ScoreProb
Campionato Primavera - 1 Italy Round 10 2026

Juventus U20 vs Empoli U20

Juventus U20 Home · Elo 1,562
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Empoli U20 Away · Elo 1,462
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Juventus U20 win
Juventus U20 winPick
53.9%
Draw
23.8%
Empoli U20 win
22.3%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes53.0%
No47.0%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.556.6%
Under 2.543.4%

How much we know

Juventus U20 history59 matches
Empoli U20 history19 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 12:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (53.9%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Juventus U20 are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Juventus U20 are rated 100 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,562 against 1,462. On rating alone Juventus U20 would be expected to take 64% of the points on offer.

  • Juventus U20 score far more

    1.56 goals a game over 59 matches for Juventus U20, against 0.89 over 19 for Empoli U20.

  • Defences are close

    Juventus U20 concede 1.39 a game, Empoli U20 1.47.

  • Juventus U20 games more often go over 2.5 goals

    58% of Juventus U20 matches, against 32% for Empoli U20. The model puts this match at 57% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Juventus U20
Empoli U20
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1561.8
ELO
1462.1
59
ELO · Matches
19
1561.8
Current Team ELO
1462.1
1462.1
Current Opponent ELO
1561.8
99.66
Current ELO Difference
-99.66
0.64
Expected score
0.36
59
History Matches
19
0.05
Residual Mean
-0.10
53.97
Overperformance
44.99
0.10
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.03
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.80
PPG
1.40
1.60
Goals for per game
1.20
0.80
Goals against per game
1.20
40.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.60
PPG
1.10
1.40
Goals for per game
0.90
0.90
Goals against per game
1.50
40.0%
Win rate
30.0%
1.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.90
0.80
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.14
0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.50
0.70
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.12
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
1.20
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.69
Overall performance9 signals
90
59
Matches
19
1.56
PPG
0.89
42.4%
Win rate
21.1%
28.8%
Draw rate
26.3%
28.8%
Loss rate
52.6%
83.1%
Over 1.5 rate
68.4%
57.6%
Over 2.5 rate
31.6%
32.2%
Over 3.5 rate
21.1%
1.47
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.35
Venue performance10 signals
100
30
Matches
10
1.87
PPG
0.70
53.3%
Win rate
10.0%
26.7%
Draw rate
40.0%
20.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
83.3%
Over 1.5 rate
90.0%
63.3%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
36.7%
Over 3.5 rate
40.0%
1.52
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.49
30
History Matches
10
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.56
Goals for per game
0.89
84.7%
Scoring rate
63.2%
64.4%
BTTS rate
47.4%
1.77
Goals for per game
1.20
90.0%
Scoring rate
70.0%
63.3%
BTTS rate
70.0%
2.00
Goals for per game
1.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
0.0%
59
History Matches
19
1.56
Goals Mean
0.89
1.11
Goals Std
0.97
84.7%
Scored 1+ rate
63.2%
44.1%
Scored 2+ rate
15.8%
20.3%
Scored 3+ rate
5.3%
1.77
Venue Goals Mean
1.20
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.39
Goals against per game
1.47
74.6%
Conceding rate
84.2%
1.33
Goals against per game
1.90
70.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
2.00
Goals against per game
0.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
0.0%
59
History Matches
19
1.39
Conceded Mean
1.47
1.09
Conceded Std
0.99
44.1%
Conceded 2+ rate
47.4%
18.6%
Conceded 3+ rate
10.5%
1.33
Venue Conceded Mean
1.90
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
25.4%
Clean-sheet rate
15.8%
15.3%
Failed-to-score rate
36.8%
30.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
10.0%
Failed-to-score rate
30.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
100.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
25.4%
Clean-sheet rate
15.8%
15.3%
Failed-to-score rate
36.8%
30.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
10.0%
Failed-to-score rate
30.0%
25.4%
Clean-sheet rate
15.8%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
59
History Matches
19
0.98
Result entropy
0.93
1.47
Goal Difference Std
1.35
1.61
Stability score
7.41
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
59
Eligible Matches
19
16
Lead Matches
3
75.0%
Lead Win Rate
33.3%
0.83
Lead Points Retention
0.56
16
Trailing Matches
7
31.3%
Non-loss rate
14.3%
12.5%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
59
Halftime Coverage Matches
19
0.68
First Half Goals For Mean
0.47
0.71
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.74
0.88
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.42
0.68
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.74
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
76.89
Rest days
76.13
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
0
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
35
Normal Rest History Matches
11
1.60
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.64
22
Long Rest History Matches
7
1.50
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.43
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1
Matches
1
1.00
PPG
3.00
0.0%
Win rate
100.0%
100.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
1
Current Competition Matches
1
1.00
Current Competition PPG
3.00
0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
1.00
4
Competition Season Count
2
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
0.46
Portability PPG Std
—
1.05
Portability PPG Range
—
52.08
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
59
Clean History Matches
19
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scorePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO99.66
PPG0.66
GF0.66
GA-0.08
PPG-2.00
PPG1.17
PPG0.40
PPG0.50
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches40
Clean-sheet rate9.6%
Failed-to-score rate-0.22
History Matches20
Clean-sheet rate30.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.20
History Matches40
Goals Mean0.66
Goals Std0.14
Scored 1+ rate21.6%
Scored 2+ rate28.3%
Scored 3+ rate15.1%
Venue Goals Mean0.57
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.50
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.34
History Matches40
Conceded Mean-0.08
Conceded Std0.10
Clean-sheet rate9.6%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.03
Conceded 3+ rate8.1%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.57
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.60
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.42
History Matches40
Result entropy0.06
Goal Difference Std0.12
Stability score-5.80
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.02
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.48
Eligible Matches40
Lead Matches13
Lead Win Rate41.7%
Lead Points Retention0.28
Trailing Matches9
Non-loss rate17.0%
Trailing Win Rate12.5%
Halftime Coverage Matches40
First Half Goals For Mean0.20
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.02
Second Half Goals For Mean0.46
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.06
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-2.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-1.00
Competition Season Count2
Eligible Competition Season Count2
Rest days0.76
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest History Matches24
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.96
Long Rest History Matches15
Long Rest Points Per Match0.07
Current Team ELO99.66
Current Opponent ELO-99.66
Current ELO Difference199.3
Expected score0.28
History Matches40
Residual Mean0.16
Overperformance8.99
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.12

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Juventus U20

D
Torino U200–0Juventus U201 Nov · away
Pick: Juventus U20 42% · missed
W
Juventus U203–2Lecce U2024 Oct · home
Pick: Juventus U20 47% · hit
W
Monza U201–2Juventus U2018 Oct · away
Pick: Juventus U20 45% · hit
D
Como U200–0Juventus U2029 Aug · away
Pick: Juventus U20 35% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Empoli U20

L
Empoli U202–3Cagliari U202 Nov · home
Pick: Cagliari U20 42% · hit
W
Empoli U201–0Perugia U1928 Oct · home
Pick: Perugia U19 41% · missed
L
Bologna U203–1Empoli U2024 Oct · away
Pick: Bologna U20 63% · hit
W
Empoli U202–1Atalanta U2018 Oct · home
Pick: Empoli U20 43% · hit
D
Internazionale U202–2Empoli U2029 Aug · away
Pick: Internazionale U20 64% · missed

About this match

Juventus U20 and Empoli U20 meet in Campionato Primavera - 1 on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Juventus U20 win 53.9%, draw 23.8%, Empoli U20 win 22.3%. The pick is Juventus U20 win. Over 2.5 goals: 56.6%. Both teams to score: 53.0%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.