ScoreProb
U19 league Türkiye Round 11 2026

Beşiktaş U19 vs Genclerbirligi U19

Beşiktaş U19 Home · Elo 1,520
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Genclerbirligi U19 Away · Elo 1,512
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Beşiktaş U19 win
Beşiktaş U19 winPick
38.9%
Draw
34.9%
Genclerbirligi U19 win
26.2%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes48.8%
No51.2%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.548.2%
Under 2.551.8%

How much we know

Beşiktaş U19 history2 matches
Genclerbirligi U19 history1 match
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (38.9%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.

Why Beşiktaş U19 are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,520 against 1,512. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Beşiktaş U19 score more

    3.00 goals a game over 2 matches for Beşiktaş U19, against 2.00 over 1 for Genclerbirligi U19.

  • Genclerbirligi U19 concede fewer

    Beşiktaş U19 concede 1.00 a game, Genclerbirligi U19 0.00.

  • Beşiktaş U19 games more often go over 2.5 goals

    50% of Beşiktaş U19 matches, against 0% for Genclerbirligi U19. The model puts this match at 48% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Beşiktaş U19
Genclerbirligi U19@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1519.8
ELO
1511.6
2
ELO · Matches
1
1519.8
Current Team ELO
1511.6
1511.6
Current Opponent ELO
1519.8
8.15
Current ELO Difference
-8.15
0.51
Expected score
0.49
2
History Matches
1
0.49
Residual Mean
0.49
54.49
Overperformance
52.33
0.49
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.49
Recent form16 signals
160
2
Matches
1
3.00
PPG
3.00
3.00
Goals for per game
2.00
1.00
Goals against per game
0.00
100.0%
Win rate
100.0%
2
Matches
1
3.00
PPG
3.00
3.00
Goals for per game
2.00
1.00
Goals against per game
0.00
100.0%
Win rate
100.0%
3.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.00
1.00
Recent 10 Goals Std
—
1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.00
1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std
—
0.00
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.00
0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
—
Overall performance9 signals
90
2
Matches
1
3.00
PPG
3.00
100.0%
Win rate
100.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
0.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
0.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
—
Venue performance10 signals
100
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1
Matches
1
3.00
PPG
3.00
100.0%
Win rate
100.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
1
History Matches
1
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
3.00
Goals for per game
2.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
0.0%
4.00
Goals for per game
2.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
0.0%
3.00
Goals for per game
2.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
0.0%
2
History Matches
1
3.00
Goals Mean
2.00
1.00
Goals Std
—
100.0%
Scored 1+ rate
100.0%
100.0%
Scored 2+ rate
100.0%
50.0%
Scored 3+ rate
0.0%
4.00
Venue Goals Mean
2.00
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.00
Goals against per game
0.00
50.0%
Conceding rate
0.0%
2.00
Goals against per game
0.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
0.0%
1.00
Goals against per game
0.00
50.0%
Conceding rate
0.0%
2
History Matches
1
1.00
Conceded Mean
0.00
1.00
Conceded Std
—
50.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
0.0%
0.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
0.0%
2.00
Venue Conceded Mean
0.00
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
100.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
100.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
100.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
100.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
100.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
100.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
2
History Matches
1
0.00
Result entropy
0.00
0.00
Goal Difference Std
—
100.0
Stability score
100.0
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Non-loss rateTrailing Win Rate
2
Eligible Matches
1
2
Lead Matches
1
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
1.00
Lead Points Retention
1.00
0
Trailing Matches
0
Goal timing5 signals
50
2
Halftime Coverage Matches
1
2.50
First Half Goals For Mean
2.00
0.50
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.00
0.50
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.00
0.50
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.00
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per Match
76.96
Rest days
76.96
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
0
Normal Rest History Matches
0
1
Long Rest History Matches
0
3.00
Long Rest Points Per Match
—
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Portability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
2
Matches
1
3.00
PPG
3.00
100.0%
Win rate
100.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
0.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
0.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
—
2
Current Competition Matches
1
3.00
Current Competition PPG
3.00
2.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
2.00
1
Competition Season Count
1
0
Eligible Competition Season Count
0
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
2
Clean History Matches
1
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreGoals StdRecent 10 Goals StdConceded StdRecent 10 Conceded StdGoal Difference StdRecent 10 Goal Difference StdNon-loss rateTrailing Win RatePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per Match
ELO8.15
PPG0.00
GF1.00
GA1.00
PPG0.00
PPG0.00
PPG0.00
PPG0.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate-0.50
Failed-to-score rate0.0%
History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate-1.00
Failed-to-score rate0.0%
History Matches1
Goals Mean1.00
Scored 1+ rate0.0%
Scored 2+ rate0.0%
Scored 3+ rate50.0%
Venue Goals Mean2.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.00
History Matches1
Conceded Mean1.00
Clean-sheet rate-0.50
Conceded 2+ rate50.0%
Conceded 3+ rate0.0%
Venue Conceded Mean2.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.00
History Matches1
Result entropy0.00
Stability score0.00
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Eligible Matches1
Lead Matches1
Lead Win Rate0.0%
Lead Points Retention0.00
Trailing Matches0
Halftime Coverage Matches1
First Half Goals For Mean0.50
First Half Goals Against Mean0.50
Second Half Goals For Mean0.50
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.50
Current Competition Matches1
Current Competition PPG0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.00
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches0
Long Rest History Matches1
Current Team ELO8.15
Current Opponent ELO-8.15
Current ELO Difference16.30
Expected score0.02
History Matches1
Residual Mean0.01
Overperformance2.17
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.01

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Beşiktaş U19

No earlier results with our pick yet

Genclerbirligi U19

W
Genclerbirligi U196–1Alanyaspor U192 Nov · home
Pick: Genclerbirligi U19 73% · hit
W
Konyaspor U190–1Genclerbirligi U1925 Oct · away
Pick: Genclerbirligi U19 45% · hit
W
Genclerbirligi U193–2Erzurumspor U1930 Aug · home
Pick: Genclerbirligi U19 67% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Beşiktaş U19 and Genclerbirligi U19 meet in U19 league on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Beşiktaş U19 win 38.9%, draw 34.9%, Genclerbirligi U19 win 26.2%. The pick is Beşiktaş U19 win. Over 2.5 goals: 48.2%. Both teams to score: 48.8%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.