ScoreProb
Diski Challenge South Africa Round 7 2026

TS Galaxy U23 vs Chippa United U23

TS Galaxy U23 Home · Elo 1,478
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Chippa United U23 Away · Elo 1,340
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: TS Galaxy U23 win
TS Galaxy U23 winPick
63.8%
Draw
19.8%
Chippa United U23 win
16.3%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes58.6%
No41.4%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.567.4%
Under 2.532.6%

How much we know

TS Galaxy U23 history39 matches
Chippa United U23 history37 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 5 d 23 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 08:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (63.8%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.

Why TS Galaxy U23 are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • TS Galaxy U23 are rated 138 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,478 against 1,340. On rating alone TS Galaxy U23 would be expected to take 69% of the points on offer.

  • TS Galaxy U23 score more

    1.44 goals a game over 39 matches for TS Galaxy U23, against 1.08 over 37 for Chippa United U23.

  • TS Galaxy U23 concede fewer

    TS Galaxy U23 concede 1.72 a game, Chippa United U23 2.84.

  • Chippa United U23 games more often go over 2.5 goals

    56% of TS Galaxy U23 matches, against 68% for Chippa United U23. The model puts this match at 67% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 9 May 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
TS Galaxy U23
Chippa United U23
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1478.0
ELO
1339.8
39
ELO · Matches
37
1478.0
Current Team ELO
1339.8
1339.8
Current Opponent ELO
1478.0
138.2
Current ELO Difference
-138.2
0.69
Expected score
0.31
39
History Matches
37
-0.04
Residual Mean
-0.20
47.40
Overperformance
37.29
-0.06
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.20
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.80
PPG
0.00
1.00
Goals for per game
0.80
2.20
Goals against per game
4.00
20.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
10
1.10
PPG
0.30
1.40
Goals for per game
0.80
2.10
Goals against per game
3.20
30.0%
Win rate
10.0%
1.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.80
1.02
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.98
2.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
3.20
1.58
Recent 10 Conceded Std
2.71
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.30
1.62
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
3.10
Overall performance9 signals
90
39
Matches
37
1.23
PPG
0.51
33.3%
Win rate
13.5%
23.1%
Draw rate
10.8%
43.6%
Loss rate
75.7%
76.9%
Over 1.5 rate
86.5%
56.4%
Over 2.5 rate
67.6%
35.9%
Over 3.5 rate
51.4%
1.57
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.52
Venue performance10 signals
100
17
Matches
15
1.35
PPG
0.67
41.2%
Win rate
20.0%
11.8%
Draw rate
6.7%
47.1%
Loss rate
73.3%
82.4%
Over 1.5 rate
86.7%
58.8%
Over 2.5 rate
73.3%
23.5%
Over 3.5 rate
60.0%
1.59
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.92
17
History Matches
15
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.44
Goals for per game
1.08
79.5%
Scoring rate
59.5%
59.0%
BTTS rate
59.5%
1.47
Goals for per game
1.13
82.4%
Scoring rate
60.0%
58.8%
BTTS rate
60.0%
39
History Matches
37
1.44
Goals Mean
1.08
1.15
Goals Std
1.36
79.5%
Scored 1+ rate
59.5%
41.0%
Scored 2+ rate
24.3%
15.4%
Scored 3+ rate
10.8%
1.47
Venue Goals Mean
1.13
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.72
Goals against per game
2.84
76.9%
Conceding rate
100.0%
1.41
Goals against per game
3.13
76.5%
Conceding rate
100.0%
39
History Matches
37
1.72
Conceded Mean
2.84
1.38
Conceded Std
2.09
53.8%
Conceded 2+ rate
78.4%
28.2%
Conceded 3+ rate
40.5%
1.41
Venue Conceded Mean
3.13
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
23.1%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
20.5%
Failed-to-score rate
40.5%
23.5%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
17.6%
Failed-to-score rate
40.0%
23.1%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
20.5%
Failed-to-score rate
40.5%
23.5%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
17.6%
Failed-to-score rate
40.0%
23.1%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
39
History Matches
37
0.97
Result entropy
0.66
1.57
Goal Difference Std
2.52
2.92
Stability score
34.29
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
31
Eligible Matches
21
9
Lead Matches
1
66.7%
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
0.74
Lead Points Retention
1.00
11
Trailing Matches
9
18.2%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
9.1%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
31
Halftime Coverage Matches
21
0.58
First Half Goals For Mean
0.29
0.71
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.76
0.61
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.57
0.90
Second Half Goals Against Mean
2.14
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
182.0
Rest days
182.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
20
Normal Rest History Matches
17
1.30
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.65
18
Long Rest History Matches
19
1.22
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.42
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
2
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.17
Portability PPG Std
0.06
0.35
Portability PPG Range
0.12
74.29
Portability Score
89.40
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
39
Clean History Matches
37
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO138.2
PPG0.72
GF0.35
GA-1.12
PPG0.69
PPG0.80
PPG0.80
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate23.1%
Failed-to-score rate-0.20
History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate23.5%
Failed-to-score rate-0.22
History Matches2
Goals Mean0.35
Goals Std-0.21
Scored 1+ rate20.0%
Scored 2+ rate16.7%
Scored 3+ rate4.6%
Venue Goals Mean0.34
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.60
Recent 10 Goals Std0.04
History Matches2
Conceded Mean-1.12
Conceded Std-0.71
Clean-sheet rate23.1%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.25
Conceded 3+ rate-0.12
Venue Conceded Mean-1.72
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std-1.13
History Matches2
Result entropy0.31
Goal Difference Std-0.95
Stability score-31.37
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.64
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-1.49
Eligible Matches10
Lead Matches8
Lead Win Rate-0.33
Lead Points Retention-0.26
Trailing Matches2
Non-loss rate18.2%
Trailing Win Rate9.1%
Halftime Coverage Matches10
First Half Goals For Mean0.29
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.05
Second Half Goals For Mean0.04
Second Half Goals Against Mean-1.24
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.11
Portability PPG Range0.23
Portability Score-15.12
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches3
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.65
Long Rest History Matches-1
Long Rest Points Per Match0.80
Current Team ELO138.2
Current Opponent ELO-138.2
Current ELO Difference276.5
Expected score0.38
History Matches2
Residual Mean0.16
Overperformance10.12
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.14

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

TS Galaxy U23

L
Golden Arrows U232–0TS Galaxy U2331 Oct · away
Pick: Golden Arrows U23 41% · hit
W
Kruger United U230–1TS Galaxy U2324 Oct · away
Pick: Kruger United U23 37% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Chippa United U23

D
Chippa United U231–1Milford FC U2331 Oct · home
Pick: Chippa United U23 58% · missed
L
Mamelodi Sundowns U233–0Chippa United U2325 Oct · away
Pick: Mamelodi Sundowns U23 82% · hit
W
Chippa United U234–1Sekhukhune United U2317 Oct · home
Pick: Sekhukhune United U23 63% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

TS Galaxy U23 and Chippa United U23 meet in Diski Challenge on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 08:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: TS Galaxy U23 win 63.8%, draw 19.8%, Chippa United U23 win 16.3%. The pick is TS Galaxy U23 win. Over 2.5 goals: 67.4%. Both teams to score: 58.6%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.