ScoreProb
2. Division Cyprus Round 7 2026

Anagennisi Deryneia vs PAEEK

Anagennisi Deryneia Home · Elo 1,645
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
PAEEK Away · Elo 1,506
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Anagennisi Deryneia win
Anagennisi Deryneia winPick
47.2%
Draw
21.4%
PAEEK win
31.4%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes53.3%
No46.7%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.561.4%
Under 2.538.6%

How much we know

Anagennisi Deryneia history37 matches
PAEEK history41 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 12:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (47.2%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Anagennisi Deryneia are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Anagennisi Deryneia are rated 139 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,645 against 1,506. On rating alone Anagennisi Deryneia would be expected to take 69% of the points on offer.

  • Anagennisi Deryneia score far more

    2.35 goals a game over 37 matches for Anagennisi Deryneia, against 1.27 over 41 for PAEEK.

  • Anagennisi Deryneia concede fewer

    Anagennisi Deryneia concede 1.00 a game, PAEEK 1.22.

  • Anagennisi Deryneia games more often go over 2.5 goals

    62% of Anagennisi Deryneia matches, against 51% for PAEEK. The model puts this match at 61% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 26 Apr 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Anagennisi Deryneia
PAEEK
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1644.8
ELO
1506.2
37
ELO · Matches
41
1644.8
Current Team ELO
1506.2
1506.2
Current Opponent ELO
1644.8
138.6
Current ELO Difference
-138.6
0.69
Expected score
0.31
37
History Matches
41
0.19
Residual Mean
0.00
62.64
Overperformance
50.33
0.04
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.05
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.60
PPG
1.20
1.60
Goals for per game
1.60
1.40
Goals against per game
2.00
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
2.00
PPG
1.10
2.10
Goals for per game
1.20
1.20
Goals against per game
1.50
60.0%
Win rate
20.0%
2.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.20
1.37
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.33
1.20
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.50
1.33
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.80
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
2.02
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.35
Overall performance9 signals
90
37
Matches
41
2.27
PPG
1.32
70.3%
Win rate
34.1%
16.2%
Draw rate
29.3%
13.5%
Loss rate
36.6%
75.7%
Over 1.5 rate
73.2%
62.2%
Over 2.5 rate
51.2%
48.6%
Over 3.5 rate
22.0%
1.83
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.67
Venue performance10 signals
100
19
Matches
21
2.42
PPG
1.05
73.7%
Win rate
28.6%
21.1%
Draw rate
19.0%
5.3%
Loss rate
52.4%
89.5%
Over 1.5 rate
85.7%
73.7%
Over 2.5 rate
57.1%
52.6%
Over 3.5 rate
19.0%
1.72
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.79
19
History Matches
21
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
2.35
Goals for per game
1.27
89.2%
Scoring rate
68.3%
56.8%
BTTS rate
46.3%
2.68
Goals for per game
1.19
94.7%
Scoring rate
71.4%
63.2%
BTTS rate
52.4%
37
History Matches
41
2.35
Goals Mean
1.27
1.56
Goals Std
1.15
89.2%
Scored 1+ rate
68.3%
64.9%
Scored 2+ rate
36.6%
43.2%
Scored 3+ rate
19.5%
2.68
Venue Goals Mean
1.19
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.00
Goals against per game
1.22
62.2%
Conceding rate
58.5%
0.84
Goals against per game
1.57
63.2%
Conceding rate
66.7%
37
History Matches
41
1.00
Conceded Mean
1.22
1.09
Conceded Std
1.33
21.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
41.5%
10.8%
Conceded 3+ rate
12.2%
0.84
Venue Conceded Mean
1.57
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
37.8%
Clean-sheet rate
41.5%
10.8%
Failed-to-score rate
31.7%
36.8%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
5.3%
Failed-to-score rate
28.6%
37.8%
Clean-sheet rate
41.5%
10.8%
Failed-to-score rate
31.7%
36.8%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
5.3%
Failed-to-score rate
28.6%
37.8%
Clean-sheet rate
41.5%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
37
History Matches
41
0.74
Result entropy
1.00
1.83
Goal Difference Std
1.67
25.96
Stability score
0.38
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
32
Eligible Matches
41
13
Lead Matches
10
84.6%
Lead Win Rate
70.0%
0.90
Lead Points Retention
0.77
3
Trailing Matches
7
33.3%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
33.3%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
32
Halftime Coverage Matches
41
0.84
First Half Goals For Mean
0.71
0.34
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.54
1.25
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.56
0.63
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.68
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
196.0
Rest days
196.9
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
1
1.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.00
21
Normal Rest History Matches
20
2.76
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.30
14
Long Rest History Matches
19
1.79
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.42
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
2
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.26
Portability PPG Std
0.46
0.52
Portability PPG Range
0.92
65.65
Portability Score
52.10
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
37
Clean History Matches
41
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
ELO138.6
PPG0.95
GF1.08
GA-0.22
PPG1.37
PPG0.40
PPG0.90
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-4
Clean-sheet rate-0.04
Failed-to-score rate-0.21
History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate3.5%
Failed-to-score rate-0.23
History Matches-4
Goals Mean1.08
Goals Std0.42
Scored 1+ rate20.9%
Scored 2+ rate28.3%
Scored 3+ rate23.7%
Venue Goals Mean1.49
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.90
Recent 10 Goals Std0.05
History Matches-4
Conceded Mean-0.22
Conceded Std-0.24
Clean-sheet rate-0.04
Conceded 2+ rate-0.20
Conceded 3+ rate-0.01
Venue Conceded Mean-0.73
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.48
History Matches-4
Result entropy-0.26
Goal Difference Std0.17
Stability score25.58
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.07
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.68
Eligible Matches-9
Lead Matches3
Lead Win Rate14.6%
Lead Points Retention0.13
Trailing Matches-4
Non-loss rate33.3%
Trailing Win Rate33.3%
Halftime Coverage Matches-9
First Half Goals For Mean0.14
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.19
Second Half Goals For Mean0.69
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.06
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.20
Portability PPG Range-0.40
Portability Score13.55
Rest days-0.98
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match0.00
Normal Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest Points Per Match1.46
Long Rest History Matches-5
Long Rest Points Per Match0.36
Current Team ELO138.6
Current Opponent ELO-138.6
Current ELO Difference277.1
Expected score0.38
History Matches-4
Residual Mean0.19
Overperformance12.30
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.09

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Anagennisi Deryneia

W
Ermis1–2Anagennisi Deryneia30 Oct · away
Pick: Ermis 38% · missed
L
Anagennisi Deryneia1–3Ethnikos Achna23 Oct · home
Pick: Anagennisi Deryneia 47% · missed
W
Spartakos Kitiou2–3Anagennisi Deryneia17 Oct · away
Pick: Spartakos Kitiou 44% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

PAEEK

W
PAEEK3–1APEA31 Oct · home
Pick: APEA 43% · missed
W
MEAP Nisou0–2PAEEK24 Oct · away
Pick: PAEEK 36% · hit
W
PAEEK4–0Polemidion17 Oct · home
Pick: PAEEK 62% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Anagennisi Deryneia and PAEEK meet in 2. Division on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 12:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Anagennisi Deryneia win 47.2%, draw 21.4%, PAEEK win 31.4%. The pick is Anagennisi Deryneia win. Over 2.5 goals: 61.4%. Both teams to score: 53.3%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.