ScoreProb
Central Youth League Poland Round 14 2026

Talent Warszawa U19 vs Górnik Zabrze U19

Talent Warszawa U19 Home · Elo 1,510
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Górnik Zabrze U19 Away · Elo 1,591
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Talent Warszawa U19 win
Talent Warszawa U19 winPick
42.2%
Draw
22.9%
Górnik Zabrze U19 win
34.9%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes66.3%
No33.7%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.573.9%
Under 2.526.1%

How much we know

Talent Warszawa U19 history3 matches
Górnik Zabrze U19 history46 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 2 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 11:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (42.2%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Talent Warszawa U19 are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Górnik Zabrze U19 are rated 81 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,591 against 1,510. On rating alone Górnik Zabrze U19 would be expected to take 61% of the points on offer.

  • Talent Warszawa U19 score more

    3.00 goals a game over 3 matches for Talent Warszawa U19, against 2.07 over 46 for Górnik Zabrze U19.

  • Górnik Zabrze U19 concede fewer

    Talent Warszawa U19 concede 1.67 a game, Górnik Zabrze U19 1.30.

  • Talent Warszawa U19 games more often go over 2.5 goals

    100% of Talent Warszawa U19 matches, against 67% for Górnik Zabrze U19. The model puts this match at 74% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Talent Warszawa U19
Górnik Zabrze U19
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1509.7
ELO
1591.0
3
ELO · Matches
46
1509.7
Current Team ELO
1591.0
1591.0
Current Opponent ELO
1509.7
-81.35
Current ELO Difference
81.35
0.39
Expected score
0.61
3
History Matches
46
0.19
Residual Mean
0.10
52.53
Overperformance
57.27
0.19
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.09
Recent form16 signals
160
3
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
1.80
3.00
Goals for per game
1.40
1.67
Goals against per game
0.60
66.7%
Win rate
40.0%
3
Matches
10
2.00
PPG
1.90
3.00
Goals for per game
1.50
1.67
Goals against per game
0.70
66.7%
Win rate
50.0%
3.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.50
1.63
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.28
1.67
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.70
0.47
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.78
0.58
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
2.05
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.17
Overall performance9 signals
90
3
Matches
46
2.00
PPG
1.89
66.7%
Win rate
54.3%
0.0%
Draw rate
26.1%
33.3%
Loss rate
19.6%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
84.8%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
67.4%
66.7%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
2.05
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.29
Venue performance10 signals
100
2
Matches
21
1.50
PPG
1.95
50.0%
Win rate
57.1%
0.0%
Draw rate
23.8%
50.0%
Loss rate
19.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
90.5%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
71.4%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
61.9%
2.50
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.63
2
History Matches
21
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
3.00
Goals for per game
2.07
100.0%
Scoring rate
82.6%
100.0%
BTTS rate
58.7%
3.00
Goals for per game
2.19
100.0%
Scoring rate
90.5%
100.0%
BTTS rate
66.7%
3.00
Goals for per game
0.33
100.0%
Scoring rate
33.3%
100.0%
BTTS rate
33.3%
3
History Matches
46
3.00
Goals Mean
2.07
1.63
Goals Std
1.47
100.0%
Scored 1+ rate
82.6%
66.7%
Scored 2+ rate
65.2%
66.7%
Scored 3+ rate
34.8%
3.00
Venue Goals Mean
2.19
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.67
Goals against per game
1.30
100.0%
Conceding rate
67.4%
1.50
Goals against per game
1.57
100.0%
Conceding rate
76.2%
1.67
Goals against per game
0.33
100.0%
Conceding rate
33.3%
3
History Matches
46
1.67
Conceded Mean
1.30
0.47
Conceded Std
1.46
66.7%
Conceded 2+ rate
32.6%
0.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
13.0%
1.50
Venue Conceded Mean
1.57
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
32.6%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
17.4%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
23.8%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
9.5%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
66.7%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
66.7%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
32.6%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
17.4%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
23.8%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
9.5%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
32.6%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
3
History Matches
46
0.58
Result entropy
0.91
2.05
Goal Difference Std
2.29
42.06
Stability score
8.87
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
3
Eligible Matches
42
2
Lead Matches
19
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
84.2%
1.00
Lead Points Retention
0.89
0
Trailing Matches
7
—
Non-loss rate
28.6%
—
Trailing Win Rate
14.3%
Goal timing5 signals
50
3
Halftime Coverage Matches
42
1.33
First Half Goals For Mean
0.93
0.33
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.43
1.67
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.14
1.33
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.88
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
78.06
Rest days
77.96
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
1
Normal Rest History Matches
23
3.00
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.74
1
Long Rest History Matches
22
3.00
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.00
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
2.00
PPG
1.00
66.7%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
100.0%
33.3%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
33.3%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
0.0%
66.7%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
2.05
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.00
3
Current Competition Matches
3
2.00
Current Competition PPG
1.00
1.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.00
1
Competition Season Count
3
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
—
Portability PPG Std
0.45
—
Portability PPG Range
0.97
—
Portability Score
52.87
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
3
Clean History Matches
46
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreNon-loss rateTrailing Win RatePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-81.35
PPG0.11
GF0.93
GA0.36
PPG1.00
PPG-0.45
PPG0.20
PPG0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-43
Clean-sheet rate-0.33
Failed-to-score rate-0.17
History Matches-19
Clean-sheet rate-0.24
Failed-to-score rate-0.10
History Matches-43
Goals Mean0.93
Goals Std0.17
Scored 1+ rate17.4%
Scored 2+ rate1.4%
Scored 3+ rate31.9%
Venue Goals Mean0.81
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.50
Recent 10 Goals Std0.35
History Matches-43
Conceded Mean0.36
Conceded Std-0.99
Clean-sheet rate-0.33
Conceded 2+ rate34.1%
Conceded 3+ rate-0.13
Venue Conceded Mean-0.07
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.97
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.31
History Matches-43
Result entropy-0.33
Goal Difference Std-0.23
Stability score33.19
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.28
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.89
Eligible Matches-39
Lead Matches-17
Lead Win Rate15.8%
Lead Points Retention0.11
Trailing Matches-7
Halftime Coverage Matches-39
First Half Goals For Mean0.40
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.10
Second Half Goals For Mean0.52
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.45
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean1.33
Competition Season Count-2
Eligible Competition Season Count-2
Rest days0.10
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches-22
Normal Rest Points Per Match1.26
Long Rest History Matches-21
Long Rest Points Per Match1.00
Current Team ELO-81.35
Current Opponent ELO81.35
Current ELO Difference-162.7
Expected score-0.23
History Matches-43
Residual Mean0.09
Overperformance-4.75
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.11

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Talent Warszawa U19

L
Talent Warszawa U190–4Escola Varsovia U1931 Oct · home
Pick: Talent Warszawa U19 51% · missed
L
Lech Poznań U194–1Talent Warszawa U1924 Oct · away
Pick: Lech Poznań U19 54% · hit
D
Talent Warszawa U190–0Korona Kielce U1918 Oct · home
Pick: Talent Warszawa U19 54% · missed
L
Wisła Kraków U194–0Talent Warszawa U1929 Aug · away
Pick: Wisła Kraków U19 45% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Górnik Zabrze U19

W
Górnik Zabrze U192–0Lech Poznań U1930 Oct · home
Pick: Górnik Zabrze U19 45% · hit
W
Korona Kielce U191–2Górnik Zabrze U1925 Oct · away
Pick: Górnik Zabrze U19 46% · hit
D
Górnik Zabrze U192–2Miedź Legnica U1917 Oct · home
Pick: Górnik Zabrze U19 62% · missed
L
Zagłębie Lubin U191–0Górnik Zabrze U1930 Aug · away
Pick: Górnik Zabrze U19 48% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Talent Warszawa U19 and Górnik Zabrze U19 meet in Central Youth League on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 11:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Talent Warszawa U19 win 42.2%, draw 22.9%, Górnik Zabrze U19 win 34.9%. The pick is Talent Warszawa U19 win. Over 2.5 goals: 73.9%. Both teams to score: 66.3%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.