ScoreProb
Regionalliga - North Austria North - 16 2026

Wallern / Marienkirchen vs LASK Juniors

Wallern / Marienkirchen Home · Elo 1,550
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
LASK Juniors Away · Elo 1,509
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Wallern / Marienkirchen win
Wallern / Marienkirchen winPick
55.0%
Draw
19.4%
LASK Juniors win
25.7%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · not provided for this competition by our data source
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes59.9%
No40.1%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.568.9%
Under 2.531.1%

How much we know

Wallern / Marienkirchen history51 matches
LASK Juniors history55 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 6 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 15:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (55.0%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Wallern / Marienkirchen are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Wallern / Marienkirchen are rated 41 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,550 against 1,509. On rating alone Wallern / Marienkirchen would be expected to take 56% of the points on offer.

  • LASK Juniors score more

    1.84 goals a game over 51 matches for Wallern / Marienkirchen, against 2.27 over 55 for LASK Juniors.

  • Defences are close

    Wallern / Marienkirchen concede 1.57 a game, LASK Juniors 1.53.

  • LASK Juniors games more often go over 2.5 goals

    63% of Wallern / Marienkirchen matches, against 76% for LASK Juniors. The model puts this match at 69% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Wallern / Marienkirchen
LASK Juniors
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1549.9
ELO
1509.0
51
ELO · Matches
55
1549.9
Current Team ELO
1509.0
1509.0
Current Opponent ELO
1549.9
40.92
Current ELO Difference
-40.92
0.56
Expected score
0.44
51
History Matches
55
0.05
Residual Mean
0.00
53.65
Overperformance
50.21
0.16
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.03
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.60
PPG
1.40
3.60
Goals for per game
3.00
0.80
Goals against per game
1.60
80.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.90
PPG
1.40
2.60
Goals for per game
2.40
1.80
Goals against per game
2.00
60.0%
Win rate
40.0%
2.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.40
1.69
Recent 10 Goals Std
2.24
1.80
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.00
1.25
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.90
0.82
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.96
2.82
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
3.72
Overall performance9 signals
90
51
Matches
55
1.53
PPG
1.53
45.1%
Win rate
43.6%
17.6%
Draw rate
21.8%
37.3%
Loss rate
34.5%
82.4%
Over 1.5 rate
92.7%
62.7%
Over 2.5 rate
76.4%
43.1%
Over 3.5 rate
54.5%
2.17
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.84
Venue performance10 signals
100
26
Matches
29
1.65
PPG
1.21
50.0%
Win rate
34.5%
15.4%
Draw rate
17.2%
34.6%
Loss rate
48.3%
84.6%
Over 1.5 rate
89.7%
69.2%
Over 2.5 rate
82.8%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
58.6%
2.43
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.72
26
History Matches
29
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.84
Goals for per game
2.27
78.4%
Scoring rate
85.5%
54.9%
BTTS rate
63.6%
2.31
Goals for per game
1.76
84.6%
Scoring rate
79.3%
50.0%
BTTS rate
58.6%
3.60
Goals for per game
3.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
80.0%
60.0%
BTTS rate
60.0%
51
History Matches
55
1.84
Goals Mean
2.27
1.63
Goals Std
1.97
78.4%
Scored 1+ rate
85.5%
49.0%
Scored 2+ rate
54.5%
29.4%
Scored 3+ rate
36.4%
2.31
Venue Goals Mean
1.76
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.57
Goals against per game
1.53
74.5%
Conceding rate
74.5%
1.46
Goals against per game
1.79
65.4%
Conceding rate
72.4%
0.80
Goals against per game
1.60
60.0%
Conceding rate
80.0%
51
History Matches
55
1.57
Conceded Mean
1.53
1.24
Conceded Std
1.43
52.9%
Conceded 2+ rate
41.8%
21.6%
Conceded 3+ rate
21.8%
1.46
Venue Conceded Mean
1.79
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
25.5%
Clean-sheet rate
25.5%
21.6%
Failed-to-score rate
14.5%
34.6%
Clean-sheet rate
27.6%
15.4%
Failed-to-score rate
20.7%
40.0%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
20.0%
25.5%
Clean-sheet rate
25.5%
21.6%
Failed-to-score rate
14.5%
34.6%
Clean-sheet rate
27.6%
15.4%
Failed-to-score rate
20.7%
25.5%
Clean-sheet rate
25.5%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
51
History Matches
55
0.94
Result entropy
0.97
2.17
Goal Difference Std
2.84
5.96
Stability score
3.40
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
51
Eligible Matches
53
18
Lead Matches
21
94.4%
Lead Win Rate
76.2%
0.96
Lead Points Retention
0.83
18
Trailing Matches
15
27.8%
Non-loss rate
20.0%
16.7%
Trailing Win Rate
6.7%
Goal timing5 signals
50
51
Halftime Coverage Matches
53
0.80
First Half Goals For Mean
1.02
0.78
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.64
1.04
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.26
0.78
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.83
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.90
Rest days
76.96
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
2
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.50
32
Normal Rest History Matches
31
1.47
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.45
16
Long Rest History Matches
21
1.38
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.71
Competition & season17 signals
170
5
Matches
5
2.60
PPG
1.40
80.0%
Win rate
40.0%
20.0%
Draw rate
20.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
40.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
80.0%
80.0%
Over 3.5 rate
60.0%
2.14
Goal difference · Standard deviation
3.56
5
Current Competition Matches
5
2.60
Current Competition PPG
1.40
2.80
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
1.40
6
Competition Season Count
5
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.56
Portability PPG Std
0.63
1.20
Portability PPG Range
1.59
47.21
Portability Score
44.05
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
51
Clean History Matches
55
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO40.92
PPG0.00
GF-0.43
GA0.04
PPG1.20
PPG0.45
PPG1.20
PPG0.50
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-4
Clean-sheet rate0.0%
Failed-to-score rate7.0%
History Matches-3
Clean-sheet rate7.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.05
History Matches-4
Goals Mean-0.43
Goals Std-0.34
Scored 1+ rate-0.07
Scored 2+ rate-0.06
Scored 3+ rate-0.07
Venue Goals Mean0.55
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.20
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.56
History Matches-4
Conceded Mean0.04
Conceded Std-0.18
Clean-sheet rate0.0%
Conceded 2+ rate11.1%
Conceded 3+ rate0.00
Venue Conceded Mean-0.33
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.65
History Matches-4
Result entropy-0.03
Goal Difference Std-0.67
Stability score2.56
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.14
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.90
Eligible Matches-2
Lead Matches-3
Lead Win Rate18.3%
Lead Points Retention0.14
Trailing Matches3
Non-loss rate7.8%
Trailing Win Rate10.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-2
First Half Goals For Mean-0.21
First Half Goals Against Mean0.14
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.22
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.05
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG1.20
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean1.40
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.08
Portability PPG Range-0.39
Portability Score3.16
Rest days0.94
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match1.50
Normal Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.02
Long Rest History Matches-5
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.34
Current Team ELO40.92
Current Opponent ELO-40.92
Current ELO Difference81.85
Expected score0.12
History Matches-4
Residual Mean0.05
Overperformance3.44
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.18

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Wallern / Marienkirchen

D
Wallern / Marienkirchen0–0Grödig30 Oct · home
Pick: Wallern / Marienkirchen 50% · missed
W
SK Vorwarts Steyr2–3Wallern / Marienkirchen23 Oct · away
Pick: Wallern / Marienkirchen 51% · hit
L
Wallern / Marienkirchen1–2Leonfelden16 Oct · home
Pick: Wallern / Marienkirchen 75% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

LASK Juniors

D
Pinzgau Saalfelden3–3LASK Juniors30 Oct · away
Pick: LASK Juniors 56% · missed
W
LASK Juniors4–0Kuchl24 Oct · home
Pick: LASK Juniors 46% · hit
D
LASK Juniors0–0Wohnbau Dietach17 Oct · home
Pick: LASK Juniors 58% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Wallern / Marienkirchen and LASK Juniors meet in Regionalliga - North on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 15:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Wallern / Marienkirchen win 55.0%, draw 19.4%, LASK Juniors win 25.7%. The pick is Wallern / Marienkirchen win. Over 2.5 goals: 68.9%. Both teams to score: 59.9%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.