ScoreProb
Regionalliga - South Austria South - 14 2026

SV Lafnitz vs Allerheiligen

SV Lafnitz Home · Elo 1,462
Fri 6 Nov
UTC
Not started
Allerheiligen Away · Elo 1,550
Sportplatz Lafnitz Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: SV Lafnitz win
SV Lafnitz winPick
55.9%
Draw
17.9%
Allerheiligen win
26.2%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · not provided for this competition by our data source
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes65.9%
No34.1%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.576.3%
Under 2.523.7%

How much we know

SV Lafnitz history53 matches
Allerheiligen history37 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 9 h ahead
    31 Oct · 08:40 UTC
  2. Re-published 15 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 06:57 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    6 Nov · 18:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (55.9%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why SV Lafnitz are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Allerheiligen are rated 88 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,550 against 1,462. On rating alone Allerheiligen would be expected to take 62% of the points on offer.

  • Allerheiligen score more

    1.64 goals a game over 53 matches for SV Lafnitz, against 2.51 over 37 for Allerheiligen.

  • Allerheiligen concede fewer

    SV Lafnitz concede 2.43 a game, Allerheiligen 2.11.

  • SV Lafnitz games more often go over 2.5 goals

    83% of SV Lafnitz matches, against 68% for Allerheiligen. The model puts this match at 76% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
SV Lafnitz
Allerheiligen
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1462.0
ELO
1550.2
53
ELO · Matches
37
1462.0
Current Team ELO
1550.2
1550.2
Current Opponent ELO
1462.0
-88.11
Current ELO Difference
88.11
0.38
Expected score
0.62
53
History Matches
37
-0.04
Residual Mean
0.05
47.17
Overperformance
53.54
-0.05
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.06
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
1.00
1.60
Goals for per game
2.20
2.40
Goals against per game
2.60
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.10
PPG
1.80
1.40
Goals for per game
3.40
2.10
Goals against per game
2.30
30.0%
Win rate
50.0%
1.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
3.40
1.28
Recent 10 Goals Std
2.24
2.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.30
1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.73
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
2.05
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.43
Overall performance9 signals
90
53
Matches
37
1.06
PPG
1.68
28.3%
Win rate
45.9%
20.8%
Draw rate
29.7%
50.9%
Loss rate
24.3%
98.1%
Over 1.5 rate
91.9%
83.0%
Over 2.5 rate
67.6%
62.3%
Over 3.5 rate
59.5%
2.61
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.56
Venue performance10 signals
100
25
Matches
21
1.12
PPG
1.38
28.0%
Win rate
33.3%
28.0%
Draw rate
38.1%
44.0%
Loss rate
28.6%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
95.2%
84.0%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
72.0%
Over 3.5 rate
66.7%
2.02
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.78
25
History Matches
21
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.64
Goals for per game
2.51
81.1%
Scoring rate
94.6%
69.8%
BTTS rate
86.5%
1.84
Goals for per game
2.19
92.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
88.0%
BTTS rate
90.5%
1.67
Goals for per game
1.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
66.7%
100.0%
BTTS rate
66.7%
53
History Matches
37
1.64
Goals Mean
2.51
1.43
Goals Std
1.73
81.1%
Scored 1+ rate
94.6%
43.4%
Scored 2+ rate
67.6%
20.8%
Scored 3+ rate
37.8%
1.84
Venue Goals Mean
2.19
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
2.43
Goals against per game
2.11
86.8%
Conceding rate
89.2%
2.48
Goals against per game
2.48
96.0%
Conceding rate
90.5%
2.00
Goals against per game
2.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
66.7%
53
History Matches
37
2.43
Conceded Mean
2.11
1.71
Conceded Std
2.05
66.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
43.2%
43.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
29.7%
2.48
Venue Conceded Mean
2.48
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
13.2%
Clean-sheet rate
10.8%
18.9%
Failed-to-score rate
5.4%
4.0%
Clean-sheet rate
9.5%
8.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
13.2%
Clean-sheet rate
10.8%
18.9%
Failed-to-score rate
5.4%
4.0%
Clean-sheet rate
9.5%
8.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
13.2%
Clean-sheet rate
10.8%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
53
History Matches
37
0.93
Result entropy
0.97
2.61
Goal Difference Std
2.56
6.50
Stability score
3.35
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
53
Eligible Matches
37
15
Lead Matches
8
73.3%
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
0.80
Lead Points Retention
1.00
26
Trailing Matches
11
19.2%
Non-loss rate
45.5%
3.8%
Trailing Win Rate
27.3%
Goal timing5 signals
50
53
Halftime Coverage Matches
37
0.77
First Half Goals For Mean
0.97
1.30
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.14
0.87
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.54
1.13
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.97
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
76.13
Rest days
77.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
1
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
3.00
26
Normal Rest History Matches
26
1.19
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.77
25
Long Rest History Matches
9
1.00
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.33
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
1.33
PPG
0.67
33.3%
Win rate
0.0%
33.3%
Draw rate
66.7%
33.3%
Loss rate
33.3%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
33.3%
66.7%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
1.25
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.41
3
Current Competition Matches
3
1.33
Current Competition PPG
0.67
-0.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-1.00
7
Competition Season Count
4
5
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.28
Portability PPG Std
0.57
0.79
Portability PPG Range
1.33
63.98
Portability Score
46.88
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
53
Clean History Matches
37
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-88.11
PPG-0.62
GF-0.87
GA0.33
PPG0.67
PPG-0.26
PPG0.40
PPG-0.70
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches16
Clean-sheet rate2.4%
Failed-to-score rate13.5%
History Matches4
Clean-sheet rate-0.06
Failed-to-score rate8.0%
History Matches16
Goals Mean-0.87
Goals Std-0.31
Scored 1+ rate-0.13
Scored 2+ rate-0.24
Scored 3+ rate-0.17
Venue Goals Mean-0.35
Recent 10 Goals Mean-2.00
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.96
History Matches16
Conceded Mean0.33
Conceded Std-0.34
Clean-sheet rate2.4%
Conceded 2+ rate22.8%
Conceded 3+ rate13.7%
Venue Conceded Mean0.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.43
History Matches16
Result entropy-0.03
Goal Difference Std0.05
Stability score3.15
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.38
Eligible Matches16
Lead Matches7
Lead Win Rate-0.27
Lead Points Retention-0.20
Trailing Matches15
Non-loss rate-0.26
Trailing Win Rate-0.23
Halftime Coverage Matches16
First Half Goals For Mean-0.20
First Half Goals Against Mean0.17
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.67
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.16
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.67
Competition Season Count3
Eligible Competition Season Count2
Portability PPG Std-0.29
Portability PPG Range-0.54
Portability Score17.10
Rest days-0.92
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match-3.00
Normal Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.58
Long Rest History Matches16
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.33
Current Team ELO-88.11
Current Opponent ELO88.11
Current ELO Difference-176.2
Expected score-0.25
History Matches16
Residual Mean-0.09
Overperformance-6.38
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.11

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

SV Lafnitz

D
Deutschlandsberger SC2–2SV Lafnitz30 Oct · away
Pick: Deutschlandsberger SC 49% · missed
D
Kalsdorf1–1SV Lafnitz21 Oct · away
Pick: Kalsdorf 58% · missed
W
SV Lafnitz4–2Gleisdorf 0916 Oct · home
Pick: SV Lafnitz 45% · hit
D
SV Lafnitz2–2Kalsdorf1 Sep · home
Pick: Kalsdorf 50% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Allerheiligen

L
Allerheiligen0–2Gleisdorf 0930 Oct · home
Pick: Allerheiligen 41% · missed
L
Tillmitsch3–1Allerheiligen23 Oct · away
Pick: Tillmitsch 68% · hit
L
Allerheiligen3–4Hartberg (Am)16 Oct · home
Pick: Allerheiligen 65% · missed
W
Hartberg (Am)1–4Allerheiligen30 Aug · away
Pick: Allerheiligen 47% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

SV Lafnitz and Allerheiligen meet in Regionalliga - South on Friday 6 November 2026, kickoff 18:00 UTC. The match is played at Sportplatz Lafnitz. ScoreProb published its prediction on 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC: SV Lafnitz win 55.9%, draw 17.9%, Allerheiligen win 26.2%. The pick is SV Lafnitz win. Over 2.5 goals: 76.3%. Both teams to score: 65.9%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.