ScoreProb
Ettan - Norra Sweden Norra - 30 2026

AFC Eskilstuna vs Enköping

AFC Eskilstuna Home · Elo 1,571
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Enköping Away · Elo 1,487
Tunavallen, Eskilstuna Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: AFC Eskilstuna win
AFC Eskilstuna winPick
49.6%
Draw
22.5%
Enköping win
28.0%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes60.7%
No39.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.564.1%
Under 2.535.9%

How much we know

AFC Eskilstuna history59 matches
Enköping history60 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 5 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 14:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (49.6%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why AFC Eskilstuna are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • AFC Eskilstuna are rated 84 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,571 against 1,487. On rating alone AFC Eskilstuna would be expected to take 62% of the points on offer.

  • AFC Eskilstuna score more

    1.88 goals a game over 59 matches for AFC Eskilstuna, against 1.47 over 60 for Enköping.

  • Defences are close

    AFC Eskilstuna concede 1.80 a game, Enköping 1.70.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    68% of AFC Eskilstuna matches, against 63% for Enköping. The model puts this match at 64% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
AFC Eskilstuna
Enköping
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1571.4
ELO
1487.0
59
ELO · Matches
60
1571.4
Current Team ELO
1487.0
1487.0
Current Opponent ELO
1571.4
84.38
Current ELO Difference
-84.38
0.62
Expected score
0.38
59
History Matches
60
0.07
Residual Mean
-0.01
55.35
Overperformance
49.51
0.25
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.06
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.60
PPG
0.80
2.20
Goals for per game
0.80
0.80
Goals against per game
1.40
80.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
2.30
PPG
1.40
2.20
Goals for per game
1.20
1.10
Goals against per game
1.10
70.0%
Win rate
40.0%
2.20
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.20
1.08
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.98
1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.10
1.04
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.83
0.73
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.96
1.22
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.51
Overall performance9 signals
90
59
Matches
60
1.61
PPG
1.27
47.5%
Win rate
36.7%
18.6%
Draw rate
16.7%
33.9%
Loss rate
46.7%
89.8%
Over 1.5 rate
88.3%
67.8%
Over 2.5 rate
63.3%
44.1%
Over 3.5 rate
36.7%
1.80
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.86
Venue performance10 signals
100
33
Matches
29
1.82
PPG
1.10
54.5%
Win rate
31.0%
18.2%
Draw rate
17.2%
27.3%
Loss rate
51.7%
81.8%
Over 1.5 rate
86.2%
54.5%
Over 2.5 rate
55.2%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
24.1%
1.56
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.75
33
History Matches
29
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.88
Goals for per game
1.47
86.4%
Scoring rate
78.3%
67.8%
BTTS rate
63.3%
1.67
Goals for per game
1.21
78.8%
Scoring rate
69.0%
54.5%
BTTS rate
51.7%
1.72
Goals for per game
1.50
77.8%
Scoring rate
77.8%
50.0%
BTTS rate
61.1%
59
History Matches
60
1.88
Goals Mean
1.47
1.18
Goals Std
1.13
86.4%
Scored 1+ rate
78.3%
59.3%
Scored 2+ rate
45.0%
33.9%
Scored 3+ rate
18.3%
1.67
Venue Goals Mean
1.21
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.80
Goals against per game
1.70
79.7%
Conceding rate
78.3%
1.39
Goals against per game
1.59
72.7%
Conceding rate
72.4%
1.39
Goals against per game
1.56
66.7%
Conceding rate
77.8%
59
History Matches
60
1.80
Conceded Mean
1.70
1.56
Conceded Std
1.37
54.2%
Conceded 2+ rate
56.7%
23.7%
Conceded 3+ rate
20.0%
1.39
Venue Conceded Mean
1.59
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
20.3%
Clean-sheet rate
21.7%
13.6%
Failed-to-score rate
21.7%
27.3%
Clean-sheet rate
27.6%
21.2%
Failed-to-score rate
31.0%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
22.2%
22.2%
Failed-to-score rate
22.2%
20.3%
Clean-sheet rate
21.7%
13.6%
Failed-to-score rate
21.7%
27.3%
Clean-sheet rate
27.6%
21.2%
Failed-to-score rate
31.0%
20.3%
Clean-sheet rate
21.7%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
59
History Matches
60
0.94
Result entropy
0.93
1.80
Goal Difference Std
1.86
5.92
Stability score
6.96
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
55
Eligible Matches
58
18
Lead Matches
16
77.8%
Lead Win Rate
75.0%
0.81
Lead Points Retention
0.79
18
Trailing Matches
22
27.8%
Non-loss rate
13.6%
16.7%
Trailing Win Rate
4.5%
Goal timing5 signals
50
55
Halftime Coverage Matches
58
0.80
First Half Goals For Mean
0.57
0.89
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.74
1.00
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.90
0.95
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.95
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.13
Rest days
77.13
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
3
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.00
42
Normal Rest History Matches
35
1.57
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.37
16
Long Rest History Matches
21
1.63
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.14
Competition & season17 signals
170
18
Matches
18
1.72
PPG
1.61
50.0%
Win rate
50.0%
22.2%
Draw rate
11.1%
27.8%
Loss rate
38.9%
77.8%
Over 1.5 rate
83.3%
55.6%
Over 2.5 rate
61.1%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
27.8%
1.63
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.07
18
Current Competition Matches
18
1.72
Current Competition PPG
1.61
0.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.06
5
Competition Season Count
5
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.42
Portability PPG Std
0.33
1.02
Portability PPG Range
0.81
54.33
Portability Score
60.13
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
59
Clean History Matches
60
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO84.38
PPG0.34
GF0.41
GA0.10
PPG0.11
PPG0.71
PPG1.80
PPG0.90
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate-0.01
Failed-to-score rate-0.08
History Matches4
Clean-sheet rate0.00
Failed-to-score rate-0.10
History Matches-1
Goals Mean0.41
Goals Std0.05
Scored 1+ rate8.1%
Scored 2+ rate14.3%
Scored 3+ rate15.6%
Venue Goals Mean0.46
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.00
Recent 10 Goals Std0.10
History Matches-1
Conceded Mean0.10
Conceded Std0.19
Clean-sheet rate-0.01
Conceded 2+ rate-0.02
Conceded 3+ rate3.7%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.19
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.21
History Matches-1
Result entropy0.01
Goal Difference Std-0.06
Stability score-1.04
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.23
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.29
Eligible Matches-3
Lead Matches2
Lead Win Rate2.8%
Lead Points Retention0.02
Trailing Matches-4
Non-loss rate14.1%
Trailing Win Rate12.1%
Halftime Coverage Matches-3
First Half Goals For Mean0.23
First Half Goals Against Mean0.15
Second Half Goals For Mean0.10
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.00
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.11
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.39
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.09
Portability PPG Range0.21
Portability Score-5.80
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-3
Normal Rest History Matches7
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.20
Long Rest History Matches-5
Long Rest Points Per Match0.48
Current Team ELO84.38
Current Opponent ELO-84.38
Current ELO Difference168.8
Expected score0.24
History Matches-1
Residual Mean0.08
Overperformance5.83
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.19

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

AFC Eskilstuna

L
Arlanda3–1AFC Eskilstuna31 Oct · away
Pick: Arlanda 50% · hit
W
AFC Eskilstuna2–0Stocksund25 Oct · home
Pick: AFC Eskilstuna 60% · hit
W
Vasalund0–4AFC Eskilstuna18 Oct · away
Pick: Vasalund 41% · missed
W
AFC Eskilstuna2–1Sollentuna29 Aug · home
Pick: AFC Eskilstuna 57% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Enköping

D
Enköping1–1Järfälla1 Nov · home
Pick: Enköping 56% · missed
W
Enköping3–1Piteå25 Oct · home
Pick: Enköping 49% · hit
W
Stocksund1–3Enköping16 Oct · away
Pick: Enköping 43% · hit
L
Enköping0–3Stockholm Internazionale30 Aug · home
Pick: Stockholm Internazionale 56% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

AFC Eskilstuna and Enköping meet in Ettan - Norra on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 14:00 UTC. The match is played at Tunavallen, Eskilstuna. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: AFC Eskilstuna win 49.6%, draw 22.5%, Enköping win 28.0%. The pick is AFC Eskilstuna win. Over 2.5 goals: 64.1%. Both teams to score: 60.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.