ScoreProb
Campionato Primavera - 1 Italy Round 10 2026

Atalanta U20 vs Internazionale U20

Atalanta U20 Home · Elo 1,549
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Internazionale U20 Away · Elo 1,552
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Internazionale U20 win
Atalanta U20 win
36.2%
Draw
25.0%
Internazionale U20 winPick
38.8%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.556.6%
Under 2.543.4%

How much we know

Atalanta U20 history62 matches
Internazionale U20 history61 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 1 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 10:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (38.8%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.

Why Internazionale U20 are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,549 against 1,552. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.56 goals a game over 62 matches for Atalanta U20, against 1.74 over 61 for Internazionale U20.

  • Defences are close

    Atalanta U20 concede 1.26 a game, Internazionale U20 1.38.

  • Internazionale U20 games more often go over 2.5 goals

    52% of Atalanta U20 matches, against 62% for Internazionale U20. The model puts this match at 57% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Atalanta U20
Internazionale U20
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1548.7
ELO
1552.1
62
ELO · Matches
61
1548.7
Current Team ELO
1552.1
1552.1
Current Opponent ELO
1548.7
-3.37
Current ELO Difference
3.37
0.50
Expected score
0.50
62
History Matches
61
0.04
Residual Mean
0.04
52.70
Overperformance
53.20
0.01
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.12
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.80
PPG
1.80
1.00
Goals for per game
1.80
2.00
Goals against per game
1.40
20.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
1.50
PPG
1.90
1.00
Goals for per game
1.70
1.10
Goals against per game
1.30
40.0%
Win rate
60.0%
1.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.70
0.77
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.00
1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.30
1.37
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.78
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.82
1.45
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.02
Overall performance9 signals
90
62
Matches
61
1.50
PPG
1.62
40.3%
Win rate
44.3%
29.0%
Draw rate
29.5%
30.6%
Loss rate
26.2%
67.7%
Over 1.5 rate
77.0%
51.6%
Over 2.5 rate
62.3%
33.9%
Over 3.5 rate
39.3%
1.66
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.70
Venue performance10 signals
100
30
Matches
30
1.77
PPG
1.43
50.0%
Win rate
36.7%
26.7%
Draw rate
33.3%
23.3%
Loss rate
30.0%
63.3%
Over 1.5 rate
73.3%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
53.3%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
26.7%
1.78
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.51
30
History Matches
30
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.56
Goals for per game
1.74
74.2%
Scoring rate
82.0%
56.5%
BTTS rate
59.0%
1.80
Goals for per game
1.43
70.0%
Scoring rate
80.0%
53.3%
BTTS rate
56.7%
2.00
Goals for per game
1.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
0.0%
62
History Matches
61
1.56
Goals Mean
1.74
1.44
Goals Std
1.25
74.2%
Scored 1+ rate
82.0%
45.2%
Scored 2+ rate
52.5%
19.4%
Scored 3+ rate
27.9%
1.80
Venue Goals Mean
1.43
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.26
Goals against per game
1.38
71.0%
Conceding rate
70.5%
0.93
Goals against per game
1.33
66.7%
Conceding rate
70.0%
4.00
Goals against per game
0.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
0.0%
62
History Matches
61
1.26
Conceded Mean
1.38
1.16
Conceded Std
1.31
33.9%
Conceded 2+ rate
39.3%
14.5%
Conceded 3+ rate
18.0%
0.93
Venue Conceded Mean
1.33
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
29.0%
Clean-sheet rate
29.5%
25.8%
Failed-to-score rate
18.0%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
30.0%
30.0%
Failed-to-score rate
20.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
100.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
29.0%
Clean-sheet rate
29.5%
25.8%
Failed-to-score rate
18.0%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
30.0%
30.0%
Failed-to-score rate
20.0%
29.0%
Clean-sheet rate
29.5%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
62
History Matches
61
0.99
Result entropy
0.98
1.66
Goal Difference Std
1.70
0.99
Stability score
2.43
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
59
Eligible Matches
61
19
Lead Matches
18
84.2%
Lead Win Rate
83.3%
0.86
Lead Points Retention
0.87
15
Trailing Matches
22
33.3%
Non-loss rate
54.5%
13.3%
Trailing Win Rate
22.7%
Goal timing5 signals
50
59
Halftime Coverage Matches
61
0.66
First Half Goals For Mean
0.67
0.56
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.75
0.85
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.07
0.69
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.62
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
76.04
Rest days
75.80
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
2
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
3.00
39
Normal Rest History Matches
34
1.38
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.53
21
Long Rest History Matches
24
1.57
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.71
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1
Matches
1
0.00
PPG
3.00
0.0%
Win rate
100.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
1
Current Competition Matches
1
0.00
Current Competition PPG
3.00
-2.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
1.00
4
Competition Season Count
6
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.45
Portability PPG Std
0.24
1.04
Portability PPG Range
0.49
52.67
Portability Score
67.24
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
62
Clean History Matches
61
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-3.37
PPG-0.12
GF-0.17
GA-0.12
PPG-3.00
PPG0.33
PPG-1.00
PPG-0.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate0.00
Failed-to-score rate7.8%
History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate3.3%
Failed-to-score rate10.0%
History Matches1
Goals Mean-0.17
Goals Std0.19
Scored 1+ rate-0.08
Scored 2+ rate-0.07
Scored 3+ rate-0.09
Venue Goals Mean0.37
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.70
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.23
History Matches1
Conceded Mean-0.12
Conceded Std-0.14
Clean-sheet rate0.00
Conceded 2+ rate-0.05
Conceded 3+ rate-0.04
Venue Conceded Mean-0.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.59
History Matches1
Result entropy0.01
Goal Difference Std-0.04
Stability score-1.44
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.17
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.43
Eligible Matches-2
Lead Matches1
Lead Win Rate0.9%
Lead Points Retention-0.01
Trailing Matches-7
Non-loss rate-0.21
Trailing Win Rate-0.09
Halftime Coverage Matches-2
First Half Goals For Mean-0.01
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.19
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.22
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.07
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-3.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-3.00
Competition Season Count-2
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std0.21
Portability PPG Range0.55
Portability Score-14.57
Rest days0.24
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Short Rest Points Per Match0.00
Normal Rest History Matches5
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.14
Long Rest History Matches-3
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.14
Current Team ELO-3.37
Current Opponent ELO3.37
Current ELO Difference-6.75
Expected score-0.01
History Matches1
Residual Mean-0.01
Overperformance-0.50
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.11

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Atalanta U20

L
Como U202–1Atalanta U2031 Oct · away
Pick: Como U20 41% · hit
D
Atalanta U202–2Lazio U2023 Oct · home
Pick: Atalanta U20 40% · missed
L
Empoli U202–1Atalanta U2018 Oct · away
Pick: Empoli U20 43% · hit
L
Atalanta U201–3Roma U2030 Aug · home
Pick: Roma U20 43% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Internazionale U20

L
Internazionale U200–2Roma U2030 Oct · home
Pick: Internazionale U20 39% · missed
W
Internazionale U202–1Parma U2025 Oct · home
Pick: Internazionale U20 52% · hit
D
Lazio U202–2Internazionale U2017 Oct · away
Pick: Internazionale U20 37% · missed
D
Internazionale U202–2Empoli U2029 Aug · home
Pick: Internazionale U20 64% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Atalanta U20 and Internazionale U20 meet in Campionato Primavera - 1 on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 10:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Atalanta U20 win 36.2%, draw 25.0%, Internazionale U20 win 38.8%. The pick is Internazionale U20 win. Over 2.5 goals: 56.6%. Both teams to score: 55.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.