ScoreProb
U19 league Türkiye Round 11 2026

Alanyaspor U19 vs Trabzonspor U19

Alanyaspor U19 Home · Elo 1,488
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Trabzonspor U19 Away · Elo 1,512
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Trabzonspor U19 win
Alanyaspor U19 win
17.3%
Draw
27.2%
Trabzonspor U19 winPick
55.5%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes41.4%
No58.6%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.554.4%
Under 2.545.6%

How much we know

Alanyaspor U19 history1 match
Trabzonspor U19 history8 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 2 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 11:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,274 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,668
40–49% Won 45.5% · said 44.8% · n 6,228
50–59% Won 55.7% · said 54.4% · n 3,755
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,872
70–79% Won 76.3% · said 73.9% · n 587
80%+ Won 83.5% · said 84.5% · n 164
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (55.5%). Picks in that band won 55.7% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,755 matches.

Why Trabzonspor U19 are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,488 against 1,512. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Trabzonspor U19 score far more

    0.00 goals a game over 1 matches for Alanyaspor U19, against 1.50 over 8 for Trabzonspor U19.

  • Trabzonspor U19 concede fewer

    Alanyaspor U19 concede 2.00 a game, Trabzonspor U19 1.00.

  • Trabzonspor U19 games more often go over 2.5 goals

    0% of Alanyaspor U19 matches, against 50% for Trabzonspor U19. The model puts this match at 54% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Alanyaspor U19
Trabzonspor U19@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1488.4
ELO
1512.2
1
ELO · Matches
8
1488.4
Current Team ELO
1512.2
1512.2
Current Opponent ELO
1488.4
-23.87
Current ELO Difference
23.87
0.47
Expected score
0.53
1
History Matches
8
-0.49
Residual Mean
0.12
47.67
Overperformance
53.51
-0.49
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.12
Recent form16 signals
160
1
Matches
5
0.00
PPG
1.40
0.00
Goals for per game
2.00
2.00
Goals against per game
1.60
0.0%
Win rate
40.0%
1
Matches
8
0.00
PPG
1.75
0.00
Goals for per game
1.50
2.00
Goals against per game
1.00
0.0%
Win rate
50.0%
0.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.50
—
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.50
2.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.00
—
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.32
0.00
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.95
—
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.12
Overall performance9 signals
90
1
Matches
8
0.00
PPG
1.75
0.0%
Win rate
50.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
25.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
25.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
0.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
37.5%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.12
Venue performance10 signals
100
1
Matches
2
0.00
PPG
2.00
0.0%
Win rate
50.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
50.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
0.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.50
1
History Matches
2
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
0.00
Goals for per game
1.50
0.0%
Scoring rate
75.0%
0.0%
BTTS rate
37.5%
0.00
Goals for per game
2.00
0.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
0.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
0.00
Goals for per game
5.00
0.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
0.0%
BTTS rate
0.0%
1
History Matches
8
0.00
Goals Mean
1.50
—
Goals Std
1.50
0.0%
Scored 1+ rate
75.0%
0.0%
Scored 2+ rate
37.5%
0.0%
Scored 3+ rate
12.5%
0.00
Venue Goals Mean
2.00
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
2.00
Goals against per game
1.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
50.0%
2.00
Goals against per game
1.50
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
2.00
Goals against per game
0.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
0.0%
1
History Matches
8
2.00
Conceded Mean
1.00
—
Conceded Std
1.32
100.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
25.0%
0.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
12.5%
2.00
Venue Conceded Mean
1.50
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
100.0%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
100.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
100.0%
100.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
100.0%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
100.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
1
History Matches
8
0.00
Result entropy
0.95
—
Goal Difference Std
2.12
100.0
Stability score
5.36
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
1
Eligible Matches
8
0
Lead Matches
1
—
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
—
Lead Points Retention
1.00
1
Trailing Matches
1
0.0%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
1
Halftime Coverage Matches
8
0.00
First Half Goals For Mean
0.63
1.00
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.38
0.00
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.88
1.00
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.63
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
76.90
Rest days
77.02
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
0
Normal Rest History Matches
1
—
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.00
0
Long Rest History Matches
6
—
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.83
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal difference · Standard deviationPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
1
Matches
1
0.00
PPG
3.00
0.0%
Win rate
100.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
0.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
1
Current Competition Matches
1
0.00
Current Competition PPG
3.00
-2.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
5.00
1
Competition Season Count
3
0
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
1
Clean History Matches
8
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreGoals StdRecent 10 Goals StdConceded StdRecent 10 Conceded StdGoal Difference StdRecent 10 Goal Difference StdLead Win RateLead Points RetentionPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per Match
ELO-23.87
PPG-1.75
GF-1.50
GA1.00
PPG-3.00
PPG-2.00
PPG-1.40
PPG-1.75
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-7
Clean-sheet rate-0.50
Failed-to-score rate75.0%
History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate0.0%
Failed-to-score rate100.0%
History Matches-7
Goals Mean-1.50
Scored 1+ rate-0.75
Scored 2+ rate-0.38
Scored 3+ rate-0.13
Venue Goals Mean-2.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean-1.50
History Matches-7
Conceded Mean1.00
Clean-sheet rate-0.50
Conceded 2+ rate75.0%
Conceded 3+ rate-0.13
Venue Conceded Mean0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.00
History Matches-7
Result entropy-0.95
Stability score94.64
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.95
Eligible Matches-7
Lead Matches-1
Trailing Matches0
Non-loss rate0.0%
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-7
First Half Goals For Mean-0.63
First Half Goals Against Mean0.63
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.88
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.38
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-3.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-7.00
Competition Season Count-2
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Rest days-0.13
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches-1
Long Rest History Matches-6
Current Team ELO-23.87
Current Opponent ELO23.87
Current ELO Difference-47.74
Expected score-0.07
History Matches-7
Residual Mean-0.61
Overperformance-5.83
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.61

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Alanyaspor U19

L
Genclerbirligi U196–1Alanyaspor U192 Nov · away
Pick: Genclerbirligi U19 73% · hit
L
Alanyaspor U191–5Kocaelispor U1925 Oct · home
Pick: Kocaelispor U19 45% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Trabzonspor U19

No earlier results with our pick yet

About this match

Alanyaspor U19 and Trabzonspor U19 meet in U19 league on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 11:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Alanyaspor U19 win 17.3%, draw 27.2%, Trabzonspor U19 win 55.5%. The pick is Trabzonspor U19 win. Over 2.5 goals: 54.4%. Both teams to score: 41.4%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.