ScoreProb
Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 Spain Group 17 - 10 2026

Andorra CF vs CDJ Tamarite

Andorra CF Home · Elo 1,441
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
CDJ Tamarite Away · Elo 1,472
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: CDJ Tamarite win
Andorra CF win
35.7%
Draw
26.1%
CDJ Tamarite winPick
38.2%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes53.7%
No46.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.549.6%
Under 2.550.4%

How much we know

Andorra CF history49 matches
CDJ Tamarite history49 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 6 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 15:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (38.2%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.

Why CDJ Tamarite are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • CDJ Tamarite are rated 31 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,472 against 1,441. On rating alone CDJ Tamarite would be expected to take 55% of the points on offer.

  • CDJ Tamarite score more

    0.96 goals a game over 49 matches for Andorra CF, against 1.14 over 49 for CDJ Tamarite.

  • Defences are close

    Andorra CF concede 1.35 a game, CDJ Tamarite 1.39.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    49% of Andorra CF matches, against 47% for CDJ Tamarite. The model puts this match at 50% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 10 May 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Andorra CF
CDJ Tamarite
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1440.6
ELO
1472.0
49
ELO · Matches
49
1440.6
Current Team ELO
1472.0
1472.0
Current Opponent ELO
1440.6
-31.37
Current ELO Difference
31.37
0.45
Expected score
0.55
49
History Matches
49
-0.06
Residual Mean
-0.03
45.92
Overperformance
47.83
-0.03
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.07
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.80
PPG
0.80
2.20
Goals for per game
1.00
1.80
Goals against per game
2.00
60.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.20
PPG
1.20
1.60
Goals for per game
1.10
1.90
Goals against per game
1.60
40.0%
Win rate
30.0%
1.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.10
1.56
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.83
1.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.60
0.94
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.28
0.61
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
1.95
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.50
Overall performance9 signals
90
49
Matches
49
1.02
PPG
1.24
22.4%
Win rate
30.6%
34.7%
Draw rate
32.7%
42.9%
Loss rate
36.7%
73.5%
Over 1.5 rate
77.6%
49.0%
Over 2.5 rate
46.9%
16.3%
Over 3.5 rate
22.4%
1.54
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.49
Venue performance10 signals
100
25
Matches
25
1.40
PPG
1.16
36.0%
Win rate
28.0%
32.0%
Draw rate
32.0%
32.0%
Loss rate
40.0%
84.0%
Over 1.5 rate
76.0%
60.0%
Over 2.5 rate
52.0%
16.0%
Over 3.5 rate
28.0%
1.62
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.63
25
History Matches
25
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
0.96
Goals for per game
1.14
55.1%
Scoring rate
75.5%
51.0%
BTTS rate
61.2%
1.36
Goals for per game
1.08
72.0%
Scoring rate
68.0%
64.0%
BTTS rate
60.0%
49
History Matches
49
0.96
Goals Mean
1.14
1.12
Goals Std
0.88
55.1%
Scored 1+ rate
75.5%
26.5%
Scored 2+ rate
30.6%
8.2%
Scored 3+ rate
8.2%
1.36
Venue Goals Mean
1.08
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.35
Goals against per game
1.39
77.6%
Conceding rate
83.7%
1.28
Goals against per game
1.60
80.0%
Conceding rate
88.0%
49
History Matches
49
1.35
Conceded Mean
1.39
1.04
Conceded Std
1.07
40.8%
Conceded 2+ rate
38.8%
12.2%
Conceded 3+ rate
8.2%
1.28
Venue Conceded Mean
1.60
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
22.4%
Clean-sheet rate
16.3%
44.9%
Failed-to-score rate
24.5%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
12.0%
28.0%
Failed-to-score rate
32.0%
22.4%
Clean-sheet rate
16.3%
44.9%
Failed-to-score rate
24.5%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
12.0%
28.0%
Failed-to-score rate
32.0%
22.4%
Clean-sheet rate
16.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
49
History Matches
49
0.97
Result entropy
1.00
1.54
Goal Difference Std
1.49
2.99
Stability score
0.26
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
48
Eligible Matches
49
7
Lead Matches
10
57.1%
Lead Win Rate
80.0%
0.67
Lead Points Retention
0.87
18
Trailing Matches
17
22.2%
Non-loss rate
41.2%
11.1%
Trailing Win Rate
5.9%
Goal timing5 signals
50
48
Halftime Coverage Matches
49
0.38
First Half Goals For Mean
0.45
0.54
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.65
0.54
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.69
0.79
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.73
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
183.0
Rest days
182.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
28
Normal Rest History Matches
28
0.96
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.14
20
Long Rest History Matches
20
1.10
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.30
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
2
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.20
Portability PPG Std
0.05
0.40
Portability PPG Range
0.10
71.35
Portability Score
90.88
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
49
Clean History Matches
49
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-31.37
PPG-0.22
GF-0.18
GA-0.04
PPG0.24
PPG1.00
PPG0.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate6.1%
Failed-to-score rate20.4%
History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate8.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.04
History Matches0
Goals Mean-0.18
Goals Std0.24
Scored 1+ rate-0.20
Scored 2+ rate-0.04
Scored 3+ rate0.0%
Venue Goals Mean0.28
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.50
Recent 10 Goals Std0.73
History Matches0
Conceded Mean-0.04
Conceded Std-0.02
Clean-sheet rate6.1%
Conceded 2+ rate2.0%
Conceded 3+ rate4.1%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.32
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.34
History Matches0
Result entropy-0.03
Goal Difference Std0.04
Stability score2.73
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.38
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.45
Eligible Matches-1
Lead Matches-3
Lead Win Rate-0.23
Lead Points Retention-0.20
Trailing Matches1
Non-loss rate-0.19
Trailing Win Rate5.2%
Halftime Coverage Matches-1
First Half Goals For Mean-0.07
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.11
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.15
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.06
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.15
Portability PPG Range0.30
Portability Score-19.53
Rest days1.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.18
Long Rest History Matches0
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.20
Current Team ELO-31.37
Current Opponent ELO31.37
Current ELO Difference-62.73
Expected score-0.09
History Matches0
Residual Mean-0.03
Overperformance-1.92
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.04

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Andorra CF

L
Almudévar2–0Andorra CF1 Nov · away
Pick: Almudévar 40% · hit
D
CD Sietamo2–2Andorra CF25 Oct · away
Pick: CD Sietamo 37% · missed
W
Andorra CF3–1Illueca18 Oct · home
Pick: Andorra CF 49% · hit
L
Andorra CF1–3Ejea4 Oct · home
Pick: Ejea 44% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

CDJ Tamarite

L
CDJ Tamarite1–3CD Sietamo31 Oct · home
Pick: CDJ Tamarite 65% · missed
L
Illueca4–0CDJ Tamarite24 Oct · away
Pick: CDJ Tamarite 39% · missed
L
Brea1–0CDJ Tamarite4 Oct · away
Pick: CDJ Tamarite 37% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Andorra CF and CDJ Tamarite meet in Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 15:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Andorra CF win 35.7%, draw 26.1%, CDJ Tamarite win 38.2%. The pick is CDJ Tamarite win. Over 2.5 goals: 49.6%. Both teams to score: 53.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.