ScoreProb
FNL Czechia Round 14 2026

Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Táborsko

Arsenal Česká Lípa Home · Elo 1,653
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Táborsko Away · Elo 1,544
Mestsky Stadion Ceska Lipa Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Táborsko win
Arsenal Česká Lípa win
31.7%
Draw
21.6%
Táborsko winPick
46.6%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes56.2%
No43.8%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.560.0%
Under 2.540.0%

How much we know

Arsenal Česká Lípa history68 matches
Táborsko history72 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (46.6%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Táborsko are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Arsenal Česká Lípa are rated 109 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,653 against 1,544. On rating alone Arsenal Česká Lípa would be expected to take 65% of the points on offer.

  • Arsenal Česká Lípa score more

    2.28 goals a game over 68 matches for Arsenal Česká Lípa, against 1.49 over 72 for Táborsko.

  • Arsenal Česká Lípa concede fewer

    Arsenal Česká Lípa concede 1.19 a game, Táborsko 1.36.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    66% of Arsenal Česká Lípa matches, against 61% for Táborsko. The model puts this match at 60% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Arsenal Česká Lípa
Táborsko
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1653.1
ELO
1543.9
68
ELO · Matches
72
1653.1
Current Team ELO
1543.9
1543.9
Current Opponent ELO
1653.1
109.2
Current ELO Difference
-109.2
0.65
Expected score
0.35
68
History Matches
72
0.11
Residual Mean
0.02
58.51
Overperformance
51.23
-0.21
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.16
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.00
PPG
2.60
1.60
Goals for per game
1.80
2.40
Goals against per game
0.60
20.0%
Win rate
80.0%
10
Matches
10
1.20
PPG
1.70
2.00
Goals for per game
1.30
1.90
Goals against per game
1.40
30.0%
Win rate
50.0%
2.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.30
1.55
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.00
1.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.40
1.58
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.43
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
2.43
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.87
Overall performance9 signals
90
68
Matches
72
2.10
PPG
1.49
66.2%
Win rate
43.1%
11.8%
Draw rate
19.4%
22.1%
Loss rate
37.5%
89.7%
Over 1.5 rate
76.4%
66.2%
Over 2.5 rate
61.1%
41.2%
Over 3.5 rate
29.2%
2.15
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.20
Venue performance10 signals
100
34
Matches
42
2.15
PPG
1.45
67.6%
Win rate
40.5%
11.8%
Draw rate
23.8%
20.6%
Loss rate
35.7%
88.2%
Over 1.5 rate
78.6%
64.7%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
35.3%
Over 3.5 rate
28.6%
1.93
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.23
34
History Matches
42
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.28
Goals for per game
1.49
91.2%
Scoring rate
76.4%
54.4%
BTTS rate
48.6%
2.21
Goals for per game
1.52
94.1%
Scoring rate
76.2%
52.9%
BTTS rate
47.6%
1.40
Goals for per game
1.60
80.0%
Scoring rate
80.0%
60.0%
BTTS rate
40.0%
68
History Matches
72
2.28
Goals Mean
1.49
1.48
Goals Std
1.38
91.2%
Scored 1+ rate
76.4%
70.6%
Scored 2+ rate
43.1%
39.7%
Scored 3+ rate
16.7%
2.21
Venue Goals Mean
1.52
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.19
Goals against per game
1.36
63.2%
Conceding rate
66.7%
1.03
Goals against per game
1.31
58.8%
Conceding rate
64.3%
2.20
Goals against per game
0.60
80.0%
Conceding rate
40.0%
68
History Matches
72
1.19
Conceded Mean
1.36
1.32
Conceded Std
1.38
32.4%
Conceded 2+ rate
37.5%
14.7%
Conceded 3+ rate
19.4%
1.03
Venue Conceded Mean
1.31
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
36.8%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
8.8%
Failed-to-score rate
23.6%
41.2%
Clean-sheet rate
35.7%
5.9%
Failed-to-score rate
23.8%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
60.0%
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
20.0%
36.8%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
8.8%
Failed-to-score rate
23.6%
41.2%
Clean-sheet rate
35.7%
5.9%
Failed-to-score rate
23.8%
36.8%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
68
History Matches
72
0.78
Result entropy
0.95
2.15
Goal Difference Std
2.20
21.87
Stability score
4.51
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
67
Eligible Matches
72
36
Lead Matches
31
83.3%
Lead Win Rate
87.1%
0.88
Lead Points Retention
0.88
11
Trailing Matches
18
36.4%
Non-loss rate
16.7%
18.2%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
67
Halftime Coverage Matches
72
1.07
First Half Goals For Mean
0.89
0.60
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.61
1.12
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.60
0.61
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.75
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
76.02
Rest days
77.88
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
5
Short Rest History Matches
5
2.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.60
39
Normal Rest History Matches
44
2.21
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.75
23
Long Rest History Matches
22
2.04
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.23
Competition & season17 signals
170
5
Matches
5
1.00
PPG
2.20
20.0%
Win rate
60.0%
40.0%
Draw rate
40.0%
40.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
80.0%
Over 1.5 rate
60.0%
40.0%
Over 2.5 rate
60.0%
40.0%
Over 3.5 rate
20.0%
1.47
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.10
5
Current Competition Matches
5
1.00
Current Competition PPG
2.20
-0.80
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
1.00
8
Competition Season Count
9
5
Eligible Competition Season Count
6
0.63
Portability PPG Std
0.60
1.75
Portability PPG Range
1.70
44.30
Portability Score
45.51
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
68
Clean History Matches
72
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO109.2
PPG0.62
GF0.79
GA-0.17
PPG-1.20
PPG0.69
PPG-1.60
PPG-0.50
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-4
Clean-sheet rate3.4%
Failed-to-score rate-0.15
History Matches-8
Clean-sheet rate5.5%
Failed-to-score rate-0.18
History Matches-4
Goals Mean0.79
Goals Std0.10
Scored 1+ rate14.8%
Scored 2+ rate27.5%
Scored 3+ rate23.0%
Venue Goals Mean0.68
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.70
Recent 10 Goals Std0.54
History Matches-4
Conceded Mean-0.17
Conceded Std-0.06
Clean-sheet rate3.4%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.05
Conceded 3+ rate-0.05
Venue Conceded Mean-0.28
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.15
History Matches-4
Result entropy-0.17
Goal Difference Std-0.05
Stability score17.36
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.05
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.56
Eligible Matches-5
Lead Matches5
Lead Win Rate-0.04
Lead Points Retention0.00
Trailing Matches-7
Non-loss rate19.7%
Trailing Win Rate18.2%
Halftime Coverage Matches-5
First Half Goals For Mean0.19
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.01
Second Half Goals For Mean0.52
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.14
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-1.20
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-1.80
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std0.03
Portability PPG Range0.05
Portability Score-1.20
Rest days-1.85
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match1.40
Normal Rest History Matches-5
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.46
Long Rest History Matches1
Long Rest Points Per Match0.82
Current Team ELO109.2
Current Opponent ELO-109.2
Current ELO Difference218.3
Expected score0.30
History Matches-4
Residual Mean0.09
Overperformance7.27
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.37

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Arsenal Česká Lípa

W
Třinec1–3Arsenal Česká Lípa31 Oct · away
Pick: Třinec 50% · missed
D
Arsenal Česká Lípa2–2Příbram24 Oct · home
Pick: Arsenal Česká Lípa 45% · missed
W
Kladno2–3Arsenal Česká Lípa18 Oct · away
Pick: Kladno 50% · missed
W
Arsenal Česká Lípa2–1Vlašim29 Aug · home
Pick: Vlašim 42% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Táborsko

L
Příbram3–0Táborsko31 Oct · away
Pick: Táborsko 42% · missed
D
Táborsko1–1Třinec23 Oct · home
Pick: Táborsko 47% · missed
D
Viktoria Žižkov2–2Táborsko18 Oct · away
Pick: Táborsko 53% · missed
L
Táborsko0–1Ústí nad Labem29 Aug · home
Pick: Táborsko 45% · missed
W
Admira Praha0–4Táborsko26 Aug · away
Pick: Admira Praha 39% · missed

About this match

Arsenal Česká Lípa and Táborsko meet in FNL on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. The match is played at Mestsky Stadion Ceska Lipa. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Arsenal Česká Lípa win 31.7%, draw 21.6%, Táborsko win 46.6%. The pick is Táborsko win. Over 2.5 goals: 60.0%. Both teams to score: 56.2%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.