ScoreProb
Regionalliga - Ost Austria Ost - 15 2026

Traiskirchen vs Wiener Viktoria

Traiskirchen Home · Elo 1,540
Fri 6 Nov
UTC
Not started
Wiener Viktoria Away · Elo 1,465
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Traiskirchen win
Traiskirchen winPick
52.1%
Draw
20.6%
Wiener Viktoria win
27.3%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes67.0%
No33.0%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.573.6%
Under 2.526.4%

How much we know

Traiskirchen history59 matches
Wiener Viktoria history62 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 9 h ahead
    31 Oct · 08:40 UTC
  2. Re-published 15 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 06:57 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    6 Nov · 18:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (52.1%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Traiskirchen are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Traiskirchen are rated 76 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,540 against 1,465. On rating alone Traiskirchen would be expected to take 61% of the points on offer.

  • Traiskirchen score more

    2.25 goals a game over 59 matches for Traiskirchen, against 1.48 over 62 for Wiener Viktoria.

  • Wiener Viktoria concede fewer

    Traiskirchen concede 2.07 a game, Wiener Viktoria 1.69.

  • Traiskirchen games more often go over 2.5 goals

    81% of Traiskirchen matches, against 66% for Wiener Viktoria. The model puts this match at 74% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 21 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Traiskirchen
Wiener Viktoria
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1540.1
ELO
1464.6
59
ELO · Matches
62
1540.1
Current Team ELO
1464.6
1464.6
Current Opponent ELO
1540.1
75.52
Current ELO Difference
-75.52
0.61
Expected score
0.39
59
History Matches
62
0.05
Residual Mean
-0.01
53.80
Overperformance
49.22
0.05
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.04
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
0.60
3.20
Goals for per game
1.00
2.20
Goals against per game
2.00
60.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.60
PPG
1.10
2.50
Goals for per game
1.50
2.60
Goals against per game
1.90
50.0%
Win rate
30.0%
2.50
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.50
1.63
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.57
2.60
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.90
1.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.04
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
2.30
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.15
Overall performance9 signals
90
59
Matches
62
1.51
PPG
1.24
42.4%
Win rate
33.9%
23.7%
Draw rate
22.6%
33.9%
Loss rate
43.5%
88.1%
Over 1.5 rate
83.9%
81.4%
Over 2.5 rate
66.1%
67.8%
Over 3.5 rate
41.9%
2.30
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.26
Venue performance10 signals
100
35
Matches
25
1.49
PPG
0.84
42.9%
Win rate
24.0%
20.0%
Draw rate
12.0%
37.1%
Loss rate
64.0%
88.6%
Over 1.5 rate
80.0%
80.0%
Over 2.5 rate
64.0%
71.4%
Over 3.5 rate
40.0%
2.25
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.29
35
History Matches
25
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.25
Goals for per game
1.48
88.1%
Scoring rate
72.6%
72.9%
BTTS rate
58.1%
2.20
Goals for per game
1.12
88.6%
Scoring rate
56.0%
71.4%
BTTS rate
44.0%
3.00
Goals for per game
1.00
75.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
75.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
59
History Matches
62
2.25
Goals Mean
1.48
1.48
Goals Std
1.35
88.1%
Scored 1+ rate
72.6%
64.4%
Scored 2+ rate
40.3%
45.8%
Scored 3+ rate
22.6%
2.20
Venue Goals Mean
1.12
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
2.07
Goals against per game
1.69
83.1%
Conceding rate
85.5%
2.09
Goals against per game
2.08
82.9%
Conceding rate
88.0%
2.75
Goals against per game
1.75
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
59
History Matches
62
2.07
Conceded Mean
1.69
1.71
Conceded Std
1.36
57.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
41.9%
30.5%
Conceded 3+ rate
24.2%
2.09
Venue Conceded Mean
2.08
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
16.9%
Clean-sheet rate
14.5%
11.9%
Failed-to-score rate
27.4%
17.1%
Clean-sheet rate
12.0%
11.4%
Failed-to-score rate
44.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
16.9%
Clean-sheet rate
14.5%
11.9%
Failed-to-score rate
27.4%
17.1%
Clean-sheet rate
12.0%
11.4%
Failed-to-score rate
44.0%
16.9%
Clean-sheet rate
14.5%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
59
History Matches
62
0.98
Result entropy
0.97
2.30
Goal Difference Std
2.26
2.43
Stability score
3.08
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
58
Eligible Matches
62
21
Lead Matches
19
66.7%
Lead Win Rate
73.7%
0.76
Lead Points Retention
0.81
22
Trailing Matches
25
22.7%
Non-loss rate
28.0%
13.6%
Trailing Win Rate
12.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
58
Halftime Coverage Matches
62
1.05
First Half Goals For Mean
0.66
1.02
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.76
1.19
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.82
1.09
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.94
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.04
Rest days
77.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
6
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.17
29
Normal Rest History Matches
26
1.31
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.15
27
Long Rest History Matches
29
1.78
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.28
Competition & season17 signals
170
4
Matches
4
1.75
PPG
0.75
50.0%
Win rate
25.0%
25.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
25.0%
Loss rate
75.0%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
75.0%
75.0%
Over 2.5 rate
75.0%
75.0%
Over 3.5 rate
25.0%
0.83
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.79
4
Current Competition Matches
4
1.75
Current Competition PPG
0.75
0.25
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.75
7
Competition Season Count
6
5
Eligible Competition Season Count
5
0.36
Portability PPG Std
0.29
1.00
Portability PPG Range
0.85
58.47
Portability Score
62.91
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
59
Clean History Matches
62
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO75.52
PPG0.27
GF0.77
GA0.37
PPG1.00
PPG0.65
PPG1.40
PPG0.50
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-3
Clean-sheet rate2.4%
Failed-to-score rate-0.16
History Matches10
Clean-sheet rate5.1%
Failed-to-score rate-0.33
History Matches-3
Goals Mean0.77
Goals Std0.13
Scored 1+ rate15.6%
Scored 2+ rate24.1%
Scored 3+ rate23.2%
Venue Goals Mean1.08
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.00
Recent 10 Goals Std0.06
History Matches-3
Conceded Mean0.37
Conceded Std0.34
Clean-sheet rate2.4%
Conceded 2+ rate15.7%
Conceded 3+ rate6.3%
Venue Conceded Mean0.01
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.70
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.45
History Matches-3
Result entropy0.01
Goal Difference Std0.04
Stability score-0.65
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.08
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.15
Eligible Matches-4
Lead Matches2
Lead Win Rate-0.07
Lead Points Retention-0.05
Trailing Matches-3
Non-loss rate-0.05
Trailing Win Rate1.6%
Halftime Coverage Matches-4
First Half Goals For Mean0.39
First Half Goals Against Mean0.26
Second Half Goals For Mean0.37
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.15
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean1.00
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.06
Portability PPG Range0.15
Portability Score-4.44
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-4
Short Rest Points Per Match-1.17
Normal Rest History Matches3
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.16
Long Rest History Matches-2
Long Rest Points Per Match0.50
Current Team ELO75.52
Current Opponent ELO-75.52
Current ELO Difference151.0
Expected score0.21
History Matches-3
Residual Mean0.06
Overperformance4.58
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.08

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Traiskirchen

D
Wiener SC2–2Traiskirchen30 Oct · away
Pick: Wiener SC 61% · missed
W
Traiskirchen2–1Mattersburg SV 202023 Oct · home
Pick: Traiskirchen 66% · hit
W
Favoritner AC1–2Traiskirchen16 Oct · away
Pick: Favoritner AC 45% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Wiener Viktoria

D
Wiener Viktoria1–1SV Horn31 Oct · home
Pick: SV Horn 40% · missed
L
Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf3–0Wiener Viktoria23 Oct · away
Pick: Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf 66% · hit
W
Wiener Viktoria1–0Parndorf17 Oct · home
Pick: Parndorf 60% · missed
D
Wiener Viktoria1–1Gloggnitz29 Aug · home
Pick: Wiener Viktoria 43% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Traiskirchen and Wiener Viktoria meet in Regionalliga - Ost on Friday 6 November 2026, kickoff 18:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC: Traiskirchen win 52.1%, draw 20.6%, Wiener Viktoria win 27.3%. The pick is Traiskirchen win. Over 2.5 goals: 73.6%. Both teams to score: 67.0%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.