Victoria Rosport vs UN Kaerjeng 97
Match result probability Model pick: Victoria Rosport win
Victoria Rosport winPick
56.4%
Draw
19.8%
UN Kaerjeng 97 win
23.8%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes61.0%
No39.0%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.563.5%
Under 2.536.5%
How much we know
Victoria Rosport history62 matches
UN Kaerjeng 97 history37 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Victoria Rosport
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 6 h ahead2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
- Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 14:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre8 Nov · 15:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (56.4%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.
Why Victoria Rosport are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
UN Kaerjeng 97 are rated 37 Elo points higher
Elo 1,504 against 1,467. On rating alone UN Kaerjeng 97 would be expected to take 55% of the points on offer.
-
UN Kaerjeng 97 score more
1.27 goals a game over 62 matches for Victoria Rosport, against 1.43 over 37 for UN Kaerjeng 97.
-
Defences are close
Victoria Rosport concede 1.79 a game, UN Kaerjeng 97 1.65.
-
Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games
63% of Victoria Rosport matches, against 57% for UN Kaerjeng 97. The model puts this match at 64% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
UN Kaerjeng 97@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1467.1
ELO
1504.3
62
ELO · Matches
37
1467.1
Current Team ELO
1504.3
1504.3
Current Opponent ELO
1467.1
-37.21
Current ELO Difference
37.21
0.45
Expected score
0.55
62
History Matches
37
-0.03
Residual Mean
0.01
47.89
Overperformance
50.60
-0.24
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.12
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
0.80
PPG
1.80
1.80
Goals for per game
1.80
2.20
Goals against per game
1.80
20.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
0.50
PPG
1.80
1.40
Goals for per game
1.60
2.60
Goals against per game
1.30
10.0%
Win rate
60.0%
1.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.60
1.20
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.28
2.60
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.30
1.28
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.55
0.73
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.61
2.14
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.28
Overall performance9 signals 90
62
Matches
37
1.19
PPG
1.32
32.3%
Win rate
40.5%
22.6%
Draw rate
10.8%
45.2%
Loss rate
48.6%
82.3%
Over 1.5 rate
83.8%
62.9%
Over 2.5 rate
56.8%
37.1%
Over 3.5 rate
32.4%
1.96
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.03
Venue performance10 signals 100
30
Matches
18
1.27
PPG
1.28
33.3%
Win rate
38.9%
26.7%
Draw rate
11.1%
40.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
83.3%
Over 1.5 rate
77.8%
63.3%
Over 2.5 rate
44.4%
30.0%
Over 3.5 rate
16.7%
1.74
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.05
30
History Matches
18
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.27
Goals for per game
1.43
62.9%
Scoring rate
75.7%
53.2%
BTTS rate
48.6%
1.43
Goals for per game
1.11
70.0%
Scoring rate
66.7%
56.7%
BTTS rate
38.9%
62
History Matches
37
1.27
Goals Mean
1.43
1.28
Goals Std
1.17
62.9%
Scored 1+ rate
75.7%
38.7%
Scored 2+ rate
40.5%
17.7%
Scored 3+ rate
21.6%
1.43
Venue Goals Mean
1.11
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.79
Goals against per game
1.65
82.3%
Conceding rate
73.0%
1.63
Goals against per game
1.39
80.0%
Conceding rate
72.2%
62
History Matches
37
1.79
Conceded Mean
1.65
1.32
Conceded Std
1.44
53.2%
Conceded 2+ rate
51.4%
29.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
21.6%
1.63
Venue Conceded Mean
1.39
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
17.7%
Clean-sheet rate
27.0%
37.1%
Failed-to-score rate
24.3%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
27.8%
30.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
17.7%
Clean-sheet rate
27.0%
37.1%
Failed-to-score rate
24.3%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
27.8%
30.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
17.7%
Clean-sheet rate
27.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
62
History Matches
37
0.96
Result entropy
0.87
1.96
Goal Difference Std
2.03
3.52
Stability score
12.88
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
61
Eligible Matches
37
16
Lead Matches
14
87.5%
Lead Win Rate
78.6%
0.92
Lead Points Retention
0.79
24
Trailing Matches
13
16.7%
Non-loss rate
30.8%
8.3%
Trailing Win Rate
7.7%
Goal timing5 signals 50
61
Halftime Coverage Matches
37
0.46
First Half Goals For Mean
0.62
0.77
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.68
0.79
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.81
1.03
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.97
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
77.04
Rest days
77.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
0
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
44
Normal Rest History Matches
24
1.41
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.25
16
Long Rest History Matches
12
0.75
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.58
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
7
Competition Season Count
5
5
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.45
Portability PPG Std
0.11
1.25
Portability PPG Range
0.22
52.85
Portability Score
81.69
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
62
Clean History Matches
37
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-37.21
PPG-0.13
GF-0.16
GA0.14
PPG-0.01
PPG-1.00
PPG-1.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches25
Clean-sheet rate-0.09
Failed-to-score rate12.8%
History Matches12
Clean-sheet rate-0.08
Failed-to-score rate-0.03
History Matches25
Goals Mean-0.16
Goals Std0.11
Scored 1+ rate-0.13
Scored 2+ rate-0.02
Scored 3+ rate-0.04
Venue Goals Mean0.32
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.20
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.08
History Matches25
Conceded Mean0.14
Conceded Std-0.12
Clean-sheet rate-0.09
Conceded 2+ rate1.9%
Conceded 3+ rate7.4%
Venue Conceded Mean0.24
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.27
History Matches25
Result entropy0.09
Goal Difference Std-0.07
Stability score-9.37
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.12
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.15
Eligible Matches24
Lead Matches2
Lead Win Rate8.9%
Lead Points Retention0.13
Trailing Matches11
Non-loss rate-0.14
Trailing Win Rate0.6%
Halftime Coverage Matches24
First Half Goals For Mean-0.16
First Half Goals Against Mean0.09
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.02
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.06
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count2
Eligible Competition Season Count3
Portability PPG Std0.33
Portability PPG Range1.03
Portability Score-28.84
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest History Matches20
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.16
Long Rest History Matches4
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.83
Current Team ELO-37.21
Current Opponent ELO37.21
Current ELO Difference-74.41
Expected score-0.11
History Matches25
Residual Mean-0.04
Overperformance-2.71
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.36
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Victoria Rosport
L
F91 Dudelange3–0Victoria Rosport31 Oct · away
Pick: F91 Dudelange 48% · hit W
Victoria Rosport4–1Résidence Walferdange25 Oct · home
Pick: Victoria Rosport 45% · hit L
Victoria Rosport3–5FC Differdange 0318 Oct · home
Pick: FC Differdange 03 62% · hit D
Racing FC Union Luxembourg2–2Victoria Rosport30 Aug · away
Pick: Racing FC Union Luxembourg 62% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
UN Kaerjeng 97
L
UNA Strassen2–1UN Kaerjeng 9731 Oct · away
Pick: UNA Strassen 76% · hit L
UN Kaerjeng 971–2Atert Bissen25 Oct · home
Pick: Atert Bissen 48% · hit W
Progres Niederkorn1–2UN Kaerjeng 9717 Oct · away
Pick: Progres Niederkorn 62% · missed W
UN Kaerjeng 976–0Swift Hesperange30 Aug · home
Pick: UN Kaerjeng 97 61% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Victoria Rosport and UN Kaerjeng 97 meet in Cup on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 15:00 UTC. The match is played at Party-Rent-Arena, Rosport. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Victoria Rosport win 56.4%, draw 19.8%, UN Kaerjeng 97 win 23.8%. The pick is Victoria Rosport win. Over 2.5 goals: 63.5%. Both teams to score: 61.0%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.