ScoreProb
Pro League United Arab Emirates Round 8 2026

Al Wahda FC vs Al Ain

Al Wahda FC Home · Elo 1,541
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Al Ain Away · Elo 1,694
Al Nahyan Stadium, Abu Dhabi Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Al Ain win
Al Wahda FC win
20.8%
Draw
22.4%
Al Ain winPick
56.8%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · shots, possession, corners, side by side
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes52.0%
No48.0%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.557.5%
Under 2.542.5%

How much we know

Al Wahda FC history58 matches
Al Ain history63 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 6 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 15:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (56.8%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Al Ain are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Al Ain are rated 153 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,694 against 1,541. On rating alone Al Ain would be expected to take 71% of the points on offer.

  • Al Ain score more

    1.59 goals a game over 58 matches for Al Wahda FC, against 1.92 over 63 for Al Ain.

  • Defences are close

    Al Wahda FC concede 1.03 a game, Al Ain 0.95.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    50% of Al Wahda FC matches, against 54% for Al Ain. The model puts this match at 57% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Al Wahda FC
Al Ain@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1541.3
ELO
1693.8
58
ELO · Matches
63
1541.3
Current Team ELO
1693.8
1693.8
Current Opponent ELO
1541.3
-152.6
Current ELO Difference
152.6
0.29
Expected score
0.71
58
History Matches
63
0.03
Residual Mean
0.13
52.21
Overperformance
60.11
-0.21
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.17
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.40
PPG
2.60
1.00
Goals for per game
2.80
1.60
Goals against per game
1.00
0.0%
Win rate
80.0%
10
Matches
10
0.80
PPG
2.60
1.10
Goals for per game
3.00
1.30
Goals against per game
0.50
10.0%
Win rate
80.0%
1.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean
3.00
0.94
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.55
1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.50
1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.81
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.46
0.87
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.69
Overall performance9 signals
90
58
Matches
63
1.62
PPG
2.03
41.4%
Win rate
60.3%
37.9%
Draw rate
22.2%
20.7%
Loss rate
17.5%
69.0%
Over 1.5 rate
77.8%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
54.0%
34.5%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
1.23
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.10
Venue performance10 signals
100
28
Matches
38
1.75
PPG
2.16
46.4%
Win rate
65.8%
35.7%
Draw rate
18.4%
17.9%
Loss rate
15.8%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
76.3%
60.7%
Over 2.5 rate
60.5%
42.9%
Over 3.5 rate
36.8%
1.23
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.12
28
History Matches
38
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.59
Goals for per game
1.92
77.6%
Scoring rate
79.4%
55.2%
BTTS rate
39.7%
1.79
Goals for per game
2.08
85.7%
Scoring rate
81.6%
64.3%
BTTS rate
39.5%
1.00
Goals for per game
3.00
50.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
58
History Matches
63
1.59
Goals Mean
1.92
1.17
Goals Std
1.49
77.6%
Scored 1+ rate
79.4%
53.4%
Scored 2+ rate
58.7%
22.4%
Scored 3+ rate
33.3%
1.79
Venue Goals Mean
2.08
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.03
Goals against per game
0.95
67.2%
Conceding rate
52.4%
1.14
Goals against per game
1.00
71.4%
Conceding rate
50.0%
2.00
Goals against per game
1.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
50.0%
58
History Matches
63
1.03
Conceded Mean
0.95
0.93
Conceded Std
1.21
29.3%
Conceded 2+ rate
28.6%
5.2%
Conceded 3+ rate
6.3%
1.14
Venue Conceded Mean
1.00
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
32.8%
Clean-sheet rate
47.6%
22.4%
Failed-to-score rate
20.6%
28.6%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
14.3%
Failed-to-score rate
18.4%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
32.8%
Clean-sheet rate
47.6%
22.4%
Failed-to-score rate
20.6%
28.6%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
14.3%
Failed-to-score rate
18.4%
32.8%
Clean-sheet rate
47.6%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
58
History Matches
63
0.96
Result entropy
0.86
1.23
Goal Difference Std
2.10
3.62
Stability score
14.08
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
57
Eligible Matches
63
18
Lead Matches
26
72.2%
Lead Win Rate
88.5%
0.80
Lead Points Retention
0.90
11
Trailing Matches
10
72.7%
Non-loss rate
50.0%
45.5%
Trailing Win Rate
20.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
57
Halftime Coverage Matches
63
0.77
First Half Goals For Mean
0.86
0.49
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.44
0.81
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.06
0.53
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.51
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
78.95
Rest days
77.95
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
1
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.00
36
Normal Rest History Matches
37
1.69
Normal Rest Points Per Match
2.16
21
Long Rest History Matches
24
1.57
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.96
Competition & season17 signals
170
2
Matches
2
0.00
PPG
3.00
0.0%
Win rate
100.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
50.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
0.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.00
2
Current Competition Matches
2
0.00
Current Competition PPG
3.00
-1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
2.00
8
Competition Season Count
10
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
6
0.21
Portability PPG Std
0.64
0.54
Portability PPG Range
1.60
70.08
Portability Score
43.95
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
58
Clean History Matches
63
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-152.6
PPG-0.41
GF-0.33
GA0.08
PPG-3.00
PPG-0.41
PPG-2.20
PPG-1.80
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-5
Clean-sheet rate-0.15
Failed-to-score rate1.8%
History Matches-10
Clean-sheet rate-0.21
Failed-to-score rate-0.04
History Matches-5
Goals Mean-0.33
Goals Std-0.32
Scored 1+ rate-0.02
Scored 2+ rate-0.05
Scored 3+ rate-0.11
Venue Goals Mean-0.29
Recent 10 Goals Mean-1.90
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.61
History Matches-5
Conceded Mean0.08
Conceded Std-0.29
Clean-sheet rate-0.15
Conceded 2+ rate0.7%
Conceded 3+ rate-0.01
Venue Conceded Mean0.14
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.80
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.29
History Matches-5
Result entropy0.10
Goal Difference Std-0.87
Stability score-10.46
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.40
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.82
Eligible Matches-6
Lead Matches-8
Lead Win Rate-0.16
Lead Points Retention-0.10
Trailing Matches1
Non-loss rate22.7%
Trailing Win Rate25.5%
Halftime Coverage Matches-6
First Half Goals For Mean-0.09
First Half Goals Against Mean0.05
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.26
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.02
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-3.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-3.00
Competition Season Count-2
Eligible Competition Season Count-2
Portability PPG Std-0.42
Portability PPG Range-1.06
Portability Score26.14
Rest days1.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.47
Long Rest History Matches-3
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.39
Current Team ELO-152.6
Current Opponent ELO152.6
Current ELO Difference-305.2
Expected score-0.41
History Matches-5
Residual Mean-0.10
Overperformance-7.90
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.39

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Al Wahda FC

W
Khalidiya1–2Al Wahda FC28 Oct · away
Pick: Khalidiya 48% · missed
W
Al Fujairah SC0–1Al Wahda FC23 Oct · away
Pick: Al Wahda FC 45% · hit
W
Khorfakkan2–3Al Wahda FC18 Oct · away
Pick: Al Wahda FC 48% · hit
W
Nasaf1–2Al Wahda FC14 Oct · away
Pick: Nasaf 47% · missed
W
Al Wahda FC2–1Baniyas SC30 Aug · home
Pick: Al Wahda FC 55% · hit

Al Ain

W
Al-Ittihad FC1–4Al Ain2 Nov · away
Pick: Al-Ittihad FC 44% · missed
W
Al Ain2–1Tractor Sazi26 Oct · home
Pick: Al Ain 55% · hit
L
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai2–0Al Ain17 Oct · away
Pick: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 49% · hit
W
Al Quwa Al Jawiya1–4Al Ain12 Oct · away
Pick: Al Ain 40% · hit
D
Al Ain2–2Al-Ittihad Kalba8 Oct · home
Pick: Al Ain 70% · missed

About this match

Al Wahda FC and Al Ain meet in Pro League on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 15:30 UTC. The match is played at Al Nahyan Stadium, Abu Dhabi. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Al Wahda FC win 20.8%, draw 22.4%, Al Ain win 56.8%. The pick is Al Ain win. Over 2.5 goals: 57.5%. Both teams to score: 52.0%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.