ScoreProb
Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar Germany Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar - 16 2026

TuS RW Koblenz vs TuS Koblenz

TuS RW Koblenz Home · Elo 1,547
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
TuS Koblenz Away · Elo 1,604
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: TuS Koblenz win
TuS RW Koblenz win
31.1%
Draw
22.2%
TuS Koblenz winPick
46.7%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes65.5%
No34.5%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.569.8%
Under 2.530.2%

How much we know

TuS RW Koblenz history54 matches
TuS Koblenz history57 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 5 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 14:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (46.7%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why TuS Koblenz are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • TuS Koblenz are rated 56 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,604 against 1,547. On rating alone TuS Koblenz would be expected to take 58% of the points on offer.

  • Scoring rates are level

    2.04 goals a game over 54 matches for TuS RW Koblenz, against 2.12 over 57 for TuS Koblenz.

  • TuS Koblenz concede fewer

    TuS RW Koblenz concede 1.69 a game, TuS Koblenz 1.40.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    69% of TuS RW Koblenz matches, against 67% for TuS Koblenz. The model puts this match at 70% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
TuS RW Koblenz
TuS Koblenz
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1547.4
ELO
1603.6
54
ELO · Matches
57
1547.4
Current Team ELO
1603.6
1603.6
Current Opponent ELO
1547.4
-56.13
Current ELO Difference
56.13
0.42
Expected score
0.58
54
History Matches
57
0.05
Residual Mean
0.08
53.32
Overperformance
55.74
0.37
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.04
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.40
PPG
3.00
3.60
Goals for per game
3.00
1.60
Goals against per game
1.00
80.0%
Win rate
100.0%
10
Matches
10
2.70
PPG
1.80
3.30
Goals for per game
2.10
1.50
Goals against per game
1.70
90.0%
Win rate
60.0%
3.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.10
1.35
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.30
1.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.70
1.02
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.49
0.30
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.61
1.94
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.01
Overall performance9 signals
90
54
Matches
57
1.50
PPG
1.81
44.4%
Win rate
52.6%
16.7%
Draw rate
22.8%
38.9%
Loss rate
24.6%
88.9%
Over 1.5 rate
89.5%
68.5%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
46.3%
Over 3.5 rate
47.4%
2.12
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.02
Venue performance10 signals
100
27
Matches
32
1.52
PPG
1.50
44.4%
Win rate
40.6%
18.5%
Draw rate
28.1%
37.0%
Loss rate
31.3%
88.9%
Over 1.5 rate
84.4%
74.1%
Over 2.5 rate
59.4%
55.6%
Over 3.5 rate
43.8%
2.19
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.99
27
History Matches
32
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.04
Goals for per game
2.12
85.2%
Scoring rate
87.7%
66.7%
BTTS rate
66.7%
2.48
Goals for per game
1.81
88.9%
Scoring rate
81.3%
74.1%
BTTS rate
62.5%
3.00
Goals for per game
2.75
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
75.0%
BTTS rate
25.0%
54
History Matches
57
2.04
Goals Mean
2.12
1.59
Goals Std
1.49
85.2%
Scored 1+ rate
87.7%
55.6%
Scored 2+ rate
59.6%
29.6%
Scored 3+ rate
35.1%
2.48
Venue Goals Mean
1.81
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.69
Goals against per game
1.40
79.6%
Conceding rate
73.7%
1.74
Goals against per game
1.63
81.5%
Conceding rate
71.9%
1.75
Goals against per game
0.50
75.0%
Conceding rate
25.0%
54
History Matches
57
1.69
Conceded Mean
1.40
1.33
Conceded Std
1.23
50.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
40.4%
24.1%
Conceded 3+ rate
17.5%
1.74
Venue Conceded Mean
1.63
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
20.4%
Clean-sheet rate
26.3%
14.8%
Failed-to-score rate
12.3%
18.5%
Clean-sheet rate
28.1%
11.1%
Failed-to-score rate
18.8%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
75.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
20.4%
Clean-sheet rate
26.3%
14.8%
Failed-to-score rate
12.3%
18.5%
Clean-sheet rate
28.1%
11.1%
Failed-to-score rate
18.8%
20.4%
Clean-sheet rate
26.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
54
History Matches
57
0.93
Result entropy
0.93
2.12
Goal Difference Std
2.02
6.58
Stability score
7.18
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
53
Eligible Matches
56
19
Lead Matches
22
78.9%
Lead Win Rate
90.9%
0.82
Lead Points Retention
0.92
14
Trailing Matches
14
14.3%
Non-loss rate
42.9%
7.1%
Trailing Win Rate
28.6%
Goal timing5 signals
50
53
Halftime Coverage Matches
56
0.91
First Half Goals For Mean
0.79
0.77
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.55
1.09
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.36
0.91
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.86
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
78.00
Rest days
78.08
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
4
Short Rest History Matches
4
1.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
2.50
30
Normal Rest History Matches
24
1.50
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.96
19
Long Rest History Matches
28
1.53
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.64
Competition & season17 signals
170
4
Matches
4
2.25
PPG
3.00
75.0%
Win rate
100.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
25.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
75.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
75.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
2.49
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.09
4
Current Competition Matches
4
2.25
Current Competition PPG
3.00
1.25
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
2.25
5
Competition Season Count
5
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.51
Portability PPG Std
0.54
1.25
Portability PPG Range
1.25
49.39
Portability Score
48.30
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
54
Clean History Matches
57
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-56.13
PPG-0.31
GF-0.09
GA0.28
PPG-0.75
PPG0.02
PPG-0.60
PPG0.90
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-3
Clean-sheet rate-0.06
Failed-to-score rate2.5%
History Matches-5
Clean-sheet rate-0.10
Failed-to-score rate-0.08
History Matches-3
Goals Mean-0.09
Goals Std0.10
Scored 1+ rate-0.03
Scored 2+ rate-0.04
Scored 3+ rate-0.05
Venue Goals Mean0.67
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.20
Recent 10 Goals Std0.05
History Matches-3
Conceded Mean0.28
Conceded Std0.10
Clean-sheet rate-0.06
Conceded 2+ rate9.6%
Conceded 3+ rate6.5%
Venue Conceded Mean0.12
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.46
History Matches-3
Result entropy0.01
Goal Difference Std0.10
Stability score-0.60
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.32
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.07
Eligible Matches-3
Lead Matches-3
Lead Win Rate-0.12
Lead Points Retention-0.10
Trailing Matches0
Non-loss rate-0.29
Trailing Win Rate-0.21
Halftime Coverage Matches-3
First Half Goals For Mean0.12
First Half Goals Against Mean0.22
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.26
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.05
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-0.75
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-1.00
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.02
Portability PPG Range0.00
Portability Score1.09
Rest days-0.08
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match-1.50
Normal Rest History Matches6
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.46
Long Rest History Matches-9
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.12
Current Team ELO-56.13
Current Opponent ELO56.13
Current ELO Difference-112.3
Expected score-0.16
History Matches-3
Residual Mean-0.03
Overperformance-2.42
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.32

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

TuS RW Koblenz

W
Gau-Odernheim1–2TuS RW Koblenz1 Nov · away
Pick: TuS RW Koblenz 47% · hit
W
TuS RW Koblenz2–1RW Wittlich24 Oct · home
Pick: TuS RW Koblenz 64% · hit
L
Gonsenheim2–0TuS RW Koblenz17 Oct · away
Pick: TuS RW Koblenz 52% · missed
D
TuS RW Koblenz1–1Schott Mainz29 Aug · home
Pick: TuS RW Koblenz 41% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

TuS Koblenz

D
TuS Koblenz0–0Cosmos Koblenz31 Oct · home
Pick: TuS Koblenz 72% · missed
D
TuS Koblenz0–0FC Emmelshausen-Karbach17 Oct · home
Pick: TuS Koblenz 71% · missed
L
Gau-Odernheim5–1TuS Koblenz29 Aug · away
Pick: TuS Koblenz 60% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

TuS RW Koblenz and TuS Koblenz meet in Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 14:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: TuS RW Koblenz win 31.1%, draw 22.2%, TuS Koblenz win 46.7%. The pick is TuS Koblenz win. Over 2.5 goals: 69.8%. Both teams to score: 65.5%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.