ScoreProb
Liga Profesional Argentina Argentina Round 16 2026

Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Lanus

Central Cordoba de Santiago Home · Elo 1,476
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Lanus Away · Elo 1,538
Estadio Unico Madre de Ciudades, Santiago del Estero Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Lanus win
Central Cordoba de Santiago win
31.5%
Draw
30.5%
Lanus winPick
38.0%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · shots, possession, corners, side by side
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes46.6%
No53.4%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.538.9%
Under 2.561.1%

How much we know

Central Cordoba de Santiago history58 matches
Lanus history74 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 12 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 21:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (38.0%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.

Why Lanus are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Lanus are rated 62 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,538 against 1,476. On rating alone Lanus would be expected to take 59% of the points on offer.

  • Lanus score more

    0.95 goals a game over 58 matches for Central Cordoba de Santiago, against 1.08 over 74 for Lanus.

  • Lanus concede fewer

    Central Cordoba de Santiago concede 1.14 a game, Lanus 0.89.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    40% of Central Cordoba de Santiago matches, against 32% for Lanus. The model puts this match at 39% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 25 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Lanus
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1476.1
ELO
1538.1
58
ELO · Matches
74
1476.1
Current Team ELO
1538.1
1538.1
Current Opponent ELO
1476.1
-62.00
Current ELO Difference
62.00
0.41
Expected score
0.59
58
History Matches
74
-0.02
Residual Mean
0.03
48.77
Overperformance
52.10
-0.13
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.09
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
0.80
0.80
Goals for per game
1.20
1.20
Goals against per game
1.40
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
0.90
PPG
1.30
0.90
Goals for per game
1.10
1.80
Goals against per game
1.30
30.0%
Win rate
40.0%
0.90
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.10
1.22
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.83
1.80
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.30
1.33
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.35
0.56
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
1.70
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.94
Overall performance9 signals
90
58
Matches
74
1.22
PPG
1.57
31.0%
Win rate
43.2%
29.3%
Draw rate
27.0%
39.7%
Loss rate
29.7%
60.3%
Over 1.5 rate
55.4%
39.7%
Over 2.5 rate
32.4%
12.1%
Over 3.5 rate
14.9%
1.43
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.57
Venue performance10 signals
100
30
Matches
36
1.47
PPG
0.97
40.0%
Win rate
22.2%
26.7%
Draw rate
30.6%
33.3%
Loss rate
47.2%
53.3%
Over 1.5 rate
63.9%
33.3%
Over 2.5 rate
38.9%
10.0%
Over 3.5 rate
16.7%
1.18
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.48
30
History Matches
36
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
0.95
Goals for per game
1.08
56.9%
Scoring rate
67.6%
41.4%
BTTS rate
33.8%
1.00
Goals for per game
0.83
63.3%
Scoring rate
55.6%
40.0%
BTTS rate
38.9%
0.67
Goals for per game
1.21
44.4%
Scoring rate
68.4%
27.8%
BTTS rate
42.1%
58
History Matches
74
0.95
Goals Mean
1.08
1.02
Goals Std
1.06
56.9%
Scored 1+ rate
67.6%
27.6%
Scored 2+ rate
27.0%
8.6%
Scored 3+ rate
8.1%
1.00
Venue Goals Mean
0.83
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.14
Goals against per game
0.89
70.7%
Conceding rate
55.4%
0.93
Goals against per game
1.28
63.3%
Conceding rate
72.2%
1.28
Goals against per game
1.21
72.2%
Conceding rate
68.4%
58
History Matches
74
1.14
Conceded Mean
0.89
1.04
Conceded Std
1.01
29.3%
Conceded 2+ rate
24.3%
10.3%
Conceded 3+ rate
6.8%
0.93
Venue Conceded Mean
1.28
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
29.3%
Clean-sheet rate
44.6%
43.1%
Failed-to-score rate
32.4%
36.7%
Clean-sheet rate
27.8%
36.7%
Failed-to-score rate
44.4%
27.8%
Clean-sheet rate
31.6%
55.6%
Failed-to-score rate
31.6%
29.3%
Clean-sheet rate
44.6%
43.1%
Failed-to-score rate
32.4%
36.7%
Clean-sheet rate
27.8%
36.7%
Failed-to-score rate
44.4%
29.3%
Clean-sheet rate
44.6%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
58
History Matches
74
0.99
Result entropy
0.98
1.43
Goal Difference Std
1.57
0.82
Stability score
1.99
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
58
Eligible Matches
74
12
Lead Matches
20
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
80.0%
1.00
Lead Points Retention
0.87
16
Trailing Matches
14
37.5%
Non-loss rate
35.7%
12.5%
Trailing Win Rate
7.1%
Goal timing5 signals
50
58
Halftime Coverage Matches
74
0.31
First Half Goals For Mean
0.43
0.45
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.30
0.64
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.65
0.69
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.59
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
75.96
Rest days
75.86
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
7
0.50
Short Rest Points Per Match
2.00
39
Normal Rest History Matches
46
1.31
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.39
16
Long Rest History Matches
20
1.00
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.75
Competition & season17 signals
170
18
Matches
19
1.00
PPG
1.32
27.8%
Win rate
36.8%
16.7%
Draw rate
21.1%
55.6%
Loss rate
42.1%
44.4%
Over 1.5 rate
68.4%
27.8%
Over 2.5 rate
47.4%
11.1%
Over 3.5 rate
21.1%
1.46
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.84
18
Current Competition Matches
19
1.00
Current Competition PPG
1.32
-0.61
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.00
7
Competition Season Count
8
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.34
Portability PPG Std
0.19
0.83
Portability PPG Range
0.53
59.19
Portability Score
72.02
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
58
Clean History Matches
74
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-62.00
PPG-0.34
GF-0.13
GA0.25
PPG-0.32
PPG0.49
PPG0.40
PPG-0.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-16
Clean-sheet rate-0.15
Failed-to-score rate10.7%
History Matches-6
Clean-sheet rate8.9%
Failed-to-score rate-0.08
History Matches-16
Goals Mean-0.13
Goals Std-0.04
Scored 1+ rate-0.11
Scored 2+ rate0.6%
Scored 3+ rate0.5%
Venue Goals Mean0.17
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.20
Recent 10 Goals Std0.39
History Matches-16
Conceded Mean0.25
Conceded Std0.03
Clean-sheet rate-0.15
Conceded 2+ rate5.0%
Conceded 3+ rate3.6%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.34
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.02
History Matches-16
Result entropy0.01
Goal Difference Std-0.14
Stability score-1.17
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.30
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.24
Eligible Matches-16
Lead Matches-8
Lead Win Rate20.0%
Lead Points Retention0.13
Trailing Matches2
Non-loss rate1.8%
Trailing Win Rate5.4%
Halftime Coverage Matches-16
First Half Goals For Mean-0.12
First Half Goals Against Mean0.15
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.01
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.10
Current Competition Matches-1
Current Competition PPG-0.32
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-0.61
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.15
Portability PPG Range0.30
Portability Score-12.83
Rest days0.09
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-5
Short Rest Points Per Match-1.50
Normal Rest History Matches-7
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.08
Long Rest History Matches-4
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.75
Current Team ELO-62.00
Current Opponent ELO62.00
Current ELO Difference-124.0
Expected score-0.18
History Matches-16
Residual Mean-0.04
Overperformance-3.33
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.05

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Central Cordoba de Santiago

L
Platense2–0Central Cordoba de Santiago2 Nov · away
Pick: Platense 45% · hit
L
Central Cordoba de Santiago0–5Velez Sarsfield26 Oct · home
Pick: Velez Sarsfield 38% · hit
L
Newells Old Boys2–1Central Cordoba de Santiago19 Oct · away
Pick: Newells Old Boys 39% · hit
D
Deportivo Riestra1–1Central Cordoba de Santiago5 Oct · away
Pick: Deportivo Riestra 53% · missed
D
Talleres Cordoba0–0Central Cordoba de Santiago30 Aug · away
Pick: Talleres Cordoba 43% · missed

Lanus

D
Lanus1–1Gimnasia M.1 Nov · home
Pick: Lanus 46% · missed
D
Banfield1–1Lanus24 Oct · away
Pick: Banfield 39% · missed
W
Lanus2–0Velez Sarsfield12 Oct · home
Pick: Lanus 37% · hit
L
Boca Juniors1–0Lanus29 Aug · away
Pick: Boca Juniors 49% · hit
D
Lanus1–1Argentinos JRS25 Aug · home
Pick: Lanus 42% · missed

About this match

Central Cordoba de Santiago and Lanus meet in Liga Profesional Argentina on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 21:00 UTC. The match is played at Estadio Unico Madre de Ciudades, Santiago del Estero. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Central Cordoba de Santiago win 31.5%, draw 30.5%, Lanus win 38.0%. The pick is Lanus win. Over 2.5 goals: 38.9%. Both teams to score: 46.6%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.