Corum U19 vs Fenerbahce U19
Match result probability Model pick: Fenerbahce U19 win
Corum U19 win
22.1%
Draw
18.3%
Fenerbahce U19 winPick
59.6%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes52.7%
No47.3%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.579.1%
Under 2.520.9%
How much we know
Corum U19 history1 match
Fenerbahce U19 history1 match
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Fenerbahce U19
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 1 h ahead2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
- Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 09:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre8 Nov · 10:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (59.6%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.
Why Fenerbahce U19 are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
The Elo ratings are level
Elo 1,488 against 1,508. On rating alone the teams are close to even.
-
Fenerbahce U19 score far more
1.00 goals a game over 1 matches for Corum U19, against 4.00 over 1 for Fenerbahce U19.
-
Fenerbahce U19 concede fewer
Corum U19 concede 4.00 a game, Fenerbahce U19 1.00.
-
Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games
100% of Corum U19 matches, against 100% for Fenerbahce U19. The model puts this match at 79% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Fenerbahce U19@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1488.2
ELO
1508.2
1
ELO · Matches
1
1488.2
Current Team ELO
1508.2
1508.2
Current Opponent ELO
1488.2
-20.00
Current ELO Difference
20.00
0.47
Expected score
0.53
1
History Matches
1
-0.50
Residual Mean
0.50
47.62
Overperformance
52.38
-0.50
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.50
Recent form16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Recent 10 Goals StdRecent 10 Conceded StdRecent 10 Goal Difference Std
1
Matches
1
0.00
PPG
3.00
1.00
Goals for per game
4.00
4.00
Goals against per game
1.00
0.0%
Win rate
100.0%
1
Matches
1
0.00
PPG
3.00
1.00
Goals for per game
4.00
4.00
Goals against per game
1.00
0.0%
Win rate
100.0%
1.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
4.00
4.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.00
0.00
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.00
Overall performance9 signals 90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1
Matches
1
0.00
PPG
3.00
0.0%
Win rate
100.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
Venue performance10 signals 100
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1
Matches
0
0.00
PPG
—
0.0%
Win rate
—
0.0%
Draw rate
—
100.0%
Loss rate
—
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
—
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
—
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
—
1
History Matches
0
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals Std
1.00
Goals for per game
4.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
1.00
Goals for per game
—
100.0%
Scoring rate
—
100.0%
BTTS rate
—
1.00
Goals for per game
4.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
1
History Matches
1
1.00
Goals Mean
4.00
100.0%
Scored 1+ rate
100.0%
0.0%
Scored 2+ rate
100.0%
0.0%
Scored 3+ rate
100.0%
1.00
Venue Goals Mean
—
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Conceded Std
4.00
Goals against per game
1.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
4.00
Goals against per game
—
100.0%
Conceding rate
—
4.00
Goals against per game
1.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
1
History Matches
1
4.00
Conceded Mean
1.00
100.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
0.0%
100.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
0.0%
4.00
Venue Conceded Mean
—
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
—
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
—
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
—
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
—
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal Difference Std
1
History Matches
1
0.00
Result entropy
0.00
100.0
Stability score
100.0
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Lead Win RateLead Points RetentionNon-loss rateTrailing Win Rate
0
Eligible Matches
0
0
Lead Matches
0
0
Trailing Matches
0
Goal timing5 signals 50
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
First Half Goals For MeanFirst Half Goals Against MeanSecond Half Goals For MeanSecond Half Goals Against Mean
0
Halftime Coverage Matches
0
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per Match
78.08
Rest days
77.83
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
0
Normal Rest History Matches
0
0
Long Rest History Matches
0
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal difference · Standard deviationPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
1
Matches
1
0.00
PPG
3.00
0.0%
Win rate
100.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
1
Current Competition Matches
1
0.00
Current Competition PPG
3.00
-3.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
3.00
1
Competition Season Count
1
0
Eligible Competition Season Count
0
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
1
Clean History Matches
1
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateGoals StdVenue Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals StdConceded StdVenue Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded StdGoal Difference StdRecent 10 Goal Difference StdLead Win RateLead Points RetentionNon-loss rateTrailing Win RateFirst Half Goals For MeanFirst Half Goals Against MeanSecond Half Goals For MeanSecond Half Goals Against MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per Match
ELO-20.00
PPG-3.00
GF-3.00
GA3.00
PPG-3.00
PPG-3.00
PPG-3.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate0.0%
Failed-to-score rate0.0%
History Matches1
History Matches0
Goals Mean-3.00
Scored 1+ rate0.0%
Scored 2+ rate-1.00
Scored 3+ rate-1.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean-3.00
History Matches0
Conceded Mean3.00
Clean-sheet rate0.0%
Conceded 2+ rate100.0%
Conceded 3+ rate100.0%
Recent 10 Conceded Mean3.00
History Matches0
Result entropy0.00
Stability score0.00
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Eligible Matches0
Lead Matches0
Trailing Matches0
Halftime Coverage Matches0
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-3.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-6.00
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Rest days0.25
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches0
Long Rest History Matches0
Current Team ELO-20.00
Current Opponent ELO20.00
Current ELO Difference-40.00
Expected score-0.06
History Matches0
Residual Mean-1.00
Overperformance-4.76
Recent 10 Residual Mean-1.00
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Corum U19
No earlier results with our pick yet
Fenerbahce U19
L
Fenerbahce U191–3Slavia Praha U1920 Oct · home
Pick: Fenerbahce U19 43% · missed L
Aston Villa U192–1Fenerbahce U1914 Oct · away
Pick: Aston Villa U19 60% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Corum U19 and Fenerbahce U19 meet in U19 league on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 10:00 UTC. The match is played at Corum Stadyumu. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Corum U19 win 22.1%, draw 18.3%, Fenerbahce U19 win 59.6%. The pick is Fenerbahce U19 win. Over 2.5 goals: 79.1%. Both teams to score: 52.7%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.