ScoreProb
1. Liga Women Czechia Round 11 2026

Slavia Praha W vs Sparta Praha W

Slavia Praha W Home · Elo 1,637
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Sparta Praha W Away · Elo 1,657
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Slavia Praha W win
Slavia Praha W winPick
50.3%
Draw
20.0%
Sparta Praha W win
29.7%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes51.3%
No48.7%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.573.4%
Under 2.526.6%

How much we know

Slavia Praha W history34 matches
Sparta Praha W history41 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 2 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 11:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (50.3%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Slavia Praha W are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,637 against 1,657. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Scoring rates are level

    3.32 goals a game over 34 matches for Slavia Praha W, against 3.49 over 41 for Sparta Praha W.

  • Slavia Praha W concede fewer

    Slavia Praha W concede 0.76 a game, Sparta Praha W 1.07.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    82% of Slavia Praha W matches, against 76% for Sparta Praha W. The model puts this match at 73% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Slavia Praha W
Sparta Praha W@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1637.1
ELO
1656.9
34
ELO · Matches
41
1637.1
Current Team ELO
1656.9
1656.9
Current Opponent ELO
1637.1
-19.81
Current ELO Difference
19.81
0.47
Expected score
0.53
34
History Matches
41
0.20
Residual Mean
0.19
62.85
Overperformance
63.08
0.17
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.10
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.20
PPG
3.00
4.00
Goals for per game
2.80
0.40
Goals against per game
0.40
60.0%
Win rate
100.0%
10
Matches
10
2.30
PPG
2.10
3.40
Goals for per game
2.70
0.60
Goals against per game
1.00
70.0%
Win rate
70.0%
3.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.70
2.46
Recent 10 Goals Std
2.05
0.60
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.00
0.66
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.00
0.73
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.56
2.89
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.69
Overall performance9 signals
90
34
Matches
41
2.32
PPG
2.24
73.5%
Win rate
70.7%
11.8%
Draw rate
12.2%
14.7%
Loss rate
17.1%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
92.7%
82.4%
Over 2.5 rate
75.6%
52.9%
Over 3.5 rate
65.9%
3.11
Goal difference · Standard deviation
3.22
Venue performance10 signals
100
18
Matches
19
2.17
PPG
2.32
66.7%
Win rate
73.7%
16.7%
Draw rate
10.5%
16.7%
Loss rate
15.8%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
94.7%
77.8%
Over 2.5 rate
68.4%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
63.2%
3.61
Goal difference · Standard deviation
3.42
18
History Matches
19
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
3.32
Goals for per game
3.49
94.1%
Scoring rate
82.9%
44.1%
BTTS rate
41.5%
3.39
Goals for per game
3.37
88.9%
Scoring rate
89.5%
44.4%
BTTS rate
36.8%
7.00
Goals for per game
3.50
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
0.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
34
History Matches
41
3.32
Goals Mean
3.49
2.36
Goals Std
2.49
94.1%
Scored 1+ rate
82.9%
73.5%
Scored 2+ rate
73.2%
58.8%
Scored 3+ rate
61.0%
3.39
Venue Goals Mean
3.37
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
0.76
Goals against per game
1.07
50.0%
Conceding rate
53.7%
0.83
Goals against per game
1.00
55.6%
Conceding rate
47.4%
0.00
Goals against per game
0.50
0.0%
Conceding rate
50.0%
34
History Matches
41
0.76
Conceded Mean
1.07
1.03
Conceded Std
1.37
14.7%
Conceded 2+ rate
26.8%
5.9%
Conceded 3+ rate
14.6%
0.83
Venue Conceded Mean
1.00
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
46.3%
5.9%
Failed-to-score rate
17.1%
44.4%
Clean-sheet rate
52.6%
11.1%
Failed-to-score rate
10.5%
100.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
46.3%
5.9%
Failed-to-score rate
17.1%
44.4%
Clean-sheet rate
52.6%
11.1%
Failed-to-score rate
10.5%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
46.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
34
History Matches
41
0.69
Result entropy
0.73
3.11
Goal Difference Std
3.22
30.84
Stability score
26.88
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
34
Eligible Matches
41
24
Lead Matches
26
95.8%
Lead Win Rate
92.3%
0.97
Lead Points Retention
0.95
3
Trailing Matches
6
33.3%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
34
Halftime Coverage Matches
41
1.76
First Half Goals For Mean
1.66
0.24
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.24
1.56
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.83
0.53
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.83
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.00
Rest days
76.88
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
2
1.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.50
15
Normal Rest History Matches
23
2.00
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.96
17
Long Rest History Matches
15
2.65
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.73
Competition & season17 signals
170
2
Matches
2
3.00
PPG
3.00
100.0%
Win rate
100.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
1.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.00
2
Current Competition Matches
2
3.00
Current Competition PPG
3.00
7.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
3.00
6
Competition Season Count
5
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.15
Portability PPG Std
0.71
0.29
Portability PPG Range
1.73
77.33
Portability Score
41.44
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
34
Clean History Matches
41
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-19.81
PPG0.08
GF-0.16
GA-0.31
PPG0.00
PPG-0.15
PPG-0.80
PPG0.20
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-7
Clean-sheet rate3.7%
Failed-to-score rate-0.11
History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate-0.08
Failed-to-score rate0.6%
History Matches-7
Goals Mean-0.16
Goals Std-0.13
Scored 1+ rate11.2%
Scored 2+ rate0.4%
Scored 3+ rate-0.02
Venue Goals Mean0.02
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.70
Recent 10 Goals Std0.41
History Matches-7
Conceded Mean-0.31
Conceded Std-0.34
Clean-sheet rate3.7%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.12
Conceded 3+ rate-0.09
Venue Conceded Mean-0.17
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.40
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.34
History Matches-7
Result entropy-0.04
Goal Difference Std-0.11
Stability score3.97
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.17
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.21
Eligible Matches-7
Lead Matches-2
Lead Win Rate3.5%
Lead Points Retention0.02
Trailing Matches-3
Non-loss rate33.3%
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-7
First Half Goals For Mean0.11
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.01
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.27
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.30
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean4.00
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.56
Portability PPG Range-1.43
Portability Score35.89
Rest days0.13
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Short Rest Points Per Match-0.50
Normal Rest History Matches-8
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.04
Long Rest History Matches2
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.09
Current Team ELO-19.81
Current Opponent ELO19.81
Current ELO Difference-39.61
Expected score-0.06
History Matches-7
Residual Mean0.01
Overperformance-0.23
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.07

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Slavia Praha W

W
Horní Heršpice W1–4Slavia Praha W31 Oct · away
Pick: Slavia Praha W 85% · hit
W
Slavia Praha W3–0Baník Ostrava W24 Oct · home
Pick: Slavia Praha W 91% · hit
W
Viktoria Plzeň W0–3Slavia Praha W17 Oct · away
Pick: Slavia Praha W 89% · hit
W
Slavia Praha W9–0Horní Heršpice W29 Aug · home
Pick: Slavia Praha W 89% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Sparta Praha W

W
Sparta Praha W6–1Slovácko W1 Nov · home
Pick: Sparta Praha W 80% · hit
W
Slovan Liberec W1–6Sparta Praha W24 Oct · away
Pick: Sparta Praha W 74% · hit
W
Prague Raptors W0–1Sparta Praha W17 Oct · away
Pick: Sparta Praha W 78% · hit
W
Slovácko W0–3Sparta Praha W29 Aug · away
Pick: Sparta Praha W 79% · hit
W
Sparta Praha W3–2Servette Chênois W26 Aug · home
Pick: Sparta Praha W 54% · hit

About this match

Slavia Praha W and Sparta Praha W meet in 1. Liga Women on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 11:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Slavia Praha W win 50.3%, draw 20.0%, Sparta Praha W win 29.7%. The pick is Slavia Praha W win. Over 2.5 goals: 73.4%. Both teams to score: 51.3%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.