Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar Germany Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar - 16 2026

Ahrweiler BC vs Eisbachtal

Ahrweiler BC Home · Elo 1,500

Fri 6 Nov

18:30

UTC

Not started

Eisbachtal Away · Elo 1,408

Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC

Match result probability Model pick: Ahrweiler BC win

Ahrweiler BC winPick

42.2%

Draw

24.4%

Eisbachtal win

33.4%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · not provided for this competition by our data source

Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR

Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source

Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes54.3%

No45.7%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.566.9%

Under 2.533.1%

How much we know

Ahrweiler BC history0 matches

Eisbachtal history55 matches

Signals used362

Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result

Over / under 2.5

Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 9 h ahead
31 Oct · 08:40 UTC
Re-published 15 more timesThe numbers did not change
Latest 4 Nov · 06:57 UTC
Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.
≈ 17:30 UTC
KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
6 Nov · 18:30 UTC
Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record

How often the top pick won What the model said on average

33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635

40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162

50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719

60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851

70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583

80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162

This pick sits in the 40–49% band (42.2%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Ahrweiler BC are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

Ahrweiler BC are rated 92 Elo points higher
Elo 1,500 against 1,408. On rating alone Ahrweiler BC would be expected to take 63% of the points on offer.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.

Ahrweiler BC

Eisbachtal

ELO & ratings10 signals

100

1500.0

ELO

1407.5

ELO · Matches

1500.0

Current Team ELO

1407.5

Current Opponent ELO

1500.0

92.46

Current ELO Difference

-92.46

0.63

Expected score

0.37

History Matches

—

Residual Mean

-0.08

—

Overperformance

44.10

—

Recent 10 Residual Mean

-0.25

Recent form16 signals

160

Matches

—

PPG

0.00

—

Goals for per game

0.20

—

Goals against per game

4.60

—

Win rate

0.0%

Matches

—

PPG

0.30

—

Goals for per game

0.70

—

Goals against per game

3.50

—

Win rate

10.0%

—

Recent 10 Goals Mean

0.70

—

Recent 10 Goals Std

0.90

—

Recent 10 Conceded Mean

3.50

—

Recent 10 Conceded Std

2.42

—

Recent 10 Result Entropy

0.30

—

Recent 10 Goal Difference Std

2.96

Overall performance9 signals

Matches

—

PPG

0.93

—

Win rate

23.6%

—

Draw rate

21.8%

—

Loss rate

54.5%

—

Over 1.5 rate

90.9%

—

Over 2.5 rate

80.0%

—

Over 3.5 rate

58.2%

—

Goal difference · Standard deviation

2.59

Venue performance10 signals

100

Matches

—

PPG

0.78

—

Win rate

18.5%

—

Draw rate

22.2%

—

Loss rate

59.3%

—

Over 1.5 rate

88.9%

—

Over 2.5 rate

77.8%

—

Over 3.5 rate

55.6%

—

Goal difference · Standard deviation

1.82

History Matches

Scoring & attack16 signals

160

—

Goals for per game

1.78

—

Scoring rate

80.0%

—

BTTS rate

69.1%

—

Goals for per game

1.56

—

Scoring rate

74.1%

—

BTTS rate

70.4%

—

Goals for per game

0.25

—

Scoring rate

25.0%

—

BTTS rate

25.0%

History Matches

—

Goals Mean

1.78

—

Goals Std

1.50

—

Scored 1+ rate

80.0%

—

Scored 2+ rate

49.1%

—

Scored 3+ rate

29.1%

—

Venue Goals Mean

1.56

Defense & conceding12 signals

120

—

Goals against per game

2.45

—

Conceding rate

87.3%

—

Goals against per game

2.48

—

Conceding rate

92.6%

—

Goals against per game

3.25

—

Conceding rate

100.0%

History Matches

—

Conceded Mean

2.45

—

Conceded Std

1.89

—

Conceded 2+ rate

69.1%

—

Conceded 3+ rate

40.0%

—

Venue Conceded Mean

2.48

Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals

110

—

Clean-sheet rate

12.7%

—

Failed-to-score rate

20.0%

—

Clean-sheet rate

7.4%

—

Failed-to-score rate

25.9%

—

Clean-sheet rate

0.0%

—

Failed-to-score rate

75.0%

—

Clean-sheet rate

12.7%

—

Failed-to-score rate

20.0%

—

Clean-sheet rate

7.4%

—

Failed-to-score rate

25.9%

—

Clean-sheet rate

12.7%

Volatility & stability4 signals

History Matches

—

Result entropy

0.91

—

Goal Difference Std

2.59

—

Stability score

8.64

Halftime resilience7 signals

Eligible Matches

Lead Matches

—

Lead Win Rate

57.1%

—

Lead Points Retention

0.64

Trailing Matches

—

Non-loss rate

14.3%

—

Trailing Win Rate

9.5%

Goal timing5 signals

Halftime Coverage Matches

—

First Half Goals For Mean

0.84

—

First Half Goals Against Mean

1.09

—

Second Half Goals For Mean

0.95

—

Second Half Goals Against Mean

1.36

Rest & schedule9 signals

—

Rest days

76.19

Matches Previous 7 Days

Matches Previous 14 Days

Short Rest History Matches

—

Short Rest Points Per Match

0.00

Normal Rest History Matches

—

Normal Rest Points Per Match

1.00

Long Rest History Matches

—

Long Rest Points Per Match

1.00

Competition & season17 signals

170

Matches

—

PPG

0.00

—

Win rate

0.0%

—

Draw rate

0.0%

—

Loss rate

100.0%

—

Over 1.5 rate

100.0%

—

Over 2.5 rate

75.0%

—

Over 3.5 rate

50.0%

—

Goal difference · Standard deviation

1.22

Current Competition Matches

—

Current Competition PPG

0.00

—

Current Competition Goal Difference Mean

-3.00

Competition Season Count

Eligible Competition Season Count

—

Portability PPG Std

0.48

—

Portability PPG Range

1.09

—

Portability Score

50.99

Odds & market11 signals

110

No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.

Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score

Available

Matches

Sample & availability1 signal

Clean History Matches

Matchup differences86 signals

086

No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.

PPGGFGAPPGPPGPPGPPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateGoals MeanGoals StdScored 1+ rateScored 2+ rateScored 3+ rateVenue Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals StdConceded MeanConceded StdClean-sheet rateConceded 2+ rateConceded 3+ rateVenue Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded StdResult entropyGoal Difference StdStability scoreRecent 10 Result EntropyRecent 10 Goal Difference StdLead Win RateLead Points RetentionNon-loss rateTrailing Win RateFirst Half Goals For MeanFirst Half Goals Against MeanSecond Half Goals For MeanSecond Half Goals Against MeanCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreRest daysShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per MatchResidual MeanOverperformanceRecent 10 Residual Mean

ELO92.46

AvailableNo

Matches0

Clean History Matches-55

History Matches-27

History Matches-55

Eligible Matches-55

Lead Matches-14

Trailing Matches-21

Halftime Coverage Matches-55

Current Competition Matches-4

Competition Season Count-4

Eligible Competition Season Count-3

Matches Previous 7 Days0

Matches Previous 14 Days0

Short Rest History Matches-4

Normal Rest History Matches-27

Long Rest History Matches-23

Current Team ELO92.46

Current Opponent ELO-92.46

Current ELO Difference184.9

Expected score0.26

History Matches-55

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Ahrweiler BC

No earlier results with our pick yet

Eisbachtal

Eisbachtal0–3Mechtersheim24 Oct · home

Pick: Mechtersheim 55% · hit

Wormatia Worms7–0Eisbachtal17 Oct · away

Pick: Wormatia Worms 69% · hit

Pirmasens3–0Eisbachtal29 Aug · away

Pick: Pirmasens 84% · hit

Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Ahrweiler BC and Eisbachtal meet in Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar on Friday 6 November 2026, kickoff 18:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC: Ahrweiler BC win 42.2%, draw 24.4%, Eisbachtal win 33.4%. The pick is Ahrweiler BC win. Over 2.5 goals: 66.9%. Both teams to score: 54.3%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.

Ahrweiler BC vs Eisbachtal

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Both teams to score

Total goals · 2.5

How much we know

Your call

Life of this match

How reliable are picks like this?

Why Ahrweiler BC are the pick

Ahrweiler BC are rated 92 Elo points higher

Compare the two teams

Latest results, with our pick

Ahrweiler BC

Eisbachtal

Next in Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar

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About this match