ScoreProb
1. Liga Women Czechia Round 11 2026

Baník Ostrava W vs Prague Raptors W

Baník Ostrava W Home · Elo 1,471
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Prague Raptors W Away · Elo 1,502
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Baník Ostrava W win
Baník Ostrava W winPick
44.7%
Draw
17.9%
Prague Raptors W win
37.3%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.568.6%
Under 2.531.4%

How much we know

Baník Ostrava W history19 matches
Prague Raptors W history2 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 12:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (44.7%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Baník Ostrava W are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Prague Raptors W are rated 31 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,502 against 1,471. On rating alone Prague Raptors W would be expected to take 54% of the points on offer.

  • Baník Ostrava W score far more

    1.32 goals a game over 19 matches for Baník Ostrava W, against 0.50 over 2 for Prague Raptors W.

  • Prague Raptors W concede fewer

    Baník Ostrava W concede 2.58 a game, Prague Raptors W 2.00.

  • Baník Ostrava W games more often go over 2.5 goals

    74% of Baník Ostrava W matches, against 50% for Prague Raptors W. The model puts this match at 69% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Baník Ostrava W
Prague Raptors W@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1470.8
ELO
1501.9
19
ELO · Matches
2
1470.8
Current Team ELO
1501.9
1501.9
Current Opponent ELO
1470.8
-31.18
Current ELO Difference
31.18
0.46
Expected score
0.54
19
History Matches
2
-0.08
Residual Mean
0.06
46.00
Overperformance
50.50
0.02
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.06
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
2
1.60
PPG
1.50
1.80
Goals for per game
0.50
2.00
Goals against per game
2.00
40.0%
Win rate
50.0%
10
Matches
2
1.40
PPG
1.50
1.70
Goals for per game
0.50
2.60
Goals against per game
2.00
40.0%
Win rate
50.0%
1.70
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.50
1.68
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.50
2.60
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.00
2.29
Recent 10 Conceded Std
2.00
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.63
3.51
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.50
Overall performance9 signals
90
19
Matches
2
1.11
PPG
1.50
31.6%
Win rate
50.0%
15.8%
Draw rate
0.0%
52.6%
Loss rate
50.0%
89.5%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
73.7%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
63.2%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
3.29
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.50
Venue performance10 signals
100
9
Matches
1
1.11
PPG
0.00
33.3%
Win rate
0.0%
11.1%
Draw rate
0.0%
55.6%
Loss rate
100.0%
77.8%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
66.7%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
3.39
Goal difference · Standard deviation
—
9
History Matches
1
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.32
Goals for per game
0.50
52.6%
Scoring rate
50.0%
31.6%
BTTS rate
0.0%
1.00
Goals for per game
0.00
44.4%
Scoring rate
0.0%
22.2%
BTTS rate
0.0%
0.50
Goals for per game
0.50
50.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
0.0%
19
History Matches
2
1.32
Goals Mean
0.50
1.59
Goals Std
0.50
52.6%
Scored 1+ rate
50.0%
36.8%
Scored 2+ rate
0.0%
21.1%
Scored 3+ rate
0.0%
1.00
Venue Goals Mean
0.00
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
2.58
Goals against per game
2.00
78.9%
Conceding rate
50.0%
2.78
Goals against per game
4.00
77.8%
Conceding rate
100.0%
3.50
Goals against per game
2.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
50.0%
19
History Matches
2
2.58
Conceded Mean
2.00
2.09
Conceded Std
2.00
57.9%
Conceded 2+ rate
50.0%
47.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
50.0%
2.78
Venue Conceded Mean
4.00
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
21.1%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
47.4%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
22.2%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
55.6%
Failed-to-score rate
100.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
21.1%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
47.4%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
22.2%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
55.6%
Failed-to-score rate
100.0%
21.1%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
19
History Matches
2
0.90
Result entropy
0.63
3.29
Goal Difference Std
2.50
9.59
Stability score
36.91
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
19
Eligible Matches
2
6
Lead Matches
0
66.7%
Lead Win Rate
—
0.78
Lead Points Retention
—
10
Trailing Matches
1
10.0%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
19
Halftime Coverage Matches
2
0.74
First Half Goals For Mean
0.00
1.32
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.50
0.58
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.50
1.26
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.50
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
77.04
Rest days
77.13
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
7
Normal Rest History Matches
1
0.43
Normal Rest Points Per Match
3.00
11
Long Rest History Matches
0
1.36
Long Rest Points Per Match
—
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Portability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
2
Matches
2
0.50
PPG
1.50
0.0%
Win rate
50.0%
50.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
50.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
3.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.50
2
Current Competition Matches
2
0.50
Current Competition PPG
1.50
-3.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-1.50
2
Competition Season Count
1
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
0
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
19
Clean History Matches
2
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreLead Win RateLead Points RetentionPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per Match
ELO-31.18
PPG-0.39
GF0.82
GA0.58
PPG-1.00
PPG1.11
PPG0.10
PPG-0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches17
Clean-sheet rate-0.29
Failed-to-score rate-0.03
History Matches8
Clean-sheet rate22.2%
Failed-to-score rate-0.44
History Matches17
Goals Mean0.82
Goals Std1.09
Scored 1+ rate2.6%
Scored 2+ rate36.8%
Scored 3+ rate21.1%
Venue Goals Mean1.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.20
Recent 10 Goals Std1.18
History Matches17
Conceded Mean0.58
Conceded Std0.09
Clean-sheet rate-0.29
Conceded 2+ rate7.9%
Conceded 3+ rate-0.03
Venue Conceded Mean-1.22
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.60
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.29
History Matches17
Result entropy0.27
Goal Difference Std0.79
Stability score-27.32
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.33
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std1.01
Eligible Matches17
Lead Matches6
Trailing Matches9
Non-loss rate10.0%
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches17
First Half Goals For Mean0.74
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.18
Second Half Goals For Mean0.08
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.76
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-1.50
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Rest days-0.08
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches6
Normal Rest Points Per Match-2.57
Long Rest History Matches11
Current Team ELO-31.18
Current Opponent ELO31.18
Current ELO Difference-62.35
Expected score-0.09
History Matches17
Residual Mean-0.14
Overperformance-4.50
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.03

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Baník Ostrava W

D
Baník Ostrava W0–0Viktoria Plzeň W31 Oct · home
Pick: Baník Ostrava W 50% · missed
L
Slavia Praha W3–0Baník Ostrava W24 Oct · away
Pick: Slavia Praha W 91% · hit
L
Baník Ostrava W0–3Slovácko W17 Oct · home
Pick: Slovácko W 61% · hit
L
Viktoria Plzeň W1–0Baník Ostrava W29 Aug · away
Pick: Baník Ostrava W 51% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Prague Raptors W

L
Prague Raptors W1–4Slovan Liberec W31 Oct · home
Pick: Slovan Liberec W 44% · hit
L
Viktoria Plzeň W3–0Prague Raptors W25 Oct · away
Pick: Prague Raptors W 46% · missed
L
Prague Raptors W0–1Sparta Praha W17 Oct · home
Pick: Sparta Praha W 78% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Baník Ostrava W and Prague Raptors W meet in 1. Liga Women on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Baník Ostrava W win 44.7%, draw 17.9%, Prague Raptors W win 37.3%. The pick is Baník Ostrava W win. Over 2.5 goals: 68.6%. Both teams to score: 51.5%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.