ScoreProb
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 Spain Group 6 - 7 2026

Vall de Uxó vs Torrent

Vall de Uxó Home · Elo 1,509
Wed 4 Nov
UTC
Not started
Torrent Away · Elo 1,475
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 29 Oct, 08:38 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Vall de Uxó win
Vall de Uxó winPick
39.9%
Draw
27.0%
Torrent win
33.1%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes47.6%
No52.4%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.545.3%
Under 2.554.7%

How much we know

Vall de Uxó history49 matches
Torrent history54 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 9 h ahead
    29 Oct · 08:38 UTC
  2. Re-published 16 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 18:58 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    4 Nov · 18:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (39.9%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.

Why Vall de Uxó are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Vall de Uxó are rated 34 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,509 against 1,475. On rating alone Vall de Uxó would be expected to take 55% of the points on offer.

  • Torrent score more

    1.02 goals a game over 49 matches for Vall de Uxó, against 1.20 over 54 for Torrent.

  • Vall de Uxó concede fewer

    Vall de Uxó concede 1.00 a game, Torrent 1.33.

  • Torrent games more often go over 2.5 goals

    29% of Vall de Uxó matches, against 48% for Torrent. The model puts this match at 45% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 9 May 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Vall de Uxó
Torrent
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1508.9
ELO
1475.0
49
ELO · Matches
54
1508.9
Current Team ELO
1475.0
1475.0
Current Opponent ELO
1508.9
33.89
Current ELO Difference
-33.89
0.55
Expected score
0.45
49
History Matches
54
0.01
Residual Mean
-0.02
51.02
Overperformance
48.88
0.03
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.03
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
0.80
0.60
Goals for per game
1.40
1.20
Goals against per game
1.60
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.70
PPG
1.30
0.80
Goals for per game
1.20
0.90
Goals against per game
1.40
50.0%
Win rate
40.0%
0.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.20
0.60
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.87
0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.40
1.22
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.11
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
1.51
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.40
Overall performance9 signals
90
49
Matches
54
1.47
PPG
1.26
40.8%
Win rate
33.3%
24.5%
Draw rate
25.9%
34.7%
Loss rate
40.7%
59.2%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
28.6%
Over 2.5 rate
48.1%
14.3%
Over 3.5 rate
27.8%
1.39
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.37
Venue performance10 signals
100
26
Matches
25
1.81
PPG
0.96
50.0%
Win rate
28.0%
30.8%
Draw rate
12.0%
19.2%
Loss rate
60.0%
61.5%
Over 1.5 rate
72.0%
26.9%
Over 2.5 rate
56.0%
15.4%
Over 3.5 rate
32.0%
1.36
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.53
26
History Matches
25
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.02
Goals for per game
1.20
69.4%
Scoring rate
77.8%
40.8%
BTTS rate
61.1%
1.15
Goals for per game
1.20
76.9%
Scoring rate
76.0%
42.3%
BTTS rate
64.0%
49
History Matches
54
1.02
Goals Mean
1.20
0.84
Goals Std
0.89
69.4%
Scored 1+ rate
77.8%
28.6%
Scored 2+ rate
33.3%
4.1%
Scored 3+ rate
9.3%
1.15
Venue Goals Mean
1.20
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.00
Goals against per game
1.33
67.3%
Conceding rate
75.9%
0.81
Goals against per game
1.72
57.7%
Conceding rate
84.0%
49
History Matches
54
1.00
Conceded Mean
1.33
0.99
Conceded Std
1.20
20.4%
Conceded 2+ rate
33.3%
8.2%
Conceded 3+ rate
13.0%
0.81
Venue Conceded Mean
1.72
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
32.7%
Clean-sheet rate
24.1%
30.6%
Failed-to-score rate
22.2%
42.3%
Clean-sheet rate
16.0%
23.1%
Failed-to-score rate
24.0%
32.7%
Clean-sheet rate
24.1%
30.6%
Failed-to-score rate
22.2%
42.3%
Clean-sheet rate
16.0%
23.1%
Failed-to-score rate
24.0%
32.7%
Clean-sheet rate
24.1%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
49
History Matches
54
0.98
Result entropy
0.98
1.39
Goal Difference Std
1.37
1.92
Stability score
1.51
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
49
Eligible Matches
54
16
Lead Matches
13
62.5%
Lead Win Rate
69.2%
0.69
Lead Points Retention
0.74
8
Trailing Matches
14
37.5%
Non-loss rate
21.4%
12.5%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
49
Halftime Coverage Matches
54
0.41
First Half Goals For Mean
0.50
0.27
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.54
0.61
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.70
0.73
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.80
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
179.1
Rest days
185.3
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
28
Normal Rest History Matches
41
1.50
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.34
20
Long Rest History Matches
12
1.50
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.83
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
4
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.02
Portability PPG Std
0.50
0.05
Portability PPG Range
1.12
95.65
Portability Score
50.00
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
49
Clean History Matches
54
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO33.89
PPG0.21
GF-0.18
GA-0.33
PPG0.85
PPG0.60
PPG0.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-5
Clean-sheet rate8.6%
Failed-to-score rate8.4%
History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate26.3%
Failed-to-score rate-0.01
History Matches-5
Goals Mean-0.18
Goals Std-0.04
Scored 1+ rate-0.08
Scored 2+ rate-0.05
Scored 3+ rate-0.05
Venue Goals Mean-0.05
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.40
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.27
History Matches-5
Conceded Mean-0.33
Conceded Std-0.21
Clean-sheet rate8.6%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.13
Conceded 3+ rate-0.05
Venue Conceded Mean-0.91
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.11
History Matches-5
Result entropy0.00
Goal Difference Std0.02
Stability score0.40
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.08
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.11
Eligible Matches-5
Lead Matches3
Lead Win Rate-0.07
Lead Points Retention-0.06
Trailing Matches-6
Non-loss rate16.1%
Trailing Win Rate12.5%
Halftime Coverage Matches-5
First Half Goals For Mean-0.09
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.27
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.09
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.06
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-2
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.48
Portability PPG Range-1.08
Portability Score45.66
Rest days-6.27
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches-13
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.16
Long Rest History Matches8
Long Rest Points Per Match0.67
Current Team ELO33.89
Current Opponent ELO-33.89
Current ELO Difference67.78
Expected score0.10
History Matches-5
Residual Mean0.03
Overperformance2.14
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.01

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Vall de Uxó

L
Buñol2–0Vall de Uxó31 Oct · away
Pick: Draw 38% · missed
W
Hércules II0–1Vall de Uxó24 Oct · away
Pick: Vall de Uxó 44% · hit
D
Vall de Uxó1–1Atzeneta4 Oct · home
Pick: Vall de Uxó 43% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Torrent

W
Soneja0–2Torrent1 Nov · away
Pick: Torrent 36% · hit
L
Torrent1–2Acero25 Oct · home
Pick: Torrent 65% · missed
W
Buñol0–1Torrent4 Oct · away
Pick: Torrent 43% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Vall de Uxó and Torrent meet in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 on Wednesday 4 November 2026, kickoff 18:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 29 Oct, 08:38 UTC: Vall de Uxó win 39.9%, draw 27.0%, Torrent win 33.1%. The pick is Vall de Uxó win. Over 2.5 goals: 45.3%. Both teams to score: 47.6%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.