ScoreProb
Liga Profesional Argentina Argentina Round 16 2026

Argentinos JRS vs Huracan

Argentinos JRS Home · Elo 1,615
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Huracan Away · Elo 1,553
Estadio Diego Armando Maradona, Buenos Aires Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Argentinos JRS win
Argentinos JRS winPick
46.7%
Draw
29.7%
Huracan win
23.6%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · shots, possession, corners, side by side
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes41.3%
No58.7%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.536.3%
Under 2.563.7%

How much we know

Argentinos JRS history61 matches
Huracan history58 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 12 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 21:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (46.7%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Argentinos JRS are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Argentinos JRS are rated 62 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,615 against 1,553. On rating alone Argentinos JRS would be expected to take 59% of the points on offer.

  • Argentinos JRS score more

    1.31 goals a game over 61 matches for Argentinos JRS, against 1.07 over 58 for Huracan.

  • Defences are close

    Argentinos JRS concede 0.74 a game, Huracan 0.71.

  • Argentinos JRS games more often go over 2.5 goals

    38% of Argentinos JRS matches, against 28% for Huracan. The model puts this match at 36% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 25 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Argentinos JRS
Huracan
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1614.8
ELO
1552.6
61
ELO · Matches
58
1614.8
Current Team ELO
1552.6
1552.6
Current Opponent ELO
1614.8
62.21
Current ELO Difference
-62.21
0.59
Expected score
0.41
61
History Matches
58
0.09
Residual Mean
0.04
57.04
Overperformance
53.04
0.06
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.10
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
1.00
1.40
Goals for per game
0.60
0.80
Goals against per game
0.80
60.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.80
PPG
1.10
1.30
Goals for per game
0.50
0.90
Goals against per game
0.60
50.0%
Win rate
20.0%
1.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.50
1.10
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.67
0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.60
0.83
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.80
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
1.50
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.04
Overall performance9 signals
90
61
Matches
58
1.87
PPG
1.60
54.1%
Win rate
41.4%
24.6%
Draw rate
36.2%
21.3%
Loss rate
22.4%
60.7%
Over 1.5 rate
55.2%
37.7%
Over 2.5 rate
27.6%
14.8%
Over 3.5 rate
10.3%
1.43
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.42
Venue performance10 signals
100
31
Matches
30
2.29
PPG
1.47
67.7%
Win rate
33.3%
25.8%
Draw rate
46.7%
6.5%
Loss rate
20.0%
51.6%
Over 1.5 rate
60.0%
35.5%
Over 2.5 rate
23.3%
16.1%
Over 3.5 rate
6.7%
1.31
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.15
31
History Matches
30
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.31
Goals for per game
1.07
70.5%
Scoring rate
63.8%
36.1%
BTTS rate
34.5%
1.52
Goals for per game
0.97
74.2%
Scoring rate
63.3%
25.8%
BTTS rate
43.3%
1.21
Goals for per game
0.85
75.0%
Scoring rate
60.0%
41.7%
BTTS rate
40.0%
61
History Matches
58
1.31
Goals Mean
1.07
1.15
Goals Std
1.13
70.5%
Scored 1+ rate
63.8%
37.7%
Scored 2+ rate
25.9%
19.7%
Scored 3+ rate
12.1%
1.52
Venue Goals Mean
0.97
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
0.74
Goals against per game
0.71
50.8%
Conceding rate
50.0%
0.39
Goals against per game
0.70
32.3%
Conceding rate
56.7%
0.79
Goals against per game
0.65
50.0%
Conceding rate
45.0%
61
History Matches
58
0.74
Conceded Mean
0.71
0.83
Conceded Std
0.83
21.3%
Conceded 2+ rate
17.2%
1.6%
Conceded 3+ rate
3.4%
0.39
Venue Conceded Mean
0.70
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
49.2%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
29.5%
Failed-to-score rate
36.2%
67.7%
Clean-sheet rate
43.3%
25.8%
Failed-to-score rate
36.7%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
55.0%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
40.0%
49.2%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
29.5%
Failed-to-score rate
36.2%
67.7%
Clean-sheet rate
43.3%
25.8%
Failed-to-score rate
36.7%
49.2%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
61
History Matches
58
0.92
Result entropy
0.97
1.43
Goal Difference Std
1.42
8.36
Stability score
2.77
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
61
Eligible Matches
58
17
Lead Matches
16
88.2%
Lead Win Rate
68.8%
0.92
Lead Points Retention
0.77
14
Trailing Matches
8
35.7%
Non-loss rate
25.0%
28.6%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
61
Halftime Coverage Matches
58
0.48
First Half Goals For Mean
0.48
0.36
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.33
0.84
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.59
0.38
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.38
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
75.86
Rest days
77.88
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
3
1.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.67
36
Normal Rest History Matches
32
1.78
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.59
23
Long Rest History Matches
22
2.00
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.55
Competition & season17 signals
170
24
Matches
20
1.92
PPG
1.30
54.2%
Win rate
25.0%
29.2%
Draw rate
55.0%
16.7%
Loss rate
20.0%
62.5%
Over 1.5 rate
55.0%
33.3%
Over 2.5 rate
25.0%
12.5%
Over 3.5 rate
5.0%
1.22
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.12
24
Current Competition Matches
20
1.92
Current Competition PPG
1.30
0.42
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.20
5
Competition Season Count
7
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.41
Portability PPG Std
0.29
0.95
Portability PPG Range
0.70
54.96
Portability Score
63.63
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
61
Clean History Matches
58
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO62.21
PPG0.27
GF0.24
GA0.03
PPG0.62
PPG0.82
PPG1.00
PPG0.70
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches3
Clean-sheet rate-0.01
Failed-to-score rate-0.07
History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate24.4%
Failed-to-score rate-0.11
History Matches3
Goals Mean0.24
Goals Std0.03
Scored 1+ rate6.7%
Scored 2+ rate11.8%
Scored 3+ rate7.6%
Venue Goals Mean0.55
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.80
Recent 10 Goals Std0.43
History Matches3
Conceded Mean0.03
Conceded Std0.00
Clean-sheet rate-0.01
Conceded 2+ rate4.1%
Conceded 3+ rate-0.02
Venue Conceded Mean-0.31
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.03
History Matches3
Result entropy-0.06
Goal Difference Std0.01
Stability score5.59
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.45
Eligible Matches3
Lead Matches1
Lead Win Rate19.5%
Lead Points Retention0.15
Trailing Matches6
Non-loss rate10.7%
Trailing Win Rate28.6%
Halftime Coverage Matches3
First Half Goals For Mean-0.01
First Half Goals Against Mean0.03
Second Half Goals For Mean0.25
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.00
Current Competition Matches4
Current Competition PPG0.62
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.22
Competition Season Count-2
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.12
Portability PPG Range0.25
Portability Score-8.67
Rest days-2.01
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-2
Short Rest Points Per Match-0.67
Normal Rest History Matches4
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.18
Long Rest History Matches1
Long Rest Points Per Match0.45
Current Team ELO62.21
Current Opponent ELO-62.21
Current ELO Difference124.4
Expected score0.18
History Matches3
Residual Mean0.05
Overperformance4.00
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.15

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Argentinos JRS

W
Atletico Tucuman1–2Argentinos JRS3 Nov · away
Pick: Atletico Tucuman 38% · missed
W
Argentinos JRS1–0Independ. Rivadavia27 Oct · home
Pick: Argentinos JRS 38% · hit
W
Argentinos JRS2–1Tigre4 Oct · home
Pick: Argentinos JRS 51% · hit
W
Argentinos JRS2–1Aldosivi30 Aug · home
Pick: Argentinos JRS 66% · hit
D
Lanus1–1Argentinos JRS25 Aug · away
Pick: Lanus 42% · missed

Huracan

L
Huracan0–2Tigre30 Oct · home
Pick: Huracan 39% · missed
L
Rosario Central2–0Huracan25 Oct · away
Pick: Rosario Central 39% · hit
L
Huracan1–2Gimnasia L.P.15 Oct · home
Pick: Huracan 46% · missed
W
Huracan1–0Aldosivi4 Oct · home
Pick: Huracan 59% · hit
D
Huracan1–1Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto29 Aug · home
Pick: Huracan 61% · missed

About this match

Argentinos JRS and Huracan meet in Liga Profesional Argentina on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 21:00 UTC. The match is played at Estadio Diego Armando Maradona, Buenos Aires. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Argentinos JRS win 46.7%, draw 29.7%, Huracan win 23.6%. The pick is Argentinos JRS win. Over 2.5 goals: 36.3%. Both teams to score: 41.3%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.