ScoreProb
Cup Luxembourg Round 32 2026

The Belval Belvaux vs Etzella Ettelbruck

The Belval Belvaux Home · Elo 1,482
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Etzella Ettelbruck Away · Elo 1,472
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Etzella Ettelbruck win
The Belval Belvaux win
29.1%
Draw
22.5%
Etzella Ettelbruck winPick
48.4%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes56.8%
No43.2%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.563.7%
Under 2.536.3%

How much we know

The Belval Belvaux history2 matches
Etzella Ettelbruck history9 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 6 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 15:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (48.4%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Etzella Ettelbruck are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,482 against 1,472. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • The Belval Belvaux score more

    1.50 goals a game over 2 matches for The Belval Belvaux, against 1.22 over 9 for Etzella Ettelbruck.

  • Etzella Ettelbruck concede fewer

    The Belval Belvaux concede 2.50 a game, Etzella Ettelbruck 1.89.

  • The Belval Belvaux games more often go over 2.5 goals

    100% of The Belval Belvaux matches, against 67% for Etzella Ettelbruck. The model puts this match at 64% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
The Belval Belvaux
Etzella Ettelbruck@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1482.4
ELO
1471.9
2
ELO · Matches
9
1482.4
Current Team ELO
1471.9
1471.9
Current Opponent ELO
1482.4
10.52
Current ELO Difference
-10.52
0.52
Expected score
0.48
2
History Matches
9
-0.44
Residual Mean
-0.19
46.00
Overperformance
44.20
-0.44
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.19
Recent form16 signals
160
2
Matches
5
0.00
PPG
0.80
1.50
Goals for per game
1.00
2.50
Goals against per game
1.80
0.0%
Win rate
20.0%
2
Matches
9
0.00
PPG
0.89
1.50
Goals for per game
1.22
2.50
Goals against per game
1.89
0.0%
Win rate
22.2%
1.50
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.22
0.50
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.92
2.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.89
0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.29
0.00
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.91
0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.63
Overall performance9 signals
90
2
Matches
9
0.00
PPG
0.89
0.0%
Win rate
22.2%
0.0%
Draw rate
22.2%
100.0%
Loss rate
55.6%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
77.8%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
44.4%
0.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.63
Venue performance10 signals
100
1
Matches
6
0.00
PPG
1.33
0.0%
Win rate
33.3%
0.0%
Draw rate
33.3%
100.0%
Loss rate
33.3%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
83.3%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
66.7%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.98
1
History Matches
6
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.50
Goals for per game
1.22
100.0%
Scoring rate
77.8%
100.0%
BTTS rate
77.8%
2.00
Goals for per game
1.67
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
2
History Matches
9
1.50
Goals Mean
1.22
0.50
Goals Std
0.92
100.0%
Scored 1+ rate
77.8%
50.0%
Scored 2+ rate
33.3%
0.0%
Scored 3+ rate
11.1%
2.00
Venue Goals Mean
1.67
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
2.50
Goals against per game
1.89
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
3.00
Goals against per game
2.17
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
2
History Matches
9
2.50
Conceded Mean
1.89
0.50
Conceded Std
1.29
100.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
44.4%
50.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
22.2%
3.00
Venue Conceded Mean
2.17
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
22.2%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
22.2%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
2
History Matches
9
0.00
Result entropy
0.91
0.00
Goal Difference Std
1.63
100.0
Stability score
9.43
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
2
Eligible Matches
7
1
Lead Matches
1
0.0%
Lead Win Rate
0.0%
0.00
Lead Points Retention
0.33
0
Trailing Matches
3
—
Non-loss rate
33.3%
—
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
2
Halftime Coverage Matches
7
1.00
First Half Goals For Mean
0.29
0.50
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.00
0.50
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.57
2.00
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.14
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
364.0
Rest days
77.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
1
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
3.00
0
Normal Rest History Matches
4
—
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.00
1
Long Rest History Matches
3
0.00
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.33
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
3
0
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
—
Portability PPG Std
0.75
—
Portability PPG Range
1.50
—
Portability Score
40.00
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
2
Clean History Matches
9
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreNon-loss rateTrailing Win RateCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per Match
ELO10.52
PPG-0.89
GF0.28
GA0.61
PPG-1.33
PPG-0.80
PPG-0.89
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-7
Clean-sheet rate0.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.22
History Matches-5
Clean-sheet rate0.0%
Failed-to-score rate0.0%
History Matches-7
Goals Mean0.28
Goals Std-0.42
Scored 1+ rate22.2%
Scored 2+ rate16.7%
Scored 3+ rate-0.11
Venue Goals Mean0.33
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.28
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.42
History Matches-7
Conceded Mean0.61
Conceded Std-0.79
Clean-sheet rate0.0%
Conceded 2+ rate55.6%
Conceded 3+ rate27.8%
Venue Conceded Mean0.83
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.61
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.79
History Matches-7
Result entropy-0.91
Goal Difference Std-1.63
Stability score90.57
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.91
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-1.63
Eligible Matches-5
Lead Matches0
Lead Win Rate0.0%
Lead Points Retention-0.33
Trailing Matches-3
Halftime Coverage Matches-5
First Half Goals For Mean0.71
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.50
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.07
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.86
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count-2
Rest days287.0
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest History Matches-4
Long Rest History Matches-2
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.33
Current Team ELO10.52
Current Opponent ELO-10.52
Current ELO Difference21.04
Expected score0.03
History Matches-7
Residual Mean-0.25
Overperformance1.80
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.25

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

The Belval Belvaux

No earlier results with our pick yet

Etzella Ettelbruck

L
Atert Bissen5–1Etzella Ettelbruck31 Oct · away
Pick: Atert Bissen 75% · hit
W
Etzella Ettelbruck2–0Progres Niederkorn24 Oct · home
Pick: Progres Niederkorn 47% · missed
L
AS Jeunesse Esch1–0Etzella Ettelbruck18 Oct · away
Pick: AS Jeunesse Esch 56% · hit
L
Etzella Ettelbruck0–5Résidence Walferdange30 Aug · home
Pick: Résidence Walferdange 46% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

The Belval Belvaux and Etzella Ettelbruck meet in Cup on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 15:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: The Belval Belvaux win 29.1%, draw 22.5%, Etzella Ettelbruck win 48.4%. The pick is Etzella Ettelbruck win. Over 2.5 goals: 63.7%. Both teams to score: 56.8%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.