ScoreProb
2. liga Slovakia Round 16 2026

Zlaté Moravce vs Slovan Bratislava II

Zlaté Moravce Home · Elo 1,534
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Slovan Bratislava II Away · Elo 1,515
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Zlaté Moravce win
Zlaté Moravce winPick
48.9%
Draw
21.4%
Slovan Bratislava II win
29.7%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes64.5%
No35.5%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.564.6%
Under 2.535.4%

How much we know

Zlaté Moravce history68 matches
Slovan Bratislava II history55 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 7 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 16:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (48.9%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Zlaté Moravce are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,534 against 1,515. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Zlaté Moravce score more

    2.15 goals a game over 68 matches for Zlaté Moravce, against 1.53 over 55 for Slovan Bratislava II.

  • Defences are close

    Zlaté Moravce concede 1.47 a game, Slovan Bratislava II 1.56.

  • Zlaté Moravce games more often go over 2.5 goals

    69% of Zlaté Moravce matches, against 60% for Slovan Bratislava II. The model puts this match at 65% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Zlaté Moravce
Slovan Bratislava II
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1533.9
ELO
1515.1
68
ELO · Matches
55
1533.9
Current Team ELO
1515.1
1515.1
Current Opponent ELO
1533.9
18.83
Current ELO Difference
-18.83
0.53
Expected score
0.47
68
History Matches
55
0.01
Residual Mean
0.02
50.79
Overperformance
51.41
0.01
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.12
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.00
PPG
0.80
1.00
Goals for per game
1.60
1.20
Goals against per game
1.80
20.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.50
PPG
1.10
2.30
Goals for per game
2.00
1.30
Goals against per game
1.70
40.0%
Win rate
30.0%
2.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.00
2.33
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.48
1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.70
1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.00
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
2.57
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.90
Overall performance9 signals
90
68
Matches
55
1.54
PPG
1.35
44.1%
Win rate
34.5%
22.1%
Draw rate
30.9%
33.8%
Loss rate
34.5%
85.3%
Over 1.5 rate
83.6%
69.1%
Over 2.5 rate
60.0%
47.1%
Over 3.5 rate
38.2%
2.13
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.82
Venue performance10 signals
100
29
Matches
26
1.72
PPG
1.12
48.3%
Win rate
26.9%
27.6%
Draw rate
30.8%
24.1%
Loss rate
42.3%
82.8%
Over 1.5 rate
88.5%
65.5%
Over 2.5 rate
65.4%
41.4%
Over 3.5 rate
42.3%
1.49
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.95
29
History Matches
26
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.15
Goals for per game
1.53
89.7%
Scoring rate
81.8%
72.1%
BTTS rate
69.1%
1.97
Goals for per game
1.38
89.7%
Scoring rate
80.8%
69.0%
BTTS rate
69.2%
1.00
Goals for per game
1.60
80.0%
Scoring rate
80.0%
60.0%
BTTS rate
60.0%
68
History Matches
55
2.15
Goals Mean
1.53
1.68
Goals Std
1.14
89.7%
Scored 1+ rate
81.8%
57.4%
Scored 2+ rate
47.3%
30.9%
Scored 3+ rate
14.5%
1.97
Venue Goals Mean
1.38
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.47
Goals against per game
1.56
79.4%
Conceding rate
83.6%
1.31
Goals against per game
1.88
72.4%
Conceding rate
88.5%
1.20
Goals against per game
1.80
60.0%
Conceding rate
80.0%
68
History Matches
55
1.47
Conceded Mean
1.56
1.14
Conceded Std
1.29
41.2%
Conceded 2+ rate
43.6%
20.6%
Conceded 3+ rate
14.5%
1.31
Venue Conceded Mean
1.88
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
20.6%
Clean-sheet rate
16.4%
10.3%
Failed-to-score rate
18.2%
27.6%
Clean-sheet rate
11.5%
10.3%
Failed-to-score rate
19.2%
40.0%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
20.0%
20.6%
Clean-sheet rate
16.4%
10.3%
Failed-to-score rate
18.2%
27.6%
Clean-sheet rate
11.5%
10.3%
Failed-to-score rate
19.2%
20.6%
Clean-sheet rate
16.4%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
68
History Matches
55
0.97
Result entropy
1.00
2.13
Goal Difference Std
1.82
3.42
Stability score
0.12
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
68
Eligible Matches
54
25
Lead Matches
18
76.0%
Lead Win Rate
55.6%
0.83
Lead Points Retention
0.69
18
Trailing Matches
18
27.8%
Non-loss rate
33.3%
11.1%
Trailing Win Rate
5.6%
Goal timing5 signals
50
68
Halftime Coverage Matches
54
0.93
First Half Goals For Mean
0.74
0.72
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.70
1.22
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.78
0.75
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.87
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.06
Rest days
77.06
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
4
Short Rest History Matches
1
2.50
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.00
41
Normal Rest History Matches
31
1.39
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.23
22
Long Rest History Matches
22
1.73
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.45
Competition & season17 signals
170
5
Matches
5
1.00
PPG
0.80
20.0%
Win rate
20.0%
40.0%
Draw rate
20.0%
40.0%
Loss rate
60.0%
60.0%
Over 1.5 rate
80.0%
60.0%
Over 2.5 rate
80.0%
20.0%
Over 3.5 rate
40.0%
0.75
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.72
5
Current Competition Matches
5
1.00
Current Competition PPG
0.80
-0.20
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.20
9
Competition Season Count
5
7
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.44
Portability PPG Std
0.44
1.17
Portability PPG Range
1.20
53.41
Portability Score
52.97
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
68
Clean History Matches
55
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO18.83
PPG0.20
GF0.62
GA-0.09
PPG0.20
PPG0.61
PPG0.20
PPG0.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches13
Clean-sheet rate4.2%
Failed-to-score rate-0.08
History Matches3
Clean-sheet rate16.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.09
History Matches13
Goals Mean0.62
Goals Std0.54
Scored 1+ rate7.9%
Scored 2+ rate10.1%
Scored 3+ rate16.3%
Venue Goals Mean0.58
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.30
Recent 10 Goals Std0.84
History Matches13
Conceded Mean-0.09
Conceded Std-0.15
Clean-sheet rate4.2%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.02
Conceded 3+ rate6.0%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.57
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.40
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.00
History Matches13
Result entropy-0.03
Goal Difference Std0.31
Stability score3.29
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.05
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.67
Eligible Matches14
Lead Matches7
Lead Win Rate20.4%
Lead Points Retention0.14
Trailing Matches0
Non-loss rate-0.06
Trailing Win Rate5.6%
Halftime Coverage Matches14
First Half Goals For Mean0.19
First Half Goals Against Mean0.02
Second Half Goals For Mean0.44
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.12
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.20
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.00
Competition Season Count4
Eligible Competition Season Count3
Portability PPG Std-0.01
Portability PPG Range-0.03
Portability Score0.44
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches3
Short Rest Points Per Match1.50
Normal Rest History Matches10
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.16
Long Rest History Matches0
Long Rest Points Per Match0.27
Current Team ELO18.83
Current Opponent ELO-18.83
Current ELO Difference37.65
Expected score0.05
History Matches13
Residual Mean-0.01
Overperformance-0.62
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.13

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Zlaté Moravce

D
Zlaté Moravce0–0Šamorín31 Oct · home
Pick: Šamorín 47% · missed
L
Malženice3–0Zlaté Moravce25 Oct · away
Pick: Malženice 40% · hit
L
Humenné2–1Zlaté Moravce17 Oct · away
Pick: Zlaté Moravce 39% · missed
L
Zlaté Moravce1–3Pohronie12 Oct · home
Pick: Zlaté Moravce 43% · missed
L
Zlaté Moravce0–1Galanta29 Aug · home
Pick: Zlaté Moravce 55% · missed

Slovan Bratislava II

D
Pohronie1–1Slovan Bratislava II30 Oct · away
Pick: Pohronie 54% · missed
D
Slovan Bratislava II2–2Inter Bratislava25 Oct · home
Pick: Inter Bratislava 42% · missed
D
Petržalka1–1Slovan Bratislava II18 Oct · away
Pick: Petržalka 69% · missed
D
Slovan Bratislava II1–1Považská Bystrica30 Aug · home
Pick: Slovan Bratislava II 41% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Zlaté Moravce and Slovan Bratislava II meet in 2. liga on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 16:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Zlaté Moravce win 48.9%, draw 21.4%, Slovan Bratislava II win 29.7%. The pick is Zlaté Moravce win. Over 2.5 goals: 64.6%. Both teams to score: 64.5%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.