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Division 2 Saudi Arabia Round 7 2026

Al Entesar vs Al-Washm

Al Entesar Home · Elo 1,476
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
Al-Washm Away · Elo 1,524
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Al-Washm win
Al Entesar win
32.5%
Draw
29.2%
Al-Washm winPick
38.4%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes56.5%
No43.5%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.558.3%
Under 2.541.7%

How much we know

Al Entesar history13 matches
Al-Washm history13 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 12:40 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (38.4%). Picks in that band won 39.9% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,949 matches.

Why Al-Washm are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Al-Washm are rated 48 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,524 against 1,476. On rating alone Al-Washm would be expected to take 57% of the points on offer.

  • Al-Washm score far more

    1.23 goals a game over 13 matches for Al Entesar, against 2.23 over 13 for Al-Washm.

  • Defences are close

    Al Entesar concede 1.62 a game, Al-Washm 1.46.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    62% of Al Entesar matches, against 62% for Al-Washm. The model puts this match at 58% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 11 Apr 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Al Entesar
Al-Washm@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1475.7
ELO
1523.9
13
ELO · Matches
13
1475.7
Current Team ELO
1523.9
1523.9
Current Opponent ELO
1475.7
-48.26
Current ELO Difference
48.26
0.43
Expected score
0.57
13
History Matches
13
-0.10
Residual Mean
0.08
46.06
Overperformance
53.29
-0.08
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.06
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
2.00
1.80
Goals for per game
2.80
1.40
Goals against per game
1.40
40.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
1.10
PPG
1.70
1.30
Goals for per game
2.20
1.60
Goals against per game
1.30
30.0%
Win rate
50.0%
1.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.20
1.00
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.60
1.60
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.30
0.92
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.27
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
1.62
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.26
Overall performance9 signals
90
13
Matches
13
1.00
PPG
1.69
23.1%
Win rate
46.2%
30.8%
Draw rate
30.8%
46.2%
Loss rate
23.1%
84.6%
Over 1.5 rate
84.6%
61.5%
Over 2.5 rate
61.5%
23.1%
Over 3.5 rate
61.5%
1.50
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.01
Venue performance10 signals
100
6
Matches
7
1.50
PPG
0.86
33.3%
Win rate
14.3%
50.0%
Draw rate
42.9%
16.7%
Loss rate
42.9%
66.7%
Over 1.5 rate
85.7%
33.3%
Over 2.5 rate
42.9%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
42.9%
0.69
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.29
6
History Matches
7
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.23
Goals for per game
2.23
84.6%
Scoring rate
84.6%
76.9%
BTTS rate
61.5%
1.00
Goals for per game
1.29
83.3%
Scoring rate
71.4%
66.7%
BTTS rate
71.4%
13
History Matches
13
1.23
Goals Mean
2.23
0.97
Goals Std
1.53
84.6%
Scored 1+ rate
84.6%
23.1%
Scored 2+ rate
61.5%
7.7%
Scored 3+ rate
46.2%
1.00
Venue Goals Mean
1.29
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.62
Goals against per game
1.46
84.6%
Conceding rate
76.9%
0.83
Goals against per game
1.71
66.7%
Conceding rate
100.0%
13
History Matches
13
1.62
Conceded Mean
1.46
1.15
Conceded Std
1.22
46.2%
Conceded 2+ rate
38.5%
23.1%
Conceded 3+ rate
23.1%
0.83
Venue Conceded Mean
1.71
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
15.4%
Clean-sheet rate
23.1%
15.4%
Failed-to-score rate
15.4%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
16.7%
Failed-to-score rate
28.6%
15.4%
Clean-sheet rate
23.1%
15.4%
Failed-to-score rate
15.4%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
16.7%
Failed-to-score rate
28.6%
15.4%
Clean-sheet rate
23.1%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
13
History Matches
13
0.96
Result entropy
0.96
1.50
Goal Difference Std
2.01
3.71
Stability score
3.71
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
10
Eligible Matches
10
2
Lead Matches
3
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
66.7%
1.00
Lead Points Retention
0.78
4
Trailing Matches
2
25.0%
Non-loss rate
50.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
50.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
10
Halftime Coverage Matches
10
0.70
First Half Goals For Mean
0.80
0.90
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.50
0.60
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.40
0.70
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.80
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
218.0
Rest days
218.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
8
Normal Rest History Matches
8
1.13
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.38
4
Long Rest History Matches
4
1.00
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.50
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
1
Competition Season Count
1
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
13
Clean History Matches
13
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-48.26
PPG-0.69
GF-1.00
GA0.15
PPG0.64
PPG-0.60
PPG-0.60
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate-0.08
Failed-to-score rate0.0%
History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate33.3%
Failed-to-score rate-0.12
History Matches0
Goals Mean-1.00
Goals Std-0.55
Scored 1+ rate0.0%
Scored 2+ rate-0.38
Scored 3+ rate-0.38
Venue Goals Mean-0.29
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.90
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.60
History Matches0
Conceded Mean0.15
Conceded Std-0.07
Clean-sheet rate-0.08
Conceded 2+ rate7.7%
Conceded 3+ rate0.0%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.88
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.35
History Matches0
Result entropy0.00
Goal Difference Std-0.51
Stability score0.00
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.64
Eligible Matches0
Lead Matches-1
Lead Win Rate33.3%
Lead Points Retention0.22
Trailing Matches2
Non-loss rate-0.25
Trailing Win Rate-0.50
Halftime Coverage Matches0
First Half Goals For Mean-0.10
First Half Goals Against Mean0.40
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.80
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.10
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.25
Long Rest History Matches0
Long Rest Points Per Match-1.50
Current Team ELO-48.26
Current Opponent ELO48.26
Current ELO Difference-96.52
Expected score-0.14
History Matches0
Residual Mean-0.18
Overperformance-7.23
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.14

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Al Entesar

L
Al Entesar1–2Al Rawdhah3 Nov · home
Pick: Al Entesar 40% · missed
D
Al Hada2–2Al Entesar29 Oct · away
Pick: Al Entesar 38% · missed
D
Al Arabi SC0–0Al Entesar24 Oct · away
Pick: Al Arabi SC 50% · missed
W
Al Entesar2–1Al Najoom17 Oct · home
Pick: Al Entesar 37% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Al-Washm

D
Al-Washm2–2Al Hada3 Nov · home
Pick: Al-Washm 58% · missed
W
Al Shoalah3–4Al-Washm29 Oct · away
Pick: Al-Washm 41% · hit
L
Al-Washm0–2Al Rawdhah17 Oct · home
Pick: Al-Washm 53% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Al Entesar and Al-Washm meet in Division 2 on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 12:40 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Al Entesar win 32.5%, draw 29.2%, Al-Washm win 38.4%. The pick is Al-Washm win. Over 2.5 goals: 58.3%. Both teams to score: 56.5%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.