Short Rest History Matches
1
2.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.00
27
Normal Rest History Matches
17
1.85
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.59
16
Long Rest History Matches
20
2.19
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.15
Competition & season17 signals
170
4
Matches
4
2.25
PPG
0.25
75.0%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
25.0%
25.0%
Loss rate
75.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
2.18
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.50
4
Current Competition Matches
4
2.25
Current Competition PPG
0.25
1.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-1.50
6
Competition Season Count
4
5
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.57
Portability PPG Std
0.32
1.67
Portability PPG Range
0.71
46.61
Portability Score
60.90
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
47
Clean History Matches
39
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO214.1
PPG1.09
GF1.60
GA-0.61
PPG2.00
PPG1.11
PPG2.20
PPG0.80
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches8
Clean-sheet rate-0.11
Failed-to-score rate-0.34
History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate-0.10
Failed-to-score rate-0.50
History Matches8
Goals Mean1.60
Goals Std0.44
Scored 1+ rate34.2%
Scored 2+ rate49.2%
Scored 3+ rate31.4%
Venue Goals Mean1.87
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.80
Recent 10 Goals Std0.16
History Matches8
Conceded Mean-0.61
Conceded Std-0.80
Clean-sheet rate-0.11
Conceded 2+ rate-0.06
Conceded 3+ rate-0.27
Venue Conceded Mean-0.73
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.44
History Matches8
Result entropy0.01
Goal Difference Std0.11
Stability score-1.42
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.01
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.39
Eligible Matches7
Lead Matches13
Lead Win Rate-0.05
Lead Points Retention0.01
Trailing Matches-6
Non-loss rate38.9%
Trailing Win Rate33.3%
Halftime Coverage Matches7
First Half Goals For Mean0.80
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.16
Second Half Goals For Mean0.73
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.44
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG2.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean3.00
Competition Season Count2
Eligible Competition Season Count2
Portability PPG Std0.25
Portability PPG Range0.96
Portability Score-14.29
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches2
Short Rest Points Per Match2.00
Normal Rest History Matches10
Normal Rest Points Per Match1.26
Long Rest History Matches-4
Long Rest Points Per Match1.04
Current Team ELO214.1
Current Opponent ELO-214.1
Current ELO Difference428.2
Expected score0.55
History Matches8
Residual Mean0.24
Overperformance16.21
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.08

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Stuttgart U19

D
Galatasaray U192–2Stuttgart U193 Nov · away
Pick: Stuttgart U19 53% · missed
L
Stuttgart U191–3Bayern München U1930 Oct · home
Pick: Stuttgart U19 43% · missed
W
Ingolstadt U191–3Stuttgart U1924 Oct · away
Pick: Stuttgart U19 43% · hit
L
Stuttgart U192–4Atlético Madrid U1920 Oct · home
Pick: Stuttgart U19 72% · missed
D
Stuttgart U193–31860 München U1917 Oct · home
Pick: Stuttgart U19 65% · missed

Unterhaching U19

L
1860 München U197–1Unterhaching U1924 Oct · away
Pick: 1860 München U19 66% · hit
W
Unterhaching U193–2Bayern München U1917 Oct · home
Pick: Bayern München U19 76% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Stuttgart U19 and Unterhaching U19 meet in U19 Bundesliga on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Stuttgart U19 win 77.3%, draw 11.5%, Unterhaching U19 win 11.2%. The pick is Stuttgart U19 win. Over 2.5 goals: 76.8%. Both teams to score: 60.8%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.